1. Purpose To deepen your knowledge to use satellite images for practical nowcasting during situations of summer convection  Model monitoring  Interpretation of relevant structures  Optimal utilisation of different kind of data  radar, NWP, radiosoundings, synops

2. Pre-requesites Pre-reading of material and quiz in relation to "Convection" Online-presentation

3. Content 1.Repition conceptual models –Diagrammes –How it looks in satellite images, typical structures 2.Nowcasting process –Pre-warning –Interpretation of satellite images –combination with radar (briefly) 3.Group work and discussions

4. Conceptual models

5. Typical hodographs single cell multi cell super cell

6. Development stages of single cells

7. Radar echos within a multi cell WER = Weak Echo Region

8. Cross section of a super cell gust front hail rain gust clouds Windspeed H e i g h t (km) H e i g h t (km) Movement of the system: from left to right horizontal hatched: updraft, vertical hatched: radar echo of more than 10³ mm 6 m -3 Right diagramm: wind speed relatively to the movement of the super cell Overshooting possible

9. Radar echos within a squall-line

10. NOAA-VIS, 28.05.99, 14 UTC: Convective structures Multicells, cirrus shield spreaded to the NE according to high level wind Single cells Super cells, first overshootings Squall-line development

11. V-Notch: NOAA IR 10.8 μm (02.06.99, 14:52 UTC) Video V-Notches: tip directed to SW and to SE, repectively

12. Squall-Line: NOAA IR 10.8 μm (02.06.1999, 17:25)

13. Squall-Line: NOAA VIS 0.8 μm (02.06.1999, 17:25) Overshootings Bow structure

14. MCC: NOAA 0.8 μm (28.05.99, 17:36 UTC) Overshootings

15. MCC: NOAA IR 10.8 μm (28.05.99, 17:36 UTC)

16. Nowcasting - process

17. Pre-warning (NWP-fields), here only surface pressure+ equivalent potential temperature (850 hPa) KO-index + vertical velocity in 500 hPa Pre-warning (radiosoundings)

18. Radiosoundings (Middle Europe): KO + Wind 850 hPa  present situation: potential instability

19. Radiosounding (SW-Germany): Measurement + evaluation

20. GME+06h (02-06-09, 06 UTC): NWP-field okay? / which conceptual model? Airmass-RGB + potential vorticity 330 K (near tropopause)

21. GME+12h (02-06-09, 12 UTC) KO-Index and vertical motion (500 hPa) (Two critical areas over / near Germany)

22. GME+12h (02-06-09, 12 UTC) Surface pressure and Theta (850 hPa) (Two convergences over / near Germany)

23. Nowcasting up to 6 hours (which conceptual models can be used)

24. Convection at leading edge of frontal cloud band (from Satmanu)

25. Convection by PV-triggering (from Satmanu) PV-max PVA  convection PVA movement

26. Airmass-RGB + PV at 330 K Ellipse: Convection at leading edge of frontal cloud bands Arrows: PV-maxima 6 hours later  Convection by PV?

27. 2-6-09, 06 UTC: Surface pressure tendencies (hPa/10/3h) + 10 m wind + Water vapour 6.2 μm

28. Weather monitoring and nowcasting

29. Utilisation of different products (beginning convection) (02-06-2009) HRV: 9:30Radar (1km): 9:45IR-CTT < -25°C: 10:15 RGB "Airmass": 11:30 (becoming less suitable – not further used) RGB "Severe convection": 11:30 (becoming more important) ! ! less dangerous

30. 2-6-09, 12:30 UTC: 10 m wind + "Severe convection"

31. 2-6-09, 12:30 UTC: 10 m wind + IR-enhanced (hail possible)

32. 2-6-09, 14 UTC: Surface pressure tendencies (hPa/10/3h) (decreasing, increasing) + 10 m wind + HRV

33. 2-6-09, 14:30 UTC: 10 m wind + IR-enhanced (V-structure)

34. 2-6-09, 14:30 UTC: Information from different remote sensing (strong convection) 9 km hail likely, cell's mature stage HRV: overshooting  severe convection, cells' development southeast IR-enhanced: V- structure  severe convection, cells' development southeast "severe convection": small ice particles at SE edge of big complex  strongest updraft. New cells SE of it, small yellow area  development potential. Doppler: gusts at least 35 knots, observation network: "only" 19 knots

35. 2-6-09, 18 UTC: Surface pressure tendencies (hPa/10/3h) + (decreasing, increasing) + 10 m wind + HRV Increasing surface pressure  convection's weakening

36. Summary 1. For "early warning" –NWP (monitoring with corresponding measurments and/or satellite images) –NWP: Regions of convection –Radiosoundings 2.Nowcasting –before clouds develop and during convection's onset: Airmass / WV some hours before hints to probable convection (consider also the movement of relevant structures (PV-maxima)) –HRV with first hints, followed by a) radar b) IR and composites –After convection started Airmass and WV with reduced benefit "Severe convection" very helpful for development's potential IR: hail, V-structures (according enhancement) HRV: Overshootings, most active convection, V-structure, bow-structure Fine structure: radar Thunderstorms: Lightning detection Observations / measurements, of course!