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Making an investment decision. Value  Investment value: The value determined in view of investment objectives, goals and constraints.  Market value:

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Presentation on theme: "Making an investment decision. Value  Investment value: The value determined in view of investment objectives, goals and constraints.  Market value:"— Presentation transcript:

1 Making an investment decision

2 Value  Investment value: The value determined in view of investment objectives, goals and constraints.  Market value: The price that participants in the market place are willing to pay for the investment, in order to make the investment decision. Market value also represent the anticipated future benefit.

3 Objectives of real estate investment  Means of building an estate  Pride of ownership  Hedge against inflation  Desired rate of return on equity invested  Diversification of investor objectives  Wealth Maximization

4 Risk & Return  Risk: is the variation in the expected future benefits.  Return: is the amount inflow generated by an investment each year. –NOI –NOI net of debt payments –After-tax Cash Flows  Rate of return: is measured as percentage per year as relationships between cash flows and amount invested

5 Real Estate Investment Process  Identify investor’s objectives, Goals, and constraints  Analyze Investment Climate and Market Conditions  Develop Financial Analysis  Apply Decision-making Criteria  Investment Decision

6 Identifying investor objectives  Each participants have different objectives in real estate investment.  The Equity investor: amount of cash flows from the investment and must be certain of having the legal rights to the cash flows  The Mortgage lender: recovery of the amount lent, as well as in earning a rate of return on the loan.  The Tenant: Lease  The Government: The relationship among participants and restrictions on real estate market

7 Environment for Decision Making  Market Environment: Supply & Demand, Real Estate Sub-market, Population, employment, income, etc.  Legal Environment: Forms of ownership, Land-use control, Limitations on property rights. Community.  Financing Environment: Debt & Equity Financing  Tax environment

8 Cash Flows Forecasting  Cash outflows from initial investment  Cash flows from rent collection  Cash flows from assets disposition

9 Cash Flows Forecasting (cont’)  Potential Gross Income: (PGI)  Vacancy and bad debt allowance  Effective Gross Income (EGI)  Operating expenses  Net Operation Income (NOI)  Debt Service  Before Tax Cash Flows (BTCF)  Tax  After Tax Cash Flows (ATCF)

10 Cash Flows From sales of investment  Expected Selling Price  Selling expenses  Net sales Proceeds  Unpaid Mortgage balance  Before-tax equity reversion  Taxes due on sales  After-tax equity reversion

11 Criteria for Decision Making  Rules-of Thumb Techniques: Gross Income Multiplier (GIM), Overall Capitalization (net income multiplier), Equity Dividend  Traditional Appraisal Method: Direct Sales Comparison Approach, Cost Approach, Traditional Income Approach  Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): NPV, IRR


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