1. Future Wars in Europe Sergiy Shtukarin

2. Presentation contents Summary of Content Educational Aims Learning Outcomes Module Evaluation Lecture Titles Seminar Titles Method and Frequency of Class Method of Assessment

3. Summary of Content The module introduces students to the theoretical discourse of war and peace studies, including theories of ethnic conflict and conflict resolution. Based on the discourse, overview of past and present conflicts in Europe is offered. The module then presents methodology of future studies, including prognostic methods, game theory, statistical, modeling methods. Case studies that follow, teach students how to project patterns observed in past conflicts upon present- day society to anticipate what will happen in the future. A final role play will help learn some practical skills of conflict management

4. Educational Aims The main aim of the course is to understand the nature of past and present conflicts in Europe and to be able to discuss future of conflict. The course addresses these issues by examining main theoretical approaches to war and peace studies, including ethnic conflicts, and by studies methodologies of future analysis.

5. Learning Outcomes General skills of self-direction, self-evaluation and time management. i) Knowledge and understanding: a clear grasp of the key issues relevant to conflict and conflict management; understanding of evolution of conflicts in Europe; familiarity with theoretical approaches to the study of war and peace, conflict and conflict management

6. Learning Outcomes ii) Intellectual skills: skills to evaluate the usefulness of various theoretical approaches in relation to specific types of conflicts; skills of conceptual, original and independent thinking, critical analysis, synthesis and reasoned argument; skills of assessment and judgement in relation to the soundness of competing theoretical frameworks and scenarios, including the reporting and assessing of qualitative and quantitative data, prognostic models, etc.

7. Learning Outcomes iii) Professional/Practical skills: research skills in identifying, locating and exploiting a wide range of descriptive, evaluative and theoretical literature. iv) Transferable & Key skills: skills related to comparative political analysis, as well as preparing for guided seminar discussions. v) IT skills: skills related to word processing and online and library research.

8. Module Evaluation Evaluation and feedback are crucial to the success of any module. Modules are formally evaluated on a biennial basis, so please use this opportunity to have your say. If you have any other comments or queries regarding this module, please contact the Module Convenor

9. Lecture Titles Theories of War and Peace Classical and non-mainstream theories of war studies and peace studies Ethnic Conflicts in Europe Past ethnic wars and current ethnic conflicts in wider Europe Futures Studies Methodology Prognostic methods, game theory, statistical, modeling methods

10. Seminar Classes Case Studies: Greater Albania, Greater Romania, Basque Country, Ireland, Caucasus Role Play – Resolving Conflict in Europe-2020 (one of cases in-depth study) Interactive learning and training of practical conflict management/settlement skills

11. Method and Frequency of Class Lecture: 3 x 120 min Seminar: 1 x 120 min Role Play: 2 x 120 min

12. Method of Assessment 2 Credits will be awarded for the module (based on 100 point rating: 91-100 = A, 71-90 = B, 61-70 = C, etc.) Position Paper: 40 points max Coursework (presentation of case study): 30 points max Activity at the Role Play: 30 points max