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Presentation at NAR Annual Conference and Expo Orlando, FL November 7, 2008 Presentation at NAR Annual Conference and Expo Orlando, FL November 7, 2008.

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Presentation on theme: "Presentation at NAR Annual Conference and Expo Orlando, FL November 7, 2008 Presentation at NAR Annual Conference and Expo Orlando, FL November 7, 2008."— Presentation transcript:

1 Presentation at NAR Annual Conference and Expo Orlando, FL November 7, 2008 Presentation at NAR Annual Conference and Expo Orlando, FL November 7, 2008 Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Housing Market Outlook Through Economic Recession

2 Big Subprime Mess economy

3 Subprime Loan Origination Source: U.S. Treasury Department, WSJ Market Data Group, Inside Mortgage Finance $ billion

4 Delinquency Rates Subprime vs. Prime Delinquency Rates Subprime vs. Prime Data: Mortgage Bankers Association

5 Source: NAR Estimate Subprime Loan Exposure

6 Source: NAR Estimate Foreclosed Homes

7 Foreclosure Rate on All Mortgages in U.S. Source: NAR Analysis of MBA data - Today’s foreclosures are double the historic average due to sour performance of subprime loans - Foreclosure rates from all homes would be 1/3 lower because no risks from free & clear homes.

8 Foreclosure Rates by Loan Type 2007 Q2 Data: MBA %


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