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PROCESS Receive data from Institutes Load data in Fame database Seasonally adjust the data Calculate Composite indicators Calculate Aggregates (EU/euro.

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Presentation on theme: "PROCESS Receive data from Institutes Load data in Fame database Seasonally adjust the data Calculate Composite indicators Calculate Aggregates (EU/euro."— Presentation transcript:

1 PROCESS Receive data from Institutes Load data in Fame database Seasonally adjust the data Calculate Composite indicators Calculate Aggregates (EU/euro area) Present results in press release Make data available on the internet

2 Seasonal Adjustment Used method: Dainties Advantage: No recalculations when new data arrives Disadvantage: Not commonly used by other institutions.

3 COMPOSITE INDICATORS Confidence Indicator for each sector Average of balance of selected questions Economic Sentiment Indicator: Industry Confidence Indicator (40%) Consumer Confidence Indicator (20%) Retail Confidence Indicator (20%) Construction Confidence Indicator (20%) Service sector is NOT included in ESI Business Climate Indicator

4 Aggregates EU Eurozone Future Member States

5 Press Release Last working day of the month at 12.00h All Member States + Agregates All Sectors + Confidence Indicators All Questions (Balances) (not for FMS) Last 12 months Monthly special topics –Quarterly survey –World Economic Survey –FMS components –Investment plans –Export Volume –Capacity Utilisation

6 Data on Internet Press releases Historical data (back to 1985) in EXCEL User Guide http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_financ e/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys _en.htm

7 Comparison with National data Not only aggregates, also countries National Institutes often earlier Collection is harmonised (questionnaire) Presentation of Data is not Outcomes may differ

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15 Differences Kind of differences Level vs development Long term vs short term Cause of differences Coverage Seasonal Adjustment method Different questions used


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