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Chapter 9 Business Intelligence Systems

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1 Chapter 9 Business Intelligence Systems
Jason C. H. Chen, Ph.D. Professor of MIS School of Business Administration Gonzaga University Spokane, WA 99258

2 “We’re Sitting On All This Data. I Want to Make It Pay.”
Anne wants membership data to: Combine membership data and publicly available data Enable target marketing Increase wedding revenue

3 Study Questions Q1: How do organizations use business intelligence (BI) systems? Q2: What are the three primary activities in the BI process? Q3: How do organizations use data warehouses and data marts to acquire data? Q4: How do organizations use typical reporting applications? Q5: How do organizations use typical data mining applications? Q6: What is the role of knowledge management systems? Q7: What are the alternatives for publishing business intelligence? Q8: 2022?

4 BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE
Business intelligence – information that people use to support/improve their decision-making efforts Principle BI enablers include: Technology People Culture Technology Even the smallest company with BI software can do sophisticated analyses today that were unavailable to the largest organizations a generation ago. The largest companies today can create enterprisewide BI systems that compute and monitor metrics on virtually every variable important for managing the company. How is this possible? The answer is technology—the most significant enabler of business intelligence. People Understanding the role of people in BI allows organizations to systematically create insight and turn these insights into actions. Organizations can improve their decision making by having the right people making the decisions. This usually means a manager who is in the field and close to the customer rather than an analyst rich in data but poor in experience. In recent years “business intelligence for the masses” has been an important trend, and many organizations have made great strides in providing sophisticated yet simple analytical tools and information to a much larger user population than previously possible. Culture A key responsibility of executives is to shape and manage corporate culture. The extent to which the BI attitude flourishes in an organization depends in large part on the organization’s culture. Perhaps the most important step an organization can take to encourage BI is to measure the performance of the organization against a set of key indicators. The actions of publishing what the organization thinks are the most important indicators, measuring these indicators, and analyzing the results to guide improvement display a strong commitment to BI throughout the organization.

5 Working , Not Just Harder
Smarter Overlapping Human/Organizational (Culture, Process)/ Technological factors in BI/KM: PEOPLE ORGANIZATIONAL PROCESSES Overlapping Human/Organizational/ Technological factors in KM: People (workforce) Organizational Processes Technology (IT infrastructure) IS – IT, Organization and Management TECHNOLOGY Knowledge N

6 CRM and BI Example A Grocery store in U.K. with the following “patterns” found: Every Thursday afternoon Young Fathers (why?) shopping at store Two of the followings are always included in their shopping list Diapers and Beers What other decisions should be made as a store manager (in terms of store layout)? Short term vs. Long term This is an example of cross-selling Other types of promotion: up-sell, bundled-sell IT (e.g., BI) helps to find valuable information then decision makers make a timely/right decision for improving/creating competitive advantages.

7 Q/A Can the “patterns” in the grocery store example be produced from its Database? Y/N Why? It only can be produced from its “Data Warehouse” using a kind of “data mining” software.

8 Q1: How Do Organizations Use Business Intelligence (BI) Systems?
Information systems generate enormous amounts of operational data that contain patterns, relationships, clusters, and trends about customers, suppliers, business partners, and employees that can facilitate management, especially planning and forecasting. Business intelligence (BI) systems produce such information from operational data. Data communications and data storage are essentially free, enormous amounts of data (Big Data) are created and stored every day. 12,000 gigabytes per person of data, worldwide in 2009

9 Why do organizations need business intelligence?
BI systems are computer programs provide valuable information for decision making. Three primary BI systems: __________ tools read data, process them, and format the data into structured reports (e.g., sorting, grouping, summing, and averaging) that are delivered to users. They are used primarily for assessment. RFM is one of the tool for reporting. ___________ tools process data using statistical, regression, decision tree, and market basket techniques to discover hidden patterns and relationships, and make predictions based on the results _______________________ tools store employee knowledge, make it available to whomever needs it. These tools are distinguished from the others because the source of the data is human knowledge. Reporting Data-mining Reporting – routine decision Data mining – analysis Knowledge – expertise to be retained and reused right away Knowledge management

