1. STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE MANAGEMENT Chapter by Peter Lehr Chapter - 4. An Age of Asymmetric Challenges-4th Generation Warfare at Sea, Pg. 36

2. 4. An Age of Asymmetric Challenges-4th Generation Warfare at Sea, Pg. 36 The last couple of years saw a vivid and controversial discussion centring on two different military- related concepts: revolution in military affairs (RMA), and asymmetric warfare (AW). This contribution takes a look at the Indian- Pacific to discuss non-traditional security issues such as piracy, maritime terrorism, and maritime AW as well as the security problems posed by weak and failed coastal states (including coastal states undergoing regime or policy change), the future of conventional energy resources and energy security, and finally traditional security issues such as the enfolding arms race between India and China. Section 1: National Security Strategies and Issues

3. 4. An Age of Asymmetric Challenges-4th Generation Warfare at Sea, Pg. 36 This chapter discusses and criticizes the concepts of Maritime Irregular Activities, Confronting Irregular Challenges, and 4th Generation Warfare to illustrate the continuing relevance of maritime security for our national security in general. It argues that the current debate that revolves around issues such as maritime terrorism or piracy in a rather postmodernist understanding of threat is in peril to unlearned lessons learned at high cost by previous generations: while the global security environment can change at short notice, a botched (maritime) security policy needs years to be rectified. Hence, correctly predicting the future threat, an art also known as “horizon scanning,” is far more important than the coining of new terms of rather dubious value, even if this is deemed to be unpopular in a time of shrinking naval budgets and in a time when conventional war seems to be widely seen as a thing of the past. Section 1: National Security Strategies and Issues