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United Nations Economic Commission for Europe Statistical Division ISSUES AND CHALLENGES IN ECONOMIC STATISTICS IN EECCA COUNTRIES Lidia Bratanova, Statistical Division, UNECE
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 2 Content of the presentation National Accounts; Price Statistics: Consumer Price Index Producer Price Index Business Statistics: Statistical Business Registers Short-term Statistics
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 3 National Accounts High quality national accounts are based on : 1. The overall statistical infrastructure, existing standards, quality and availability of basic statistics; 2. Specific methods and techniques for calculation of the national accounts aggregates.
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 4 National Accounts - prerequisites Development are needed in the following areas: Coverage of economic activities: output and deflators for services (financial, non-market, processing) Bookkeeping standards: full harmonization with international accounting standards Cumulative data Use of administrative data sources Internationally comparable classifications: ISIC/NACE Institutional sectors classification COFOG, COPNI
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 5 National Accounts - methods Implementation of the 2008 SNA Development of national implementation plans Priority should be given to changes affecting GDP measures Translation of the 2008 SNA (http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/sn a2008.pdf) in Russian;http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/sn a2008.pdf Development of guidelines facilitating the implementation of the 2008 SNA
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 6 National Accounts – methods Non-observed economy Independent GDP estimates Allocation of FISIM Constant price estimates Quarterly National Accounts Financial Accounts Balance sheets (consumption of fixed capital, net measures, holding gains/losses)
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 7 Price Indices Consumer Price Index (CPI) Population and geographical coverage Coverage: rented dwellings, owner occupied housing, health, own account production, IT products and services Treatment of taxes and subsidies to get purchases prices; Sampling: reducing sample sizes and response burden by optimizing sampling techniques; Methodological issues: calculation methods, missing prices, seasonal products, quality changes Dissemination: publication of long time series (of non- cumulative indexes)
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 8 Price Indices Producer Price Index (PPI) Coverage of establishments and commodities: optimized sampling to reduce response burden; Recording of basic prices: adjustment for taxes and subsidies, transfer prices; Methodological issues: adjustment for quality change; Use of classifications not comparable with ISIC/NACE; Dissemination: publication of long time series of non- cumulative indexes. Producer Price Index for Services Export and Import Price Indexes
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 9 Price Indices - International Guidelines Consumer Price Index Manual. Theory and Practice (2004) - available also in Russian www.ilo.org/cpi-manuals Practical Guide to Producing Consumer Price Indices. A Supplementary Handbook to the CPI Manual (forthcoming) www.unece.org/stats/archive/02.07.e.htm Producer Price Index Manual. Theory and Practice (2004) – translation into Russian underway www.imf.org/external/np/sta/tegppi/index.htm Exports and Imports Price Index Manual (forthcoming) www.imf.org/external/np/sta/tegeipi/index.htm
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 10 Business Statistics Statistical Business registers (SBRs) Diversity of SBRs between countries: different legislation and institutional set-up, need of (sub)-regional harmonization Statistics derived directly from the SBRs Business demography Implementation of revised ISIC/NACE classifications Inclusion of multinational enterprises Legal and administrative obstacles for the use of administrative data: need of improved data-sharing and confidentiality legislation
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- UNECE Statistical Division Slide 11 Business Statistics Short-term Economic Indicators Publication of long time series Fixed based indices and discrete absolute values Publication of revised historical series Seasonal adjusted short-term statistics Development of statistics on services Sample sizes and response burden Publication policy: methodological documentation for users, advance release calendars, revision policy for publication of historical data
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