10 [1] [2] [3] te Fig 9-1: Structure of a Business Intelligence System

11 Q/A Which of the following is true of source data for a BI system?
A) It refers to the organization's metadata. B) It refers to data that the organization purchases from data vendors. C) It refers to the level of detail represented by the data. D) It refers to the hierarchical arrangement of criteria that predict a classification or a value. Answer: B

12 Tools vs. Applications vs. Systems
BI tool (e.g., decision-tree analysis) is one or more computer programs. BI tools implement the logic of a particular procedure or process. BI application is the use of a tool on a particular type of data for a particular purpose. BI system is an information system having all five components (what are they?) that delivers results of a BI application to users who need those results. Five components: H/SW, data, procedure and people

13 Example Uses of Business Intelligence
[4] [3] [2] (Decision Support Systems) [1] Fig 9-2:Example Uses of Business Intelligence

14 The primary activities in the BI process are:
Q2: What Are the Three Primary Activities in the Business Intelligence Process? The primary activities in the BI process are: 1. ______________ The process of obtaining, cleaning, organizing relating, and cataloging source data. 2. __________ The process of creating BI analysis: reporting, data mining, and knowledge management. 3. ____________ The process of delivering BI to the knowledge workers who need it. Data acquisition BI analysis Publish results

15 What Are the Three Primary Activities in the Business Intelligence Process?
[1] [2] [3] The principle is the same as the “simple” model we learned before. What is it? Fig 9-3: Three Primary Activities in the BI Process

16 Using BI for Problem-solving at GearUp: Process and Potential Problems
Obtain commitment from vendor Run sales event Sell as many items as possible Order amount actually sold Receive partial order and damaged items If received less than ordered, ship partial order to customers Some customers cancel orders

17 Tables Used for BI Analysis at GearUp
Fig 9-4: Tables Used for BI Analysis at GearUp

18 GearUp Analysis: Item Summary and Lost Sales Summary Reports
Fig 9-5: Extract of the Item_Siummary_Data Fig 9-6: Lost Sales Summary Report

19 Short and Damaged Shipments Details Report
Fig 9-7: Lost Sales Detail Report

20 Publish Results Options Print and distribute via or collaboration tool Publish on Web server or SharePoint Publish on a BI server Automate results via Web service

21 Why extract operational data for BI processing?
3: How Do Organizations Use Data Warehouses and Data Marts to Acquire Data? Why extract operational data for BI processing? Security and control Operational not structured for BI analysis BI analysis degrades operational server performance Operational data is structured for fast and reliable transaction processing. Placing BI applications on operational servers can dramatically REDUCE system performance T/F: Placing BI applications on operational servers can dramatically increase system performance. Answer: FALSE Operational data is structured for fast and reliable “transaction processing” (e.g., payroll).

22 Data Base, Data Warehouse and Data Marts
Data base: An organized collection of logically related (current) data files. Data Warehouse: A data warehouse stores data from current and previous years (historical data) that have been extracted from the various operational and management database of an organization. Data mart: a subset of data warehouse that holds specific subsets of data for one particular functional area or project.

23 Components of a Data Warehouse
Data warehouses and data marts address the problems companies have with missing data values and inconsistent data. They also help standardize data formats between operational data and data purchased from third-party vendors. These facilities prepare, store, and manage data specifically for data mining and analyses. operational data ETL ETL: Extract, Transformation, Load Fig 9-11 Components of a Data Warehouse

24 Data Marts and the Data Warehouse
Legacy systems feed data to the warehouse. The warehouse feeds specialized information to departments (data marts). Operational Data Store Legacy Systems Finance Data Mart Accounting Marketing Sales ETL Organizational Data Warehouse ETL ETL: Extract, Transformation, Load

