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Solar Powering Your Community Solarize South Jersey
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The Solar Foundation awinn@solarfound.org Alexander Winn The Solar Foundation phaddix@solarfound.org Philip Haddix
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a The SunShot Solar Outreach Partnership (SolarOPs) is a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) program designed to increase the use and integration of solar energy in communities across the US. About the SunShot Solar Outreach Partnership
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Increase installed capacity of solar electricity in U.S. communities Streamline and standardize permitting and interconnection processes Improve planning and zoning codes/regulations for solar electric technologies Increase access to solar financing options About the SunShot Solar Outreach Partnership
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e-e- e-e- Some Basic Terminology Capacity / Power kilowatt (kW) Production Kilowatt-hour (kWh) e-e-
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System Components
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What benefits can solar bring to your community?
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Benefits: Solar Economic Growth Source: SEIA/GTM Research – 2009/2010/2011/2012 Year in Review Report http://www.seia.org/research-resources/us-solar-market-insight http://www.seia.org/research-resources/us-solar-market-insight 8 ~40% CAGR
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Benefits: Solar Job Growth Source: SEIA Estimates (2006-2009), The Solar Foundation’s National Solar Jobs Census report series 9 SEIA Estimates The Solar Foundation
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27 Jobs and $4.2 Million The Local Economic Opportunity Source: JEDI Model, NREL In economic output 1 Megawatt of Residential Solar Development in New Jersey:
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495 solar companies that employ 7,200 people Economic Development in New Jersey Source: SEIA, The Solar Foundation There are currently
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Economic Development in New Jersey Source: SEIA’s National Solar Database
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Benefit: Stabilize Energy Prices Source: NEPOOL 13
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Smart Investment for Homeowners Source: LBNL, Selling Into the Sun (2015)
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Reduction in Air Emissions A 5-kW solar PV system produces 6,700 kWh in the first year, equivalent to 4.6 metric tons of avoided CO 2 emissions Water Savings Annual savings of nearly1,400 gallons of water Environmental Benefits Source: NREL PVWatts; EPA Greenhouse Gas Equivalencies Calculator; http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/045802/pdf/1748-9326_7_4_045802.pdf http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/045802/pdf/1748-9326_7_4_045802.pdf 520 gallons of gasoline 3.8 acres of U.S. forests
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Overview of the State and National Solar Market
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New Jersey Solar Market Source: SEIA/GTM Research, Solar Market Insight; IREC, Solar Market Trends Cumulative Total: 1,524 Megawatts Cumulative Total: 1,524 Megawatts
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Source: New Jersey’s Clean Energy Program, “New Jersey Solar Installation Update 5/31/2015”
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US Solar Market Source: Solar Energy Industries Association/ GTM Research, Solar Market Insight: 2014 Year-in-Review Cumulative Total: ~21,000 Megawatts Cumulative Total: ~21,000 Megawatts
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US Solar Market Source: SEIA, Solar Market Insight Q2 2015 7.25% of US Capacity
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New Jersey Solar Market Source: SEIA, Solar Market Insight Q2 2015 New Jersey US 170 watts per person 68 watts per person
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World Solar Market Source: REN 21, Renewables 2015 Global Status Report Germany 21.5 % USA 10.2%
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US Solar Resource Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory 25
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The Cost of Solar PV Tracking the Sun VIII: The Installed Cost of Photovoltaics in the US from 1998-2014 (LBNL) 48% drop in price 2010 - 2014 48% drop in price 2010 - 2014
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The Cost of Solar in the US Source: NREL (http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf)http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf LBNL (http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdf)(http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf )http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdfhttp://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf
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The Cost of Solar in the US Source: NREL (http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf)http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf LBNL (http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdf)(http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf )http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdfhttp://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf
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The Cost of Solar in the US Source: NREL (http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf)http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf LBNL (http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdf)(http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf )http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdfhttp://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf
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The Cost of Solar in the US Profits, Taxes, & Overhead Source: NREL (http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf)http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf LBNL (http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdf)(http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf )http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdfhttp://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf
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The Cost of Solar in the US Solar Soft Costs Source: NREL (http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf)http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/60412.pdf LBNL (http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdf)(http://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf )http://emp.lbl.gov/sites/all/files/lbnl-6350e.pdfhttp://www1.eere.energy.gov/solar/pdfs/sunshot_webinar_20130226.pdf
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Solar Policies, Incentives, and Financing
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Type: Tax Credit Eligibility: For-Profit Organizations Residential Customers Value: 30% of the installation cost Availability: Through 2016 Investment Tax Credit
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Renewable Portfolio Standard Any electricity source Renewable Energy
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Renewable Portfolio Standard Any electricity source Solar carve-out Renewable Energy
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RPS: New Jersey Overview New Jersey utilities required to: Provide 22.5% renewable energy by 2021 – 11.3% in 2015 Provide 4.1% solar by 2028 – 2.45% in 2015 Utilities may either develop their own renewable resources or purchase Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs)
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Renewable Energy Certificates e-e- REC $ $ Utility Home
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The New Jersey SREC Market Systems can sell RECs for first 15 years of operation Prices determined by market (currently around $200/MWh) Past high prices have driven the New Jersey solar boom
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NJ SREC Price History
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Financing Options for Solar Buy Outright Lending Third-Party Ownership
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Financing Options for Solar Buy OutrightLendingThird Party Upfront CostHighLow to None O&M CostsCustomer Developer Solar Electricity CostsNonePredictable PaymentsPredicable Payments DifficultyComplexModerateEasy Value to CustomerPotentially Higher ROIModerate ROIShared Benefits Development RiskCustomer Developer Performance RiskCustomer Developer
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Net metering allows customers to export power to the grid during times of excess generation, and receive credits that can be applied to later electricity usage. Net Metering
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Load Met by Grid Exports to Grid Load Met by Solar
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Net Metering: Market Share Source: IREC (http://www.irecusa.org/wp-content/uploads/IRECSolarMarketTrends-2012-web.pdf)http://www.irecusa.org/wp-content/uploads/IRECSolarMarketTrends-2012-web.pdf More than 93% of distributed PV Installations are net-metered
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Provides a “report card” for state policy on net metering and interconnection http://freeingthegrid.org/ Net Metering: Resources Resource Freeing the Grid
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Net Metering: New Jersey Source: Freeing the Grid, DSIRE Applicable Utilities Investor-owned utilities; Electric suppliers Credit Rollover Monthly excess valued at retail rate, annual excess at avoided cost Program Capacity Option for BPU to limit to 2.5% of peak demand (could be increased to 2.9%) System Capacity Limit Sized not to exceed consumption A 20102011201220132014 AAAAA A 2015
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Solar Access Laws: 1.Increase the likelihood that properties will receive sunlight 2.Protect the rights of property owners to install solar 3.Reduce the risk that systems will be shaded after installation Solar Access
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Solar Access: New Jersey Solar Rights Limits on Homeowners Associations ability to restrict solar 10% cost adder limit Solar Easements Solar owners allowed to enter into easements with neighbors Statute provides minimum information required in easement
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Reducing Customer Acquisition Soft Costs with Solarize
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Customer Acquisition Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory 50 $0.48 Per watt
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Customer Acquisition 5 % of homeowners that request a quote choose to install solar.
