1. Status Report Fermilab Steering Group develop roadmap for accelerator-based HEP program at Fermilab Status Report Fermilab Steering Group develop roadmap for accelerator-based HEP program at Fermilab Young-Kee Kim Fermilab and University of Chicago DOE/NSF HEPAP Meeting, July 13, 2007

2. 1. Are there undiscovered principles of nature: New symmetries, new physical laws? 2. Are there extra dimensions of space? 3. Do all the forces become one? 4. Why are there so many kinds of particles? 5. What happened to the antimatter? 6. What is dark matter? How can we make it in the laboratory? 7. How can we solve the mystery of dark energy? 8. How did the universe come to be? 9. What are neutrinos telling us? From “Quantum Universe” and “Discovering Quantum Universe” Fermilab’s Scientific Program enables our community to address:

3. Fermilab Fermilab 2006-2007: Extraordinary years for Physics! Much more expected in the near future Planning further ahead in accelerator-based HEP program: Fermilab’s highest priorities – LHC/LHC upgrades & ILC

4. ILC Decision Timelines Possible ILC Decision Timelines LHC discoveries International Agreements ILC 2010 ILC Decision Site selected US colliders Shutdown Great Opportunity for ILC EPP2010 & P5 Assumption ILC 2010 ILC Decision ILC RDR with Cost Estimate in Feb. 2007

5. Fermilab Director Pier Oddone formed Steering Group to develop roadmap for Fermilab’s accelerator-based HEP program. March 22, 2007

6. Steering Group Charge In his remarks to HEPAP, Undersecretary Orbach requested a dialog with the HEP community: "In making our plans for the future, it is important to be conservative and to learn from our experiences. Even assuming a positive decision to build an ILC, the schedules will almost certainly be lengthier than the optimistic projections. Completing the R&D and engineering design, negotiating an international structure, selecting a site, obtaining firm financial commitments, and building the machine could take us well into the mid- 2020s, if not later. Within this context, I would like to re-engage HEPAP in discussion of the future of particle physics. If the ILC were not to turn on until the middle or end of the 2020s, what are the right investment choices to ensure the vitality and continuity of the field during the next two to three decades and to maximize the potential for major discovery during that period?"

7. Steering Group Charge (cont.) With the encouragement of the Office of Science and the support of Professor Mel Shochet, the chair of HEPAP, Fermilab will develop a strategic roadmap for the evolution of the accelerator-based HEP program, focusing on facilities at Fermilab that will provide discovery opportunities in the next two to three decades. This roadmap should keep the construction of the ILC as a goal of paramount importance. To guide this proposal, the Fermilab Director has appointed a Steering Group consisting of members from Fermilab and the national particle and accelerator physics community to insure that the plan serves national needs. The Steering Group will also engage additional constituents in the analysis of the various physics opportunities.

8. Steering Group Charge (cont.) The Steering Group will build the roadmap based on the recommendations of the EPP2010 National Academy report and the recommendations of the P5 subpanel of HEPAP. The Steering Group should consider the Fermilab based facilities in the context of the global particle physics program. Specifically the group should develop a strategic roadmap that: 1.supports the international R&D and engineering design for as early a start of the ILC as possible and supports the development of Fermilab as a potential host site for the ILC; 2.develops options for an accelerator-based high energy physics program in the event the start of the ILC construction is slower than the technically-limited schedule; and 3.includes the steps necessary to explore higher energy colliders that might follow the ILC or be needed should the results from LHC point toward a higher energy than that planned for the ILC.