25 Examples of Consumer Data that Can Be Purchased
Fig 9-12 Examples of Consumer Data for Sale

26 Possible Problems with Source (Operational) Data
Fig Possible Problems with Source (Operational) Data

27 Information Cleansing or Scrubbing
Standardizing Customer name from Operational Systems Ask your students if they have ever received more than one piece of identical mail, such as a flyer, catalog, or application If so, ask them why this might have occurred Could it have occurred because their name was in many different disparate systems? What is the cost to the business of sending multiple identical marketing materials to the same customers? Expense Risk of alienating customers Pat (or Patti) Burton information was entered in different ways and saved in different operational systems (i.e., Sales, Customer Service and Billing). They are, therefore, cleansed by a ‘Cleaning’ software and the cleaned/accurate information was saved in the Customer Information. They should be created and saved in a single repository (DB) and in a single/consistent form

28 Data Warehouses vs. Data Marts
Here’s the difference between a data warehouse and a data mart: A data warehouse stores operational data and purchased data. It cleans and processes data as necessary. It serves the entire organization. A data mart is smaller than a data warehouse and addresses a particular component or functional area of an organization. Fig 9-14 Data mart Examples

29 4. How Do Organizations Use Typical Reporting Applications
Four Basic operations: Sorting   Filtering Grouping   Calculating Formatting We will use a ‘reporting application’ to analyze and rank customers based on their purchasing patterns to help company make better decision for increasing company’s revenue.

30 What are typical reporting applications?
RFM Analysis allows you to analyze and rank customers according to purchasing patterns as this figure shows. Recency: How recently a customer purchased items? => leads and opportunities Frequency: How frequently a customer purchased items? => retention Monetary Value: How much a customer spends on each purchase? => profitability RFM Analysis Sort the data by date (for recency), times (for frequency), and purchase amount (for money), respectively Divide the sorted data into five groups Assign 1 to top 20%, 2 to next 20%, 3 to the third 20%, 4 to the fourth 20% and 5 to the bottom 20%. The the score, the better the customer. lower

31 What does RFM analysis Tell? Example RFM Scores
RFM Analysis allows you to analyze and rank customers according to purchasing patterns as this figure shows. R = how recently a customer purchased your products F = how frequently a customer purchases your products M = how much money a customer typically spends on your products The the score, the better the customer, and, consequently, the more profit the company will be. lower Fig 9-15 Example of RFM Score Data

32 Interpreting RFM Score Results
Ajax has ordered recently and orders frequently. M score of 3 indicates it does not order most expensive goods. A good and regular customer but need to attempt to up-sell more expensive goods to Ajax Bloominghams has not ordered in some time, but when it did, ordered frequently, and orders were of highest monetary value. May have taken its business to another vendor. Sales team should contact this customer immediately. Caruthers has not ordered for some time; did not order frequently; did not spend much. Sales team should not waste any time on this customer. Davidson in middle Set up on automated contact system or use the Davidson account as a training exercise 80/20 Rule (Pareto Principle)

33 Q/A U.S. Grocery Corp. is a large grocery chain store. FOODFARM, one of the customers of U.S. Grocery Corp. holds an RFM score of 111. Which of the following characteristics relates FOODFARM with its RFM score? A) FOODFARM has ordered recently and orders frequently, but it orders the least expensive goods. B) FOODFARM has not ordered in some time, but when it did order in the past it ordered frequently, and its orders were of the highest monetary value. C) FOODFARM has not ordered for some time, it did not order frequently, and, when it did order, it bought the least-expensive items. D) FOODFARM has ordered recently and orders frequently, and it orders the most expensive goods. Answer: D

34 OLAP and its Applications
Online Analytical Processing (OLAP), a second type of reporting tool, is more generic than RFM. OLAP provides you with the dynamic ability to sum, count, average, and perform other arithmetic operations on groups of data. Reports, also called OLAP cubes. What software and function that enable you to create OLAP and its applications? ANSWER EXCEL with Pivot table

