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KAOLIN: STATE OF THE INDUSTRY U.S. Clay Producers Traffic Association Spring Meeting March 22, 2011.

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Presentation on theme: "KAOLIN: STATE OF THE INDUSTRY U.S. Clay Producers Traffic Association Spring Meeting March 22, 2011."— Presentation transcript:

1 KAOLIN: STATE OF THE INDUSTRY U.S. Clay Producers Traffic Association Spring Meeting March 22, 2011

2 Agenda  Current Environment Kaolin Industry Coated Paper Markets  Industry Outlook Magazines Coated Paper

3 Kaolin Current Environment

4 Major Producers

5 Source: Industrial Minerals, August 2008 1980 Carbonates 9%2003 Carbonates 62%2014 Carbonates 65% Worldwide Pigment Usage in Paper

6 World Kaolin Sales by Market* *as of 2007

7 Coating Kaolin Production & Demand 2010 North America South America Europe Asia Japan CapacityDemand Total Capacity ≈ 9.1 mm tpy Total Demand ≈ 7.9 mm tpy 2.7 3.4 2.8 2.3 3.4 1.0 0.8 0.5

8 Coated Paper Current Environment

9 NA Coated Leaders Coated GroundwoodCoated FreesheetTOTAL NewPage150117673268 Verso9776201597 Sappi--1215 AbitibiBowater69040730 Kruger399--399 UPM-Kymmene390--390 Appleton Coated--350 Catalyst Paper255--255 Domtar238--238 Belgravia--234 Evergreen200--200 Other154125279 TOTAL480443519155 83%52%66%

10 NA CFS & CGW Shipments 3Q10 vs. 3Q09 = 8% Source: RISI and AF&PA 2Q3Q

11 US Coated Papers Utilization Rate Source: RISI

12 US Coated Paper Prices Source: RISI

13 Industry Outlook

14 Magazine Ad Pages % Change y-o-y Source: UPM & Zenith Optimedia

15 NA CFS Operating Rate Forecast Source: Risi & EMGE Balanced market

16 NA CGW Operating Rate Forecast Balanced market Source: Risi & EMGE

17 Recessionary Adjustments

18 Trends for Coated Paper  Positive  Magazine advertising pages up  Catalogers increasing circulation  Retailers using more direct mail  Olympics  Mid-term elections  Negatives  Electronic EVERYTHING  Consumer confidence

19 Paper Growth Rates by Region 2006 through 2025

20 Questions? Cynthia Willcox Marketing Associate Thiele Kaolin Company 478-552-9710 Cynthia.willcox@thielekaolin.com


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