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Barriers High upfront cost Complexity Customer inertia Customer Acquisition
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The Solarize Program Group purchasing for residential solar PV
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Barriers High upfront cost Complexity Customer inertia Solutions Group purchase Vetted offer and standardized process Limited-time offer The Solarize Program
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Solarize: Partnership Program Sponsor Solar Contractor Citizen Volunteers Community Residents Competitive selection Community ties Technical knowledge Marketing & outreach Campaign support Neighborhood outreach Free site assessments Solar installations Volume discounts Tiered pricing Program participation Word of mouth
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Solarize: Process Select Installer Marketing & Workshops Enrollment Site Assessment Decision & Installation
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Solarize: Case Study Source: Wikipedia Harvard, Massachusetts Population: 6,520
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Solarize: Case Study Select Installer Marketing & Workshops Enrollment Site Assessment Decision & Installation April 2011 Dec 2011 Solarize Mass Harvard April 2011
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Group Purchasing Average PV Cost July 2011: $5.75 / watt
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Solarize: Case Study Select Installer Marketing & Workshops Enrollment Site Assessment Decision & Installation April 2011 Dec 2011 Solarize Mass Harvard May – July 2011
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Marketing Strategy: Electronic survey of 1,100 households Email newsletters and direct mailings Float in July 4 parade Articles and advertisements in local newspaper Facebook page and online discussion board Solarize: Case Study Source: Vote Solar
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Solarize: Case Study Select Installer Marketing & Workshops Enrollment Site Assessment Decision & Installation April 2011 Dec 2011 Solarize Mass Harvard June – Oct 2011 429 households signed up
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Solarize: Case Study Select Installer Marketing & Workshops Enrollment Site Assessment Decision & Installation April 2011 Dec 2011 Solarize Mass Harvard Oct 2011 151 feasible households
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Solarize: Case Study Select Installer Marketing & Workshops Enrollment Site Assessment Decision & Installation April 2011 Dec 2011 Solarize Mass Harvard Oct –Dec 2011 75 Contracts
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Group Purchasing 403 kW capacity contracted
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Solarize: Case Study 75 new installations totaling 403 kW 30% reduction in price of solar 17% of sign-ups converted to sales (50% of site visits) Over 5x increase in residential installations Success convinced state agencies to scale program
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Solarize: Sample NJ Cost Savings $3.90/W (2014 State Average) $3.12/W (20% Solarize Discount) System Size5 kW Annual Production6,702 kWh Total Cost$19,500$15,600 30% Federal ITC($5,850)($4,680) Net Cost$13,650$10,920 Annual Electricity Savings$1,217 20-yr. Net Present Value$8,322$10,836 Payback Period6.7 Years5.4 Years Assumptions: Atlantic City TMY2 Weather Data; 1.1 DC to AC ratio; 96% inverter efficiency; 20 degree tilt; 180 degree azimuth; 14.08% total system losses; 0.5% annual degradation rate; 100% debt; 10 year loan @ 5% interest; 20 year analysis period; 8.14% nominal discount rate; 25% federal income tax rate; 6.37% state income tax rate; 0% sales and property tax rate; 0.5% annual insurance rate; $20/kW/year O&M costs; 30% Federal ITC; $200/SREC for 15 years; Atlantic City Electric RS rate; net metering enabled; 0.6% annual electric cost escalator; 8,386 kWh annual electric consumption
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A household is 0.78% more likely to adopt solar for each additional installation in their zip code Solarize: Lasting Impact Source: NYU Stern and Yale School of Forestry – Peer Effects in the Diffusion of Solar Panels
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Solarize: Lasting Impact Source: NREL Lasting Impact
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Solarize: National Growth Over 200 Campaigns in 20 States Thousands of homes Solarized!
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Watch for the Survey Sustainable Jersey will disseminate a short survey to gauge interest in enrolling in the program and/or in volunteering for the campaign Ask Questions Let us help you better understand the program and its benefits Sign Up to Volunteer Contact Zachary Nickerson (znickerson12@gmail.com) to help spread the wordznickerson12@gmail.com Solarize: Next Steps
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A roadmap for project planners and solar advocates who want to create their own successful Solarize campaigns. www.nrel.gov Solarize: Resources Resource The Solarize Guidebook
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