35 Online Analytical Processing (OLAP)
Online Analytical Processing (OLAP) cubes, use Measures which are data items of interest. In the figure below a measure is Store Sales Net . Dimensions which are characteristics of a measure. In the figure below a dimension is Product Family. Fig Example Grocery Sales OLAP Report OLAP Product Family by Store Type

36 Example Expanded Grocery Sales OLAP Report
Figure 9-17 Fig 9-17: Example of Expanded Grocery Sales OLAP Report

37 Example of Drilling Down into Expanded Grocery Sales OLAP Report
Fig 9-18: Example of Drilling Down into Expanded Grocery Sales OLAP Report

38 Fig 9 (Extra): Role of OLAP Server & OLAP Database
OLAP servers are special products that 1) read data from an operational database, 2) perform some preliminary calculations, and then3) store the results in an OLAP database Third-party vendors provide software for more extensive graphical displays

39 On-Line Analytic Processing (OLAP)
Enables mangers and analysts to interactively examine and manipulate large amounts of detailed and consolidated data from different dimensions. Analytical Processing: Drill-up (Consolidation) – ability to move from detailed data to aggregated data Profit by Product >>> Product Line >>> Division Drill-down – ability to move from summary/general to lower/specific levels of detail Revenue by Year >>> Quarter >>>>Week >>>Day Slice and Dice – ability to look across dimensions Sales by Region Sales Profit and Revelers by Product Line

40 Slicing a data cube REGION Hoffer’s text (chapter 11) CUSTOMER

41 Data Base, Data Warehouse and Data Marts
Data base: An organized collection of logically related (current) data files. Data Warehouse: A data warehouse stores data from current and previous years (historical data) that have been extracted from the various operational and management database of an organization. Data mart: a subset of data warehouse that holds specific subsets of data for one particular functional area or project.

42 Database vs. Datawarehouse
DBMS Datawarehouse ???

43 Database vs. Datawarehouse
DBMS Datawarehouse Data Mining

44 How do BI Tools Obtain Data?
ETL ETL: Extract, Transformation, Load

45 Data-mining Applications
Businesses use statistical techniques to find patterns and relationships among data and use it for classification and prediction. Data mining techniques are a blend of statistics and mathematics, and artificial intelligence (AI) and machine-learning. Data Warehouse Fig 9-19 Data Mining Origins

46 Unsupervised vs. Supervised Data Mining
Data mining is an automated process of discovery and extraction of hidden and/or unexpected patterns of collected data in order to create models for decision making that predict future behavior based on analyses of past activity. There are two types of data-mining techniques: Unsupervised data-mining characteristics: No model or hypothesis exists before running the analysis Analysts apply data-mining techniques and then observe the results Analysts create a hypotheses after analysis is completed Cluster analysis (and decision tree), a common technique in this category groups entities together that have similar characteristics Supervised data-mining characteristics: Analysts develop a model prior to their analysis Apply statistical techniques such as Market Basket Analysis to estimate parameters of a model Regression analysis is a technique in this category that measures the impact of a set of variables on another variable Neural networks predict values and make classifications. Used for making predictions Data mining can begin at a summary information level (coarse granularity) and progress through increasing levels of detail (drilling down), or the reverse (drilling up) Data-mining tools include query tools, reporting tools, multidimensional analysis tools, statistical tools, and intelligent agents Ask your students to provide an example of what an accountant might discover through the use of data-mining tools Ans: An accountant could drill down into the details of all of the expense and revenue finding great business intelligence including which employees are spending the most amount of money on long-distance phone calls to which customers are returning the most products Could the data warehousing team at Enron have discovered the accounting inaccuracies that caused the company to go bankrupt? If the did spot them, what should the team have done?

