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1 CHAPTER 6 Risk, Return, and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
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2 Topics in Chapter 6 Basic return measurement Types of Risk addressed in Ch 6 Stand-alone (total) risk Portfolio (market) risk Relationship between risk and return: CAPM/SML
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3 Investment Returns Returns may be: actual or expected. Returns can be expressed in: dollars or percentage. Returns include changes in asset value.
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4 What is investment risk? Risk exists any time returns are not known with certainty. Why is risk important?
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5 Stand-Alone Risk Stand-alone (total) risk is the risk facing an investor (firm) who owns only one asset. Measures of stand-alone risk: Standard deviation Variance Coefficient of variation (CV)
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6 Adding Stocks to a Portfolio What happens to the risk of a one-stock portfolio as additional randomly selected stocks are included?
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7 stock ≈ 35% Many stocks ≈ 20%
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8 102030 40 2,000 stocks Company Specific (Diversifiable) Risk Market Risk 20% 0 Stand-Alone Risk, p pp 35% Risk vs. Number of Stock in Portfolio
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9 Stand-alone risk = Market risk + Diversifiable risk Market risk is that part of a security’s stand-alone risk that cannot be eliminated by diversification. Firm-specific, or diversifiable, risk is that part of a security’s stand-alone risk that can be eliminated by diversification.
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10 Beta Market risk is measured by beta. Beta indicates: A stock’s contribution to the risk of a diversified portfolio The stock’s volatility relative to the market: beta > 1.0high risk beta = 1.0average risk beta < 1.0 low risk
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11 Using a Regression to Estimate Beta To estimate a stock’s beta, plot the stock’s returns on the Y axis and market returns on the X axis. The slope of the line of best fit as estimated through regression is the stock’s beta coefficient, or b.
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12 Use the SML to calculate an asset’s required return. The Security Market Line (SML) is part of CAPM. The equation for the SML is: r i = r RF + (RP M ) i r i is the required return on security i r RF is the risk-free interest rate RP M is the risk premium on the market i is the beta for security i
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