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Conceptual & technical advances in Down’s syndrome screening Howard Cuckle

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Presentation on theme: "Conceptual & technical advances in Down’s syndrome screening Howard Cuckle"— Presentation transcript:

1 Conceptual & technical advances in Down’s syndrome screening Howard Cuckle h.s.cuckle@leeds.ac.uk

2

3 Unaffected Affected Marker level 100 1100.5550 0.1

4 100 1100.5550 0.1 Separation or Inter-mean SDs Marker level

5 0.06 1160.25464 Unaffected Spina bifida Anencephaly AFP (MoM) UK Collaborative AFP Study, 1977

6 Separation (SD's) Anen- cephaly Spina bifida

7 Separation (SD's) 10 14 11 12

8 152025303540455055 Maternal age Down's syndrome Unaffected 35

9 Unaffected Affected 100 1100.5550 0.1 Likelihood ratio Marker level

10 Separation (SD's) 10 14 11 12    

11 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age  AFP, uE 3, freeß & inhibin

12 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives  

13 Separation (SD's) 10 14 11 12   

14 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age  PAPP-A & freeß NT

15 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives    

16 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age PAPP-A & hCG NT 

17 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives    

18 Non-viable Insignificant1 in 100,0001 in 10,0001 in 1,0001 in 1001 in 10Certain Down's syndrome Unaffected

19  34 studies 2,400k women 9 studies 77k women 

20

21 Separation (SD's) 10 14 11 12       

22 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age PAPP-A alone  AFP, uE 3, freeß & inhibin

23 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives      

24 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age PAPP-A & freeß AFP, uE 3, freeß & inhibin  

25 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives        

26 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age    PAPP-A & freeß AFP, uE 3, freeß & inhibin  

27 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives          

28    FaSTER Malone et al, 2005

29 Separation (SD's) 10 14 11 12

30 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age NF & NBL

31 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives    

32 Even more contingent strategies are coming your way soon

33 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age    PAPP-A & freeß

34 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives      

35 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age DV & TR NT, NB & FMF

36 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives    

37 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age  NT   DV & TR NB & FMF

38  Fetal Medicine Foundation Nicolaides et al, 2005 

39 Separation (SD's) 8-9 14 10 11-3

40 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age PAPP-A & ADAM12 free ß-hCG

41 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives    

42 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age   PAPP-A & ADAM12 free ß-hCG 

43 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives      

44 7891011121314151617181920 Gestational age  NF & NBL  

45 Detection rate 5% false-positives1% false-positives        

46 Separation (SD's) Gestation (weeks)

47 Separation (SD's) Gestation (weeks) Mrs B Mrs A

48 0.01 100.110.050.55 0.1 1 0.5 5 10 Down’s syndromeUnaffected pregnancies 10 weeks PAPP-A (MoM) 17 weeks PAPP-A (MoM)

49 0.01 100.110.050.55 0.1 1 0.5 5 10 10 weeks PAPP-A (MoM) 17 weeks PAPP-A (MoM)

50 Single gene Heart NTD Aneuploidy

51 Detection rate 5% false-positives10% false-positives


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