47 Unsupervised vs. Supervised Data Mining
No model before running analysis Hypotheses created after analysis Cluster analysis to find groups Model created before analysis Hypotheses created before analysis Regression analysis: make predictions

48 Used for predicting values and making classifications
Neural Networks Used for predicting values and making classifications Complicated set of nonlinear equations Go to and search for “neural network”

49 Probability for BI – Market Basket Analysis (Upselling and Cross-selling)
Support - The probability of two items (A&B) will be purchased together. P(A&B) = P(A&B)/Total # of transactions Confidence - Conditional probability is the probability that an event (A) will occur, when another event (B) is known to occur or to have occurred. If the events are A and B respectively, this is said to be "the probability of A given B. P(A | B) = P(A&B)/P(B)

50 #times an item will be purchased when a customer entering the store
Market Basket Analysis at a Dive Shop (Total # of Transactions (TOT)= 400) (s1) Purchase Mask and Fins together, A: Fins B: Mask P(A&B)/TOT P(Fins & Mask) = 250/400=0.625 P(A | B) = P(A&B)/P(B) P(Fins | Mask)= P(Fins&Mask)/P(Mask)=250/270 = .926 (c1) Proportion of customers who bought a mask also bought fins (buying fins given s/he bought mask) P(A | B) /P(A) P(fins | mask)/P(fins)= confidence/base probability=.926/.7=1.32 the lift of fins and mask Fig 9-20 Market-Basket Analysis at a Dive Shop

51 Market-Basket Analysis is a supervised data-mining tool for determining sales patterns. It helps businesses create cross-selling opportunities (i.e., buying relevant products together). Three terms used with this type of analysis are: Support: the probability that two items will be purchased together (e.g., Fins and Mask will be purchased together) Confidence: a conditional probability estimate (e.g., proportion of the customers who bought a mask also bought fins) Lift: ratio of confidence to the base probability (e.g., ratio between customers of buying fins after buying mask and those buying fins of walking into the store). It shows that how much the based probability increases or decreases when other products are purchased. Total # of transactions (TOT) = 400 times Probability of an item that customer will purchase: P(A)/TOT, e.g., e.g., (e1) probability of customers entering into the store and buying mask is P(Mask)=270/400=0.675 (e2) probability of customers entering into the store and buying fins is P(Fins)=280/400=0.7 Support : P (A&B)/TOT e.g., (s1) Purchase Mask and Fins together, P(Fins & Mask) = 250/400=0.625 (s2) Purchase Tank and Dive computer together: P(Tank & Dive computer)=30/400=0.075 Confidence: P(A | B) = P(A&B)/P(B) e.g., (c1) Proportion of customers who bought a mask also bought fins (buying fins given s/he bought mask) P(Fins | Mask)= P(Fins&Mask)/P(Mask)=250/270=0.926 We then compare (e2) and (c1) if someone buys a mask, the likelihood that he or she will also buy fins increases substantially from .7 to .926. Q: If you are a store manager, how will you train your sales personnel? A: Train them to try to sell fins to anyone buying a mask. (________ selling). A: Fins; B: Mask Cross-

52 (continue) Market-Basket Analysis is a supervised data-mining tool for determining sales patterns. It helps businesses create cross-selling opportunities (i.e., buying relevant products together). Three terms used with this type of analysis are: Support: the probability that two items will be purchased together (e.g., Fins and Mask will be purchased together) Confidence: a conditional probability estimate (e.g., proportion of the customers who bought a mask also bought fins) Lift: ratio of confidence to the base probability (e.g., ratio between customers of buying fins after buying mask and those buying fins of walking into the store). It shows that how much the based probability increases or decreases when other products are purchased e.g., (e2) probability of customers entering into the store and buying fins is P(Fins)=280/400=0.7 Confidence (cont.) P(A | B) = P(A&B)/P(B) e.g., (c2) Proportion of customers who bought a dive computer also bought fins (i.e., buying fins, given she or he bought a dive computer) P(Fins | Dive computer)= P(Fins&Dive computer)/P(Dive computer)=20/120=0.167 Thus, someone buys a dive computer, the likelihood that she will also buy fins falls from 0.7 to 0.167 Q: If you are a store manager, how will you take any action on these types of customers? A: ______ Lift : P(A | B) /P(A) e.g., the lift of fins and mask, P(fins | mask)/P(fins)=confidence/base probability=.926/.7=1.32. Thus, the likelihood that people buy fins when they buy a mask increases by 32 percent. Surprisingly, it turns out the lift of fins and a mask is the same as the lift of a mask and fins. Both are 1.32 Please note that this analysis only shows shopping carts with two items. We cannot say from this data what the likelihood is that customer, given that they bought a mask, will buy both weights and fins NO

