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Published byDorothy Ramsey Modified over 8 years ago
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"AS ABOVE, SO BELOW" - THOTH DYNAMIC PREDICTABLES from COLUMBIA, MISSOURI PRESENTING TODAY: GREGG SUHLER AND DOUG O'BRIEN EL NINO PREDICTABILITY USING A TOP-DOWN APPROACH
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NINO3 TEMPERATURE ANOMALY PRESENTED 199808 AT AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF STATE CLIMATOLOGISTS (AASC) ANNUAL MEETING
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DATAEND 199804 NINO3 (7 PREDICTOR COMPONENTS
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199804 NINO3 CONSECUTIVE 15 MONTH MODES
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USA OREGON COASTAL PRECIPITATION
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SHERWOOD NORTH DAKOTA PRECIP DataEnd 200106
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NORTH DAKOTA CLIMATE DIVISION01 (NORTHWEST) TEMPERATURE
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GENERATION OF SUB-HARMONICS AND ULTRASUBHARMONICS (GENERATION 1) THE SUM AND DIFFERENCE FREQUENCIES MUST EQUAL THOSE OF THE INCIDENT RADIATIVE FLUX THIS YIELDS OSCILLATIONS OF 24 AND 8 MONTH PERIODS(SUBHARMONIC AND ULTRA SUBHARMONIC OSCILLATIONS) IN TURN, THESE INDUCED OSCILLATIONS GIVE RISE TO NEW GENERATIONS OF OSCILLATIONS. IN ADDITION ADVECTION OF HEATED OCEANIC WATER CAN ALSO INTRODUCE BOTH OSCILLATORY AND NON-OSCILLATORY SOLUTIONS.
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T1(YEARS) T2(YEARS) USH1(YEARS) USH2(YEARS) GENERATION 1 0.500 2.000 0.667 1 1 2.000 4.000 1.333 2 1 0.667 4.000 0.800 2 1 4.000 2.667 1.600 3 1 1.333 8.000 1.143 3 1 0.800 8.000 0.889 3 1 0.571 2.667 0.727 3 1 8.000 2.286 1.778 4 1 2.667 3.200 1.455 4 1 1.600 5.333 1.231 4 1 1.143 16.000 1.067 4
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