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Larry Williams in Moscow
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©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
Here’s Where I Live ©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
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©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
Here’s Where I Live ©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
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THE GOOD NEWS MOST ANYONE CAN LEARN TO TRADE SUCCESSFULLY!!
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©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
53 Years of Trading The fact I have made millions, my students have made millions only tells us my approach works and has for a long, long time. We are not one hit wonders! ©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
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Just last week… 2015-11-13 19:18:00.522 GMT By Lu Wang (Bloomberg) –
Larry Williams, a trader whose market-timing tool ranks best among almost two dozen strategies in 2015, said U.S. stocks will resume their advance in coming weeks, lifting the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index above its May record by year-end
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Best Week of 2015 as Interest Concerns Fade
Fridays Headline U.S. Stocks have Best Week of 2015 as Interest Concerns Fade
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CURRENT 52 WINING TRADES
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HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
MY TRADING SUCCESS HAS COME FROM ONE OF TWO APPROACHES
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HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
SHORT TERM TRADING WITH LOTS OF TRADES IN MOST ACTIVE MARKETS; GOLD, BONDS, E MINI Patterns, Momentum, Influences
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HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
2) Longer term “Fundamentally Set Up” trades. Specific set up markets Smart Money, Accumulation, Fade Public
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FIDELITY STUDY 1) The shorter you hold a stock, the more likely you are to lose money 2) Accounts that had done the best were the accounts of people who forgot they had an account at Fidelity
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HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
EXPONENTAIL WEALTH COMES FROM BEING A GOOD TO DECENT TRADER USING AGGRESSIVE MONEY MANAGEMENT
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SIN STOCKS
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VALUE TRUMPS GROWTH
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HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
MONEY MANAGEMENT IS THE KEY TO THE KINGDOM OF WEALTH BUT IS ALSO OPENS THE DOOR TO DISASTER
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$1,250 profits from
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1.6 Million With Money Management
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
Russian Stocks are predictable Cycles Seasonals Mutual Fund influences. Professional Accumulation
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MAJOR 80 WEEK CYCLE
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SEASONAL PATTERN
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2016 SEASONAL projection RTSI
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VALUATION MODEL
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
World wide stocks rally at the end of The month and Russia is no exception
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
RULE Buy on the opening of the 2nd to last day of the month, hold for 2 days and exit 60% winners
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
QUESTIONS TO ASK ARE SOME MONTHS BETTER THAN OTHERS? DOES TREND MATTER?
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
BYPASS MAY JULY AUGUST FOCUS ON JANUARY MARCH JUNE NOVEMBER DECEMBER
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
Monday has not been a great day For this strategy Helps if trend is up; close > close 40 days ago
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
THAT IS MY OOPS! PATTERN IF OPEN IS < PRIOR LOW BUY WHEN COMES BACK TO PRIOR LOW
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
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EXAMPLES
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EXAMPLES
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OOPS! IN RUBLE
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OOPS! IN RUBLE
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
RUSSIANS LIKE TO FOLLOW STRENGTH WHEN TUESDAY HAS BEEN STRONG
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
WHAT IS THE BEST DAY TO BUY ?? WHAT IS THE BEST DAY TO SELL??
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
BEST BUY DAY IS WEDNESDAY
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Wednesday Buys
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Secrets of Trading in Russia
BEST SELL DAY TUESDAY
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FAKEOUT PATTERN KEY REVERSALS ARE NOT REAL REVERSALS
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FAKEOUT PATTERN
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FAKEOUT PATTERN
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FAKEOUT PATTERN
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FAKEOUT SELL RUBLE
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FAKEOUT PATTERN
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FAKEOUT PATTERN
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FAKEOUT PATTERN FAKEOUT RUBLE
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More Examples
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E MINI SIGNALS
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4 TYPES OF DAYS ONLY 4 TYPES OF DAYS 1. UP RANGE 2. DOWN RANGE
3. OUTSIDE RANGE 4. INSIDE RANGE
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4 TYPES OF DAYS
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OUTSIDE DAYS
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INSIDE DAYS
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8 TYPES OF DAYS ONLY 4 TYPES OF DAYS—8 PATTERNS 1 UP RANGE +/- DAY
2 DOWN RANGE /-DAY 3 OUTSIDE RANGE +/- DAY 4 INSIDE RANGE /- DAY
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KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE
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KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE
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KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE
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your system DO NOT MATTER
Money Management Math % Accuracy #’s etc of your system DO NOT MATTER MUCH AT ALL!! RALPH VINCE A MUST READ
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Money Management Curve
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Martingale DOUBLE UP AFTER EVERY LOSSS OR SOME VERSION
OF THAT STRATEGY
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DIFFERENT FORMULA KELLY RATIO OPTIMAL F RYAN JONES LATANTE
WILLIAMS % RISK
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Money Management Math YOU MUST INCREASE BET SIZE AS PROFITS INCREASE
YOU MUST DECREASE BET SIZE AS AS PROFITS DECREASE
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Money Management Math YOU MUST COMMIT A FIXED % OF ACCOUNT
SO RISK IS EQUALL ON EACH TRADE/WAGER
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Just Like Trading
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Money Management Math IT ONLY TAKES ONE LOSING TRADE
TO WIPE OUT A TRADER…ONLY ONE That’s Like Russian Roulette
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Money Management Math THE MORE YOU RISK THE MORE YOU CAN GAIN
AND THE MORE YOU RISK THE MORE YOU CAN LOSE IS THE PROBLEM
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Money Management Math ONE TRADE, ONE BULLET KILLS YOU
I HAVE SEEN THE MARKETS DESTROY MANY PEOPLE MUST ALWAYS BE DILLIGENT
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Money Management Math IF YOU BET BIG YOU WILL LOSE BIG
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Money Management Math IF YOU BET SMALL YOU CAN ONLY LOSE SMALL
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Money Management Math PROFITS ARE A FUNCTION OF TREND
NO TREND NO PROFITS
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Money Management Math TREND IS A FUNCTION OF TIME THE MORE TIME
THE BIGGER THE TREND
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Money Management Math THE ONLY WAY DAYTRADERS
CAN WIN BIG IS TO BET BIG AS THEY CANNOT CATCH LARGE TREND MOVES ---NO TIME---
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Money Management Math TO WIN BIG BET SMALL AND CATCH LARGE MOVES
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all that matters is my next trade
Money Management Math IT’S ALWAYS 50/50 all that matters is my next trade
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CONSECUTIVE LOSSES MATTER!!