53 Q/A In marketing transactions, the fact that customers who buy product X also buy product Y creates a(n) ________ opportunity. That is, "If they're buying X, sell them Y," or "If they're buying Y, sell them X." A) cross-selling B) value added selling C) break-even D) portfolio Answer: A

54 Decision Tree Example for MIS Classes (hypothetical data)
A decision tree is a hierarchical arrangement of criteria that predicts a classification or value. It’s an unsupervised data-mining technique that selects the most useful attributes for classifying entities on some criterion. It uses if…then rules in the decision process. Here are two examples. If student is a junior and works in a restaurant, then predict grade > If student is a senior and is a nonbusiness major, then predict grade < --- If student is a junior and does not work in a restaurant, then predict grade Since major is not significant to JUNIORS in the study. Make no prediction since they are 50/50 The more different groups, the better the classification will be. In this example, we are classifying students depending on whether their grade was greater than 3.0 or less or equal to 3.0. For example, if every student who lived off campus earned a grade higher than 3.0, and every student who lived on campus earned a grade lower than 3.0then the program would use the variable live-off-campus or live-on-campus to classify students. < --- If student is a senior and is a business major, then make prediction no Fig 9-21 Decision Tree Examples for MIS Class (Hypothetical Data)

55 Summary of Decision Tree Analysis
A decision tree is a hierarchical arrangement of criteria that predicts a classification or value. It’s an unsupervised data-mining technique that selects the most useful attributes for classifying entities on some criterion. It uses if…then rules in the decision process. Here are two examples. Since major is not significant to JUNIORS in the study. Make no prediction since they are 50/50 Fig 9-21 Decision Tree Examples for MIS Class (Hypothetical Data) Fig 9-22 Credit Score Decision Tree

56 A Decision Tree for a Loan Evaluation
Classifying likelihood of default Examined 3,485 loans 28 percent of those defaulted Evaluation criteria Percentage of loan past due less than 50 percent = .94, no default Percentage of loan past due greater than 50 percent = .89, default Subdivide groups A and B each into three classifications: CreditScore, MonthsPastDue, and CurrentLTV

57 A Decision Tree for a Loan Evaluation
Resulting rules If the loan is more than half paid, then accept the loan.   If the loan is less than half paid and   If CreditScore is greater than and If CurrentLTV is less than .94, then accept the loan. Otherwise, reject the loan. Use this analysis to structure a marketing campaign to appeal to a particular market segment Decision trees are easy to understand and easy to implement using decision rules. Some organizations use decision trees to select variables to be used by other types of data-mining tools.

58 Fig 9-22: Credit Score Decision Tree
more than half paid (Accepted) or less than half paid and Accepted Figure CE14-4 otherwise reject the loan.

59 What are typical data-mining applications?

60 Q6. What Is the Role of Knowledge Management Systems?
1. KM fosters innovation by encourage free flow of ideas. 2. KM improves customer service by streamlining response time. 3. BIM boosts revenues by getting products and services to market faster. 4. KM enhances employee retention rates by recognizing the value of employees’ knowledge (sharing) and rewarding them for it. 5. KM streamlines operations and reduce costs by eliminating redundant or unnecessary processes.

