1. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 Conclusions What have we learned? Was it a good course? What next? What have we learned? Was it a good course? What next?

2. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 What have we (I) learned? Regional applications –Control, scarcity, quality –Complicated institutions and stakeholders –Problems not yet clear (compare Barcelona) –Space important, but not always

3. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 Hydrology and models Uncertainty, even in water balls Interaction between hydrological issues and political issues Models as abstractions Multi-level models Modelling as a language

4. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 Integrated assessment ‘The’ cultural theory Participatory approach Property rights, equity and efficiency Appropriate level of complication of model –Detailed hydrology? –Abstract role-playing game?

5. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 An evaluation of the course Course is an innovation for a project of this kind Certainly increased mutual understanding –And understanding of varied expertise and backgrounds Syllabus often not clear –Learning objectives –Review of area –Summary Order of presentations not ideal

6. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 What next? Course on the web… –Presentations to Claire Developing relationships with stakeholders Gathering data about regional applications –Meta-descriptions Simple (pilot) models for discussion

7. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 Things we ought to read SIRCH working paper on institutions (circulated) Wooldridge, Michael (1999) Intelligent agents, in G. Weiss (ed.) Multiagent systems Cambridge: MIT Press, p.. 27-77 Integrated assessment: a bird’s eyes view & Uncertainty in integrated assessment, both at http://www.icis.unimaas http://www.icis.unimaas Rotmans, Jan. and van Asselt (1997) Perspectives on Uncertainty. Global Environmental Change Janssen,M. and Jager, W (1999) An integrated approach to simulating behavioural processes, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol 2, no. 2, http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/2/2/2.html http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/2/2/2.html Russell, S and Norvig, P, Artificial Intelligence: a modern approach, 1998 (2nd ed.), Prentice Hall Nilsson, Nils J. (1998) Artificial intelligence: a new synthesis. Morgan Kaufmann. Gilbert, Nigel and Troitzsch, Klaus, G. (1999), Simulation for the Social Scientist Milton Keynes: Open University Press. Bunge, Mario (1978) The Furniture of the World, A treatise in basic philosophy, vol 4. Dordrecht:Kluver. Jacques Ferber, Systèmes Multi-agents Gilbert, Nigel (1995) Emergence in social simulation, in Nigel Gilbert and Rosaria Conte, Artificial Societies. London: UCL Press.

8. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 Thanks to… Nils Flavie Olivier Cebenna you Nils Flavie Olivier Cebenna you

9. © FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016 Next meeting 5-8 September, Zurich Concluding reports from WP1.1, 1.2, 1.3 Detailed plans for WP2, 3, 4