Risk Factor Per Trade 10% 5% 4% 3% 2% Equity Decline 4 Losers 34% 19% 15% 11.5% 8.0%
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HOW I DO IT 2% RISK ON EACH TRADE
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HOW I DO IT HOW FAR AWAY IS STOP? $1,000 2) WHAT IS 2% OF MY ACCOUNT?
1000/2000 = 2 UNITS IF STOP WAS $100/$2000= 20 UNITS
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Money Management It’s all about you… E=mc2
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ERASE THE FEAR "If you command a lot of cash you can be wrong and still not have to worry." Irving Kahn passed away at 104 in 2015 a Legendary Investor
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Emotional Management Why am I taking this action?
What is the worst thing than can happen? Can I handle that? Am I responding to fear or taking correct ACTION?
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3 Traits of Winning Traders
1. They are not easily flustered, so they don’t make emotional decisions 2. They are not over confident of their abilities They are good with details Dr. Jason Williams “The mental edge in trading”
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Wisdom from a Chess Master
The player who hesitates is often saved All the right moves are there on the board, waiting to be made. Your job is to find them
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2015 FORECAST
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2015 FORECAST
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1905 PATTERN
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1915 PATTERN
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1925 PATTERN
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1935 PATTERN
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1945 PATTERN
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1955 PATTERN
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1965 PATTERN
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1975 PATTERN
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1985 PATTERN
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1995 PATTERN
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2005 PATTERN
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2015 PATTERN
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1937 YEARS
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1947
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1957
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1967
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1977
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1987
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1997
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2007
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THE COMING CRASH ‘7’ YEARS
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LONG TERM PATTERN
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SOLAR INFLUENCE
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“TRUST BUT VERIFY”
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HOW MARKETS MOVE SMALL RANGES TO LARGE RANGES
TOPS WITH LARGE CLOSE- LOW BOTTOMS SMALL CLOSE- LOW
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HOW MARKETS MOVE CONGESTION TO CREATION SMALL OPEN TO CLOSE TO LARGE
6. ‘U’ SHAPED INTRA DAY
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HOW MARKETS MOVE CRITICAL POINT FOR SHORT TERM TRADERS
LARGE RANGE DAYS (WHERE THE MONEY IS) CLOSE ON THEIR EXTREMES
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SMALL RANGES TO LARGE RANGES
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TOPS WITH LARGE CLOSE- LOW
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BOTTOMS SMALL CLOSE- LOW
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SMALL OPEN TO CLOSE TO LARGE OPEN TO CLOSE
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WEEKLY CHART
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‘U’ SHAPED INTRA DAY
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LARGE RANGE RULE
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LARGE RANGE RULE
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Set up trades COMMERCIALS—COT REPORT SEASONALS CYCLES ADVISORS PAUNCH
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COMMERCIALS—COT REPORT
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COT REPORT COMMERCIALS ARE HEDGERS, USERS AND PRODUCERS
LARGE TRADERS ARE FUNDS SMALL TRADERS ARE THE PUBLIC
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COMMERCIALS THEY DO NOT MAKE MONEY TRADING THEY BUY WEAKNESS
THEY SELL STRENGTH
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LARGE TRADERS SPECUALTORS THEY BUY STRENGTH/SELL WEAKNESS
CRITICAL---THEY ADD TO POSITIONS
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SMALL TRADERS THE PUBLIC REACT TO PRICE WITH NO MONEY MANAGEMENT
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NET POSITION
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NET POSITION
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COT TO INDICATORS
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INDICATORS
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COTSI ALL MARKETS
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RTSI
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RUBLE
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ADX/PAUNCH
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ADX/PAUNCH 40 AND DECLINING SETS UP BUY SIGNAL 60 IS END OF THAT TREND
PRICE RALLYING ADX DOWN IS SELL SET UP
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ADX/PAUNCH
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ADX/PAUNCH
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ADX/PAUNCH DAILY
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ADX/PAUNCH INTRA DAY
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AUTO TRADE
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AUTO TRADE RESULTS
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AUTO TRADE RESULTS
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BOTTOM LINE “CHARTS DON’T MOVE MARKETS… CONDITIONS MOVE MARKETS”
And now you know the conditions I use in my own trading
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RUBLE FORECAST
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RUBLE FORECAST
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2016 RUSSIA FORECAST
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The End Удачи и хорошие торговые Larry Williams Ireallytrade.com
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