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1. National Opinion Poll: December 2015/January 2016 A focus on the Refugee Crisis and the threat of Jihadi Terrorism - for Publication on 10 th January.

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Presentation on theme: "1. National Opinion Poll: December 2015/January 2016 A focus on the Refugee Crisis and the threat of Jihadi Terrorism - for Publication on 10 th January."— Presentation transcript:

1 1. National Opinion Poll: December 2015/January 2016 A focus on the Refugee Crisis and the threat of Jihadi Terrorism - for Publication on 10 th January 2016

2 2. Introduction  A National Public Opinion Poll was conducted on behalf of The Sunday Independent to be published on Sunday 10 th January 2016.  The topics covered included the refugee crisis, the migrant programme and the terrorist threat  Interviews were conducted face-to-face, in-home, with those aged 18+.  Quota controls were set on gender, age, social class and region to mirror the 18+ population profile.  976 interviews were conducted at 64 sampling points nationwide.  Interviews were carried out between 5 th December 2015 to 7 th January 2016. Fieldwork was delayed due to inclement weather and the Christmas break.  Data was weighted to reflect the adult population aged 18+.  The margin of error for this opinion poll is +/- 3.1%

3 3.  The survey results presented here are derived from The Independent Newspaper Group/Millward Brown Poll. The poll was conducted among a sample of 976 adults representative of the approximate 3.43 million adults aged 18 and over - interviewed on a face-to- face basis in the home at 64 sampling points throughout the Republic of Ireland. The margin of error for this opinion poll is +/- 3.1%  The 976 interviews on the poll were carried out between 5 th December 2015 to 7 th January 2016.  The poll was conducted in accordance with the guidelines set by ESOMAR and AIMRO (European and Irish Market and Opinion Research governing bodies). Extracts from the report may be quoted or published on condition that due acknowledgement is given to Millward Brown and The Sunday Independent. © Millward Brown & The Sunday Independent 2016. Introduction POLL RESULTS POLL

4 4. The Results

5 5. National Opinion Poll: December 2015/January 2016 - Special Questions for Publication on 10 th January 2016

6 6. Q.In response to the crisis in the Mediterranean, the Government has pledged to accept around 4,000 refugees over the next two years. Do you think this is too many, too few, or about the right amount to take in? HIGHER AMONG% Age 35-4447 DEs50 Farming Community59 Munster Residents52 Conn/Ulster Residents50 Rural dwellers51 About the right amount Too few Too many HIGHER AMONG% Aged Under 3519 C1s20 Dublin Residents27 Don’t know A sizeable minority (over two in five) feel we have taken in too many refugees. HIGHER AMONG% Age 45-5438 ABs47 C1s40 Dublin Residents40 Base: All Aged 18+ (976)

7 7. Q.Are you concerned at the possibility that terrorists could enter this country using the migrant programme? Nearly three in five have concerns that terrorists could enter the country under the guise of the Migrant Programme. HIGHER AMONG% Aged 65+65 DEs63 Farming Community73 Munster Residents70 Connacht/Ulster Residents 69 HIGHER AMONG% Age 18-2436 ABs28 Dublin Residents29 Am concerned Don’t know/ No opinion Am not concerned It depends Base: All Aged 18+ (976)

8 8. Q.Do you believe there are jihadist terrorists in the country already or not? Half feel that there are already Jihadist terrorists based in the State. HIGHER AMONG% Age 55-6457 Farming Community62 Munster Residents64 Connacht/Ulster Residents 56 HIGHER AMONG% Age 18-2434 ABs33 Dublin Residents39 Urban dwellers33 Believe there are terrorists in the country Don’t know/ No opinion Do not believe there are terrorists in the country Base: All Aged 18+ (976)

9 9. Q.Are you worried that Ireland could have a terrorist attack similar to what happened in Paris? Nearly one in two are concerned that Ireland could suffer a Paris-style attack HIGHER AMONG% Aged 65+52 C2s50 Farming Community62 Connacht/Ulster Residents 61 Rural dwellers53 HIGHER AMONG% Age 18-2440 Age 55-6434 ABs46 Dublin Residents36 Yes, am worried Don’t know/ No opinion No, am not worried It depends Base: All Aged 18+ (976)

10 10. Q.Do you believe we have the capacity to prevent with such an attack or not? There is very little faith in our ability to prevent such an attack in Ireland. HIGHER AMONG% Age 18-2415 Age 55-6414 ABs14 Farming Community16 HIGHER AMONG% Age 35-4476 ABs77 Leinster Residents76 Munster Residents75 Rural dwellers73 We have the capacity to prevent such attacks Don’t know/ No opinion We do not have the capacity to prevent such attacks Base: All Aged 18+ (976)

11 11. Q.Should this country join in a military defence of Europe, or should it remain neutral? Notwithstanding recent events, the majority (56%) feel we should remain neutral, and not join in any military action; one in six are more hawkish HIGHER AMONG% Males21 Aged 65+20 Farming Community21 Dublin Residents21 Leinster Residents21 HIGHER AMONG% Age 45-5463 ABs64 Munster Residents66 Connacht/Ulster Residents 76 Should join in a military defence of Europe Don’t know/ No opinion Should remain neutral It depends Base: All Aged 18+ (976)

12 12. Q.Would you be prepared to sacrifice any aspect of your privacy for the sake of national security? Just one in four are prepared to sacrifice any aspect of privacy in the interest of national security. HIGHER AMONG% Age 55-6428 Aged 65+29 Farming Community30 Leinster Residents29 Munster Residents33 HIGHER AMONG% Age 25-3446 ABs44 DEs44 Connacht/Ulster Residents 67 Yes, would be prepared to sacrifice privacy Don’t know/ No opinion No, would not be prepared to sacrifice privacy It depends Base: All Aged 18+ (976)

13 13. For more information, please contact: Paul Moran paul.moran@millwardbrown.com 086 341 1970 Millbank House | Arkle Road | Sandyford | Dublin 18 t. +353 (1) 297 4500 | www.millwardbrown.com/ie


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