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IDEAS 10 th Anniversary Conference Surajit Mazumdar Session on: Is Decoupled Growth Possible? 25 January 2012.

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Presentation on theme: "IDEAS 10 th Anniversary Conference Surajit Mazumdar Session on: Is Decoupled Growth Possible? 25 January 2012."— Presentation transcript:

1 IDEAS 10 th Anniversary Conference Surajit Mazumdar Session on: Is Decoupled Growth Possible? 25 January 2012

2 India: External Balances to GDP (%) Item2003-042004-052005-062006-072007-08 Merchandise Balance/GDP-2.30-4.82-6.40-6.78-7.80 Invisibles Balance/GDP4.624.435.185.716.34 Services Balance/GDP1.682.192.863.223.20 Private Transfers/GDP3.602.923.033.263.55 Current Account/GDP2.32-0.39-1.22-1.07-1.46

3 India: Foreign Investment Flows (US Dollar Million)

4 India: Rate of Growth of NDP at 1999-00 Prices (% per annum) Sector 1990-91 to 1996-97 1997-98 to 2002-03 2003-04 to 2007-08 Aggregate NDP5.795.258.82 Private Organized Sector (Estimated) 10.296.7914.61 Rest of the Economy (Estimated) 4.994.937.33

5 Per Capita Consumption at 1999-00 prices

6 Per Capita Availability and Expenditure on Foodgrains Period Per Capita Net Availability of Foodgrains (grams per day) Period Per Capita Annual Expenditure on Foodgrains at 1999-00 prices (Rs.) 1961-65461.1 1960-61 to 1964-65 1893.49 2004-08441.8 2003-04 to 2007- 08 1793.38

7 Average Index of Real Wage Per Worker in ASI Factory Sector (2002-03=100)

8 India: Share of Private Organized NDP and its Components in Aggregate NDP

9 Share of Wages in Net Value Added of ASI Factory Sector (%)

10 Share of Different Expenditure Groups in Non-Food Private Final Consumption Expenditure in the Domestic Market at Current Prices (Percentages)

11 India: Gross Capital Formation (GCF) and Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) at Current Prices as Percentage of GDP

12 India: Annual Rates of Growth of GFCF at Constant Prices (Per cent per annum) At 1993-94 pricesAt 1999-00 prices Period Registered Manufacturing Private Corporate Sector Period Registered Manufacturing Private Corporate Sector 1990-91 to 1996-97 19.521.94 1999-00 to 2002-03 -4.91-2.02 1997-98 to 2002-03 -6.06-3.75 2003-04 to 2007-08 28.5131.39

13 India: Share of Organized Manufacturing in the Increase in Net Fixed Capital Stock (L) and NDP (R) at 1999-00 prices: 2002-03 to 2007-08

14 Average Capital-Output Ratio in Registered Manufacturing at 1999-00 prices (Years)

15 Services and Construction: Growth and Contribution to Increase in GDP Item At 1999-00 PricesAt 2004-05 Prices 1990-91 to 1996-97 1997-98 to 2002-03 2003-04 to 2007-08 2004-05 to 2007-08 2008-09 to 2010-11 Rate of Growth (% per annum) 6.517.6510.5210.519.42 Contribution to Increase in Aggregate GDP (point-to-point) (%) 56.3180.3371.0768.3978.28

16 Shares of Private Organised Sector NDP by Sector in Aggregate NDP (%) Sector1990-911996-972002-032007-08 1. Agriculture2.212.181.391.21 2. Industry Excl Construction 6.448.036.837.39 3. Services and Construction 5.627.3310.3514.84 Total Pvt Org NDP (1+2+3) 14.2617.5518.5623.44


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