61 Sharing Document Content
Indexing - most important content function in KM applications Only authorized people (employees) are allowed to access to available “Indexing” systems Real Simple Syndication (RSS) - subscribing to content sources e.g., With a program called RSS reader, you can subscribe to magazines, blogs, Web sites, and other content sources. Blogs - place where employees share their knowledge that may include RSS feeds

62 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT The process of creating value from intellectual capital and sharing that knowledge with employees, managers, suppliers, customers, and others who need it. Reporting and data mining are used to create new information from data, knowledge-management systems concern the sharing of knowledge that is known to exist. Knowledge management (KM) – the process of capturing, classifying, evaluating, retrieving, and sharing information assets in a way that provides context for effective decisions and actions. Knowledge management system (KMS) – an information system that supports the capturing and use of an organization’s “know-how” Why is knowledge one of the real competitive advantages? It is difficult to duplicate knowledge It can take years to acquire It is a personal asset What if an organization could capture all of a persons knowledge using technology? You would no longer need that person in the organization

63 Tacit vs. Explicit Knowledge
Intellectual and knowledge-based assets fall into two categories _______ knowledge is personal, context-specific and hard to formalize and communicate ________ knowledge can be easily collected, organized and transferred through digital means. Tacit Explicit Four modes of K conversion between Tacit K and explicit K Tacit to Tacit - Socialization (Sympathized Knowledge) Tacit to explicit - Externalization (Conceptual Knowledge) Explicit to tacit – Internalization (Operational Knowledge) Explicit to explicit – Combination (Systematic Knowledge)

64 Tacit and Explicit KNOWLEDGE
Oral Communication “Tacit” Knowledge 50-95% Information Request Explicit Knowledge Base 5 -50 % “Explicit” Knowledge Intellectual and knowledge-based assets fall into two categories Explicit knowledge – consists of anything that can be documented, archived, and codified, often with the help of IT Tacit knowledge - knowledge contained in people’s heads Four modes of K conversion between Tacit K and explicit K Tacit to Tacit - Socialization (Sympathized Knowledge) Tacit to explicit - Externalization (Conceptual Knowledge) Explicit to tacit – Internalization (Operational Knowledge) Explicit to explicit – Combination (Systematic Knowledge) Information Feedback

65 Explicit and Tacit Knowledge
Reasons why organizations launch knowledge management programs Intellectual and knowledge-based assets fall into two categories Explicit knowledge – consists of anything that can be documented, archived, and codified, often with the help of IT Tacit knowledge - knowledge contained in people’s heads What types of knowledge management programs could your college pursue to help new students adapt to the college? Effective study habits Writing rules Research database Course evaluations

66 The Four Modes of Knowledge Conversion
TO Explicit Knowledge Tacit Knowledge A. Socialization (Sympathized Knowledge) B. Externalization (Conceptual Knowledge) Tacit Knowledge Transferring tacit knowledge through shared experiences, apprenticeships, mentoring relationships, on–the-job training, “Talking at the water cooler” Articulating and thereby capturing tacit knowledge through use of metaphors, analogies, and models FROM C. Internalization (Operational Knowledge) D. Combination (Systematic Knowledge) Converting explicit knowledge into tacit knowledge; learning by doing; studying previously captured explicit knowledge (manuals, documentation) to gain technical know-how Combining existing explicit knowledge through exchange and synthesis into new explicit knowledge Four modes of K conversion between Tacit K and explicit K Tacit to Tacit - Socialization (Sympathized Knowledge) [sharing K thru conversation] Tacit to explicit - Externalization (Conceptual Knowledge) [studying/learning from lectures  HTML hws] Explicit to tacit – Internalization (Operational Knowledge) [reading text  your own knowledge] Explicit to explicit – Combination (Systematic Knowledge) [Many text books/ Google search  your paper] Explicit Knowledge C Which mode is the one for classroom processes? _____ Source: Ikujiro Nonaka and Hirotaka Takeuchi, The Knowledge-Creating Company, 1995

67 Expert Systems Encode human knowledge as Rule-based systems (IF/THEN)
Rules created by interviewing experts (culture issue) Major problems with ES: Expensive to develop Unpredictable maintenance Over hyped

68 What are Characteristics of Expert Systems?
They capture human expertise and format it for use by nonexperts. They are rule-based systems that use if…then rules to store the expert’s knowledge. They gather data from people rather than using data-mining techniques. They are difficult and expensive to develop. They are difficult to maintain because the rules are constantly changing. They have been unable to live up to the high expectations set by their name. Examples Medical Expert Systems and Legal Expert Systems etc.

