Download presentation
Presentation is loading. Please wait.
Published byJulia Ross Modified over 8 years ago
1
Yellowfin Tuna 1975-2005
2
Major Changes Catch, effort, and length-frequency data for the surface fisheries have been updated to include new data for 2005 and revised data for 1975-2004. Catch data for the Japanese longline fisheries have been updated for 2000-2003 and to include new data for 2004. Catch data for the longline fisheries of Chinese Taipei have been updated for 2002 and new data added for 2003. Catch data fore the longline fisheries of Korea have been updated to include new data for 2003 Catch data for the longline fisheries of the Peoples Republic of China have been updated to include new data for 2003 and 2004. Longline catch-at-length data for 2002-2003 have been updated and new data for 2004 added. Longline catch per unit effort data have been standardized using a delta-lognormal model, updated to include 2004 data. Growth model has been changed to fix length-at-age at the prior distribution of a Richards growth curve based on otolith data
3
Sensitivity Analyses Stock recruitment relationship Asymptotic length
4
Data Fishery definitions Catch Effort Length frequency
5
Yellowfin Fishery Definitions
6
Catch FO southFO centralFO coastal FO north DOL south DOL coastal DOL north NA south NA north LL south LL north BB DIS southDIS northDIS coastalDIS central
7
Effort FO south FO central FO coastal FO north DOL south DOL coastal DOL north NA south NA north LL south LL north BB DIS south DIS north DIS coastal DIS central
8
CPUE FO south FO central FO coastal FO north DOL south DOL coastal DOL north NA south NA north LL south LL north BB DIS south DIS north DIS coastal DIS central
9
Fixed Parameters Natural Mortality Fecundity at age Sex ratio at age Selectivity curves for the discard fisheries The steepness of the stock recruitment relationship = 1 (no relationship)
10
Natural Mortality Age in quarters -- Edad en trimestres Quarterly M -- M Trimestral 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 481216202428
11
Sex Ratio Age in quarters Percent female 0510152025 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
12
Relative Fecundity Age in quarters Relative fecundity x maturity 0510152025 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
13
Estimated parameters Recruitment Temporal anomalies, (no Seasonal component) Catchability Temporal anomalies Selectivity Initial population size and age-structure Mean length at age Variation of length at age
14
Results Fit to the length frequency Growth Fishing mortality Selectivity Recruitment Biomass Catchability
15
Fit to the length-frequency FO south FO centralFO coastalFO north DOL south DOL coastal DOL northNA south NA north LL south LL north BB
16
Growth
17
Fishing mortality
18
Age Specific Fishing Mortality
19
Selectivity FO south FO central FO coastal FO north DOL south DOL coastal DOL north NA south NA north LL south LL north BB DIS southDIS northDIS coastal DIS central
20
Catchability FO south FO central FO coastal FO north DOL south DOL coastal DOL north NA south NA north LL south LL north BB
21
Recruitment
22
Recent length-frequency data (FO) FO southFO centralFO coastalFO north 23 41
23
Recent length-frequency data (Unassociated) NA south NA north
24
Recent length-frequency data (Dolphin associated) DOL south DOL coastal DOL north
25
Recent length-frequency data (longline) LL southLL north
26
Stock - recruitment
27
Biomass
28
Spawning Biomass
29
Average weight FO southFO centralFO coastalFO north DOL south DOL coastalDOL northNA south NA north LL south LL north BB Surface Longline
30
No Fishing
31
Fishery impact
32
No Fishing and Fishery Impact
33
Biomass Comparisons
34
Reference points & projections Assumptions –For MSY calculations Average of 2002-2003 for fishing mortality –For forward projections Average of 2002-2003 for catchability 2004 effort
35
SBR
37
AMSY by method FisheryAMSYB AMSY S AMSY B AMSY /B F=0 S AMSY /S F=0 F multiplier PesqueríaRMSPB RMSP S RMSP B RMSP /B F=0 S RMSP /S F=0 Multiplica dor de F All— Todos 287 519416 3794 6770.360.371.02 OBJ 214 243316 3313 5200.270.2811.06 NOA 259 574385 2284 3920.330.344.20 DEL 304 745406 3694 3350.350.342.11 LL 350 562460 6734 9610.39 25.18
38
AMSY with method removed FisheryAMSYB AMSY S AMSY B AMSY /B F=0 S AMSY /S F=0 F multiplier PesqueríaRMSPB RMSP S RMSP B RMSP /B F=0 S RMSP /S F=0 Multiplica dor de F All— Todos 287 519416 3794 6770.360.371.02 No FLT 295 231416 0624 6070.36 1.20 No UNA 296 439421 7194 6870.360.371.39 No DOL 268 587419 1204 8940.360.382.08 No LL 282 176406 7554 5490.350.361.12
39
AMSY with effort adjusted All gears Purse- seine only Longline only Purse- seine scaled Longline scaled Base AMSY—RMSP287 519282 176373 759287 625306 171 B AMSY —B RMSP 416 379406 755577 040433 243327 698 S AMSY —S RMSP 4 6774 5496 7554 9203 204 B AMSY /B 0 —B RMSP /B 0 0.360.350.410.370.28 S AMSY /S 0 —S RMSP /S 0 0.370.360.440.390.25 F multiplier—Multiplicador de F1.021.1212.410.9419.62
40
Yield
41
AMSY quantities using F(y)
42
Sensitivity: h = 0.75 When the spawning population is 20% of its unexploited level the recruitment is 75% of its unexploited level Biomass Recruitment SBR Yield Curve AMSY
43
Biomass Comparison
44
Recruitment
46
SBR
47
Yield Curve
48
Sensitivity to L ∞ : proportion YFT > given length
49
Maximum length observed by yr
50
Sensitivity to assumed L ∞ : Biomass
51
Recruitment
52
Spawning biomass ratio
53
Selectivity Base case L ∞ = 200 L ∞ = 170
54
AMSY table
55
Forward Simulations Depletion ratio Surface fishery catch Longline catch
56
SBR
57
Catch
58
Catch with median catchability
59
Summary: Main Results The results are similar to the previous four assessments, except that SBR at SBR AMSY is lower than in the last assessment The biomass is estimated to have declined slightly in 2005 There is uncertainty about recent and future recruitment and biomass levels
60
What is robust The trend in biomass The regime shift in recruitment
61
Plausible Sensitivities and Uncertainties The stock recruitment relationship Asymptotic length Uncertainty in current biomass and recruitment
62
Conclusions 1.The biomass is estimated to have declined slightly in 2005 2.The current SBR may be close to the SBR required to produce AMSY 3.The current fishing mortality rates are close to those required to produce AMSY 4.The average weight of a yellowfin in the catch is much less than the critical weight and increasing the average weight could increase AMSY 5.There have been two different productivity regimes and the levels of AMSY and the biomass required to produce AMSY may differ between the regimes
63
The END
Similar presentations
© 2024 SlidePlayer.com Inc.
All rights reserved.