1. Research and development plan for RHMSS/SEEVCCC Rajkovic, Dacic, Nickovic,Djurdjevic, Pejanovic,Janjic bora@ff.bg.ac.rs ; milan.dacic@hidmet.gov.rs snickovic@wmo.it ; vdj@ff.bg.ac.rs goran.pejanovic@hidmet.gov.rs ; Zavisa.Janjic@noaa.gov bora@ff.bg.ac.rsmilan.dacic@hidmet.gov.rs snickovic@wmo.itvdj@ff.bg.ac.rs goran.pejanovic@hidmet.gov.rsZavisa.Janjic@noaa.gov Technical Conference Preceding CAS XV (Incheon, Republic of Korea, 16-17 November 2009)

2. Research and development plan for RHMSS/SEEVCCC Multifunctional center fulfilling all mandatory functions for South-east Europe sub-region within the Regional Association of WMO (WMO RA VI-Europe). Required functions : 1.Operational Activities for Long Range Forecasts LRF 2.Operational Activities for Climate Monitoring: 3.Operational Data Services 4.Training in the use of RCC products and services: Highly Recommended functions 1.Research and Development 2.Training and Capacity Building 3.Coordination Functions 4.Non-operational data sets (provision of gridded data sets on climate projections)

3. Research and development plan for RHMSS/SEEVCCC Plan : From LRF(30 to seasonal forecasts t/6 months) to Climate simulations (regional/global) The model : Core UMO (Unified Multi-scale mOdel) Components: CGCM / CRCM DREAM-aerosol HYPROM

4. NCEP NMM-B atmospheric model - Global/regional/local - Hydrostatic/non-hydrostatic Zavisa Janjic DREAM - Dust - Sea salt - Carbon - Pollution Aerosol – radiation interactions Aerosol – cloud interactions Ocean model Fe and P nutrients HYPROM Hydrology model Research and development plan for RHMSS/SEEVCCC

6. Hydrology model example 1 :

8. EBU-POM :: Coupled regional Climate Model Several time-slices was covered: 1961-1990: 20C3M (present climate) 2001-2030: A1B 2071-2100: A1B, A2 Output: 6h for atmosphere and 5-day averages for ocean Annual cycle of Mediterranean SST from model (black) and two observation data set. Annual means for whole sea are in brackets. Scores for seasonal 2m temperature. Model vs. CRU data. Present climate verification: Future changes: A1B [2071-2100] vs. [1961- 1990]: EP/CRU biasmaermse DJF -0.211.882.15 MAM 1.031.591.84 JJA 2.632.963.42 SON -0.871.381.83 ANNUAL 0.641.631.87

9. Thank you Research and development plan for RHMSS/SEEVCCC