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Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 1 Developing a concrete model : the full path II] Building Micro data (cf. variables)

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Presentation on theme: "Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 1 Developing a concrete model : the full path II] Building Micro data (cf. variables)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 1 Developing a concrete model : the full path II] Building Micro data (cf. variables) & Macro_based data (cf. alignments & parameters) from survey, administrative or macro data III] Building and estimating Behavioral equations (e.g. probability of working) I] Structuring the model, depending on OBJECTIVES, starting e.g. from MIDAS : demography, activity status, tax-benefit => variables, parameters (« GLOBALS ») & alignments needed IV] Running, Debugging, Outputting, Validating

2 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 2 Implementing a model in LIAM2 (I) : Structure

3 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 3 Implementing (II) : Creating the “CSV” Data  All « CSV » files (to be transferred to « HDF5 » files later)  Micro data : from survey and/or administrative data  Alignement information,  derived from analysis of micro data (e.g. « divorce »)  meso and macro projections, e.g. the EU-Economic Policy Committee’s Working Group on Ageing Populations and Sustainability (AWG)  Parameters (« globals ») like normal age of retirement, productivity of labor, etc

4 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 4 Implementing (III) : Estimating behavioral equations  Maybe just based on alignments (proportions of persons experiencing an event determined from external data sources)  Otherwise, controlling also behavior for several individual characteristics (age, activity status, relative’s values…) => standard statistical analysis in addition  Just do it…  Remark : longitudinal dimension => what about changes in behavior through time ? Implementing (IV) : Running, Debugging, Outputting

5 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 5 Developing a model with others The problems to avoid Continuously send new versions (by email?), compare and merge them manually Overwrite each other changes Solution: Version Control Systems (VCS) Many options (Git, Subversion, …) TortoiseSvn (Subversion) probably the least complicated http://tortoisesvn.net/

6 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 6 Subversion Harry Central server Sally commit commit (fails) update modify update (merge) commit (succeeds)

7 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 7 LIAM2 - Website(s) http://liam2.plan.be News (new releases, etc.) Downloads (the ready-to-use bundles) Executable, editor, documentation, demo models Online documentation http://github.com/liam2/liam2 Source code (GPL license) Bug reports/feature requests

8 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 8 LIAM2 - Contact Mailing lists Announcements (new releases, …) http://groups.google.com/group/liam2-announce Users discussions/questions http://groups.google.com/group/liam2-users Development discussions http://groups.google.com/group/liam2-dev Emails you do not want to be public liam2@plan.be

9 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 9 International Microsimulation Association http://www.microsimulation.org/ International Journal of Microsimulation http://www.microsimulation.org/ijm/

10 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 10 International Microsimulation Association “The International Microsimulation Association, launched in October 2005, aims to promote the free inter-change of experience and ideas between practitioners of microsimulation worldwide.”  Conferences  Journal  Other resources -Email discussion list -LinkedIn discussion list -Resource centre (under development)

11 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 11 International Microsimulation Association World Congresses Vienna (2007) Ottawa (2009) Stockholm (2011) Canberra (2013) Luxembourg (2015) Turin (2017) Regional conferences Europe: Brussels (2010), Maastricht (2014), Dublin (2012) Budapest (2015) America: tba Asia: tba

12 Autumn School Dynamic MSM16-18 November 2015 | L-Esch-sur-Alzette Slide 12 International Jounal of Microsimulation The International Journal of Microsimulation (IJM) is the official online peer- reviewed journal of the International Microsimulation Association. Editor: Matteo Richiardi Book Review Editor: Eveline van Leeuwen Assistant Editor: Jinjing Li Scientific Commitee: Rolf Aaberge, Jakub Bijak, Francesco Billari, Ugo Colombino, John Creedy, André Decoster, Gijs Dekkers, Lennart Flood, Cathal O'Donoghue, Andreas Peichl, Nicole Saam, Holly Sutherland, Leigh Tesfatsion, Michael Wolfson The IJM is listed in EBSCOhost, EconLit, RePEc, Scopus. The IDEAS/RePEc impact factor of the journal is 1.322 (September 2015).


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