1. Top 10 GMs/Executives of the 2000s 1 ) Scott Pioli, New England (NFL) 2) Ken Holland Detroit (NHL) 3) Theo Epstein Boston (MLB) 4) Kevin Colbert Pittsburgh (NFL) 5) R.C. Buford San Antonio (NBA) 6) Rick Hendrick (NASCAR) 7) Pat Gillick Philadelphia (MLB) 8) Jeremy Foley Florida (NCAA) 9) Joe Dumars (NBA) 10) Billy Beane (MLB)

2. YearWinsLossesDivision Finish Playoffs 199874884 th 199987752 nd 2000 91 701 st Lost ALDS to NYY 2001102602 nd Lost ALDS to NYY 2002103591 st Lost ALDS to Minn 200396661 st Lost ALDS to Bos 200491712 nd 200588742 nd 200693691 st Won ALDS vs. Minn, Lost ALCS to Det 200776863 rd 200875863 rd 200975874 th 201081 2 nd 201174883 rd 201294681 st Lost ALDS to Det 201396661 st Lost ALDS to Det 201488742 nd Wild Card v. Kanas City Billy Beane in Oakland (1997: 65-97)

3. Question: Why hasn’t Beane won the last game?

4. “Other teams started using his moneyball principles” “He was the inventor, but other teams have started to use moneyball “

5. YearWinsLossesDivisionPlayoffs 199874884 th 199987752 nd 2000 91 701 st Lost ALDS to NYY 2001102602 nd Lost ALDS to NYYMoneyball Written 2002103591 st Lost ALDS to MinnMoneyball Published 200396661 st Lost ALDS to Bos Moneyball Adopted by 6 Teams 200491712 nd 200588742 nd 200693691 st Lost ALCS to Det 200776863 rd 200875863 rd 200975874 th 201081 2 nd 201174883 rd 201294681 st Lost ALDS to Det 201396661 st Lost ALDS to Det 201488742 nd Wild Card v. Kanas City Billy Beane in Oakland (1997: 65-97)

6. Copy Cat League “Adapt or Die” Full-Time Sabermetric Analysts: New York Mets, New York Yankees, San Diego Padres, St. Louis Cardinals, Boston Red Sox, Washington Nationals, Arizona Diamondbacks, Cleveland Indians, and the Toronto Blue Jays Cubs GM: Theo Epstein

7. Beane’s Response Undervalued Defensive Skills 2013 groundball rate rate 46.1%, flyball rate 23.6% Undervalued skill=fielding percentage Overvalue skilled=speed 2 nd in AL in earned runs allowed in 2014

8. YearWinsLossesDivisionPlayoffs 199874884 th 199987752 nd 2000 91 701 st Lost ALDS to NYY 2001102602 nd Lost ALDS to NYYMoneyball Written 2002103591 st Lost ALDS to MinnMoneyball Published 200396661 st Lost ALDS to Bos Moneyball Adopted by 6 Teams 200491712 nd 200588742 nd 200693691 st Lost ALCS to Det 200776863 rd 200875863 rd 200975874 th 201081 2 nd 201174883 rd 201294681 st Lost ALDS to Det 201396661 st Lost ALDS to Det 201488742 nd Wild Card v. Kanas City Billy Beane in Oakland (1997: 65-97)

9. Moneyball & The NFL

10. NBA Moneyball 75% of NBA teams have full-time analytical stats Points per possession, not points per game Effective field goal percentage, not field goal percentage Rebounding percentage, not rebounds per game

12. NHL and Moneyball ESPN: 2 nd worst North American franchise (#1:T- wolves) – No Stanley Cups since 1967 – 1 playoff appearance since 2004 Brendan Shanahan new GM hires 28 assistant GM (no playing experience) – Hires a handful of bloggers who write on hockey analytics

14. Moneyball & Soccer

16. Using Moneyball Data in Business

17. 2012 Presidential Race Romney v. Obama Dick Morris Predicted Romney would win Karl Rove Predicted Romney would win Rasmussen Reports predicted a 1% victory for Romney Gallup predicted a 1% victory for Romney Fox News & CNN: Tie (too close) A couple of polling sites predicted Obama: ABC, NBC, & Pew in a close contest

18. Nate Silver: Obama Blowout University of Chicago statistician Moneyball fanatic Started a website called Baseball Prospectus – Created PECOTA: A system that predicts future stat lines of players Became a political pundit using data

19. Moneyball & Politics Nate Silver – Correctly picked the 2012 Presidential Election Each state and the correct % Karl Rove, Dick Morris, and most political pundits got it wrong

20. The Likes & Dislikes of Moneyball What does Billy Beane look for? What does he dismiss?

21. The Likes & Dislikes of Moneyball 1)OBP: On Base Percentage 2)R: Runs Scored 3)Salary 1)BA: Batting Average 2)SB: Stolen Bases 3)RBI: Runs Batted In

22. Today: You are Peter Brand You are going to help Billy Beane improve the A’s for the 2015 season. Use Moneyball principles (OBP, R, & Salary) Work as a group or as an individual