69 Pharmacy Alert - Expert Systems for Pharmacies
This is an example of the output from a medical expert system that is part of a decision support system. Based on the system’s rules, an alert (for safety) is issued if the system detects a problem with a patient’s prescriptions. Fig 9-25 Alert from Pharmacy Clinical Decision Support System

70 Q7 What Are the Alternatives for Publishing Business Intelligence?
Fig BI Publishing Alternatives

71 Components of a Generic Business Intelligence System
This figure shows the components of a generic BI system. A BI application server delivers results in a variety of formats to devices for consumption by BI users. A BI server provides two functions: management and delivery. Fig 9-27 Components of Generic Business Intelligence System

72 What are the Management Functions of a BI Server?
The management function of a BI server Maintain metadata about the authorized allocation of BI results to users. It tracks what results are available, It tracks who is authorized to view them, and It tracks when the results are provided to users. Options for managing BI results: Users can pull their results from a Web site using a portal server with a customizable user interface. A server can automatically push information to users through alerts which are messages announcing events as they occur. A report server, a special server dedicated to reports, can supply users with information. Answer: “PULL” – automatically delivered Which option is for the “Grocery Store (UK)” case? Push

73 DATA MINING Data-mining software includes many forms of AI such as neural networks and expert systems Data-mining tools apply algorithms to information sets to uncover inherent trends and patterns in the information Analysts use this information to develop new business strategies and business solutions Ask your students to identify an organization that would “not” benefit from investing in data warehousing and data-mining tools Ans: None CLASSROOM EXERCISE Analyzing Multiple Dimensions of Information Jump! is a company that specializes in making sports equipment, primarily basketballs, footballs, and soccer balls. The company currently sells to four primary distributors and buys all of its raw materials and manufacturing materials from a single vendor. Break your students into groups and ask them to develop a single cube of information that would give the company the greatest insight into its business (or business intelligence). Product A, B, C, and D Distributor X, Y, and Z Promotion I, II, and III Sales Season Date/Time Salesperson Karen and John Vendor Smithson

74 Other Data Mining Examples
A telephone company used a data mining tool to analyze their customer’s data warehouse. The data mining tool found about 10,000 supposedly residential customers that were expending over $1,000 monthly in phone bills. After further study, the phone company discovered that they were really small business owners trying to avoid paying business rates *

75 Data Mining Examples (cont.)
65% of customers who did not use the credit card in the last six months are 88% likely to cancel their accounts. If age < 30 and income <= $25,000 and credit rating < 3 and credit amount > $25,000 then the minimum loan term is 10 years. 82% of customers who bought a new TV 27" or larger are 90% likely to buy an entertainment center within the next 4 weeks.

76 Essential Value Propositions for a Successful Company
Business ________ _______ Competency Outsourcing Crowdsourcing Offshoring ________ Set corporate goals and get executive sponsorship for the initiative Model Core First, you have to have a business model, then, the company needs to set corporate goals and get executive sponsorship for the initiative." "Start with your business objectives of the product or service the company is selling, figure out where it is in the lifecycle, and determine which phase of CRM to focus on, for example, the company should determine whether it wants to focus on acquiring customers, retaining customers or up-selling and cross selling to customers." Examples: Dell vs. Gateway and Toyota vs. GM/FORD Execution

77 Any Sustainable Knowledge?
Most sustainable Knowledge is “Learning to Learn and Learning to Change.” CAPACITY TO LEARN and how to adapt to change

78 Companies will know more about your purchasing habits and psyche.
Q8: 2022 Companies will know more about your purchasing habits and psyche. Social singularity — machines can build their own information systems. Will machines possess and create information for themselves?

79 End of Chapter 9


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