1. Intelligent Agent Technology in the Army Transition to the Objective Force Dr. Thomas E. Potok Computer Science and Mathematics Division Oak Ridge National Laboratory

2. 2 Agent Technology Trend Face to Face Telephone Internet AGENTS Allowing more work with less people

3. Oak Ridge National Laboratory3 Successful Projects Knowledge-based Computer Systems Calibration Knowledge-based Systems for Constructability Neural Nets for Material Mix Optimization Knowledge-based Systems - Manufacturing Advisors Neural Nets for Spring-back Prediction Neural Nets for Resistance. Spot Welding Neural Nets for Recovery Boiler Control Neural Nets for Bankruptcy Prediction Collaborative Decision Support System Genetic Algorithms for Chemical Synthesis Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments Collaborative Design System Manufacturing Emulation Agent System Supply Chain Management Agent System  We have extensive expertise in agent development  Began working with agent technologies in 1980s  Over 10 successful projects within the last 5 years  Collaborations with leading agent experts 1985199019952000

4. Oak Ridge National Laboratory4 Simple Agent Example Agent, find me the book “War and Peace,” and I need it tomorrow Does the agent understand buying books? Form a plan to buy the book Execute the plan Amazon Barnes and Nobel B. Dalton Library... 2 Days $18.50 1 Day $21.75 1 Day $20.25 1 Day Free Order the book Learn for next time eBay 1 Day $12.50

5. Use of Intelligent Agents at US Pacific Command VIPAR

6. Oak Ridge National Laboratory6 USPACOM Traditional Approach Analysts Search 20-30 papers a day Manually find the articles on internet Manually organizing the articles Inside China Russia Today Jakarta Post NEA SEA Oceania Unorganized Newspaper Articles AnalystsOrganized Results

7. Oak Ridge National Laboratory7 New Intelligent Agent Approach Agents search papers and retrieve articles Organizes and classifies relevant articles Visually displays organization Organized Folders NEA SEA Oceania Inside China Russia Today Jakarta Post Intelligent Agent New Visualization Model

8. Oak Ridge National Laboratory8 VIPAR Example “Nuclear Weapons” Search - 9/21/2000 Wen Ho Lee Spends First Day Savoring Home Delights Lee Case Points up Scientists' Attitude on Security India and Pakistan: Troubled relations U.S. China Trade Vote Milestone on Rocky Road Troops die in Kashmir clashes Clinton Concerned Over Lee Case - Reno On Defensive IAEA Supports Putin Nuclear Power Initiative China Rejects Moves to Tighten Regulation of Nuclear Materials Clinton Calls For Review Of Lee Secrets Case Asian-Americans Demand White House Action on Lee

9. Oak Ridge National Laboratory9 Manual Organization “Business as Usual” Wen Ho Lee 1. Wen Ho Lee Spends First Day Savoring Home Delights 2. Clinton Calls For Review Of Lee Secrets Case 3. Clinton Concerned Over Lee Case - Reno On Defensive 4. Asian-Americans Demand White House Action on Lee 5. Lee Case Points up Scientists' Attitude on Security India and Pakistan 6. India and Pakistan: Troubled relations 7. Troops die in Kashmir clashes IAEA Meeting 8. IAEA Supports Putin Nuclear Power Initiative 9. China Rejects Moves to Tighten Regulation of Nuclear Materials U.S. China Trade 10. U.S. China Trade Vote Milestone on Rocky Road

10. Oak Ridge National Laboratory10 VIPAR Knowledge Discovery Same result, easier to “see”  Wen Ho Lee 1.Wen Ho Lee Spends First Day Savoring Home Delights 2.Clinton Calls For Review Of Lee Secrets Case 3.Clinton Concerned Over Lee Case - Reno On Defensive 4.Asian-Americans Demand White House Action on Lee 5.Lee Case Points up Scientists' Attitude on Security  India and Pakistan 6.India and Pakistan: Troubled relations 7.Troops die in Kashmir clashes  IAEA Meeting 8.IAEA Supports Putin Nuclear Power Initiative 9.China Rejects Moves to Tighten Regulation of Nuclear Materials  U.S. China Trade 10.U.S. China Trade Vote Milestone on Rocky Road 1 23 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Wen Ho Lee India/Pakistan IAEA Meeting US China Trade

11. Oak Ridge National Laboratory11 VIPAR Summary Agents do the mundane work Provide a new way to “see” search results Allows the analyst to focus on deep thinking, not information retrieval and organization Described by USCINCPAC Science and Technology Advisor as: – hit a grand slam home run! – first time we've seen information discovery and knowledge management software working here at HQ USCINCPAC operationally.

12. Oak Ridge National Laboratory12 Intelligent Agent Logistics Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 SURGEMABES Group Parts Based on how They are made Develop Common Manufacturing Cells Optimize “Lean” Cells

13. Oak Ridge National Laboratory13 Results - $12.8M Savings Investment – Agent investment $812K – 1st phase duration of 9 months Return – $7.0M savings in Inventory Reduction (30%) – $5.8M Savings in reduced pricing (23%) – 58% Reduction in lead times (from 220 to 93 days) Total – $12.8M in total savings – Significant reduction in lead times Agent Investment Total Savings {

14. Oak Ridge National Laboratory14 Agents in the future Agents are typically developed using simple negotiation methods to solve optimization problems Our work employs complex information representation, and analysis, as well as negotiation The next steps involve: – Working with massive, distributed, and changing information (proposal requested by DOE). – How should groups of agents socially interact. Who can be trusted? (beginning work with Lockheed Martin). – Agents in information warfare and cyber security

15. Oak Ridge National Laboratory15 Agents Technology Agent technology can significantly help the Army transition to the objective force. Solid agent expertise and leadership are available in Oak Ridge Proven track record of success within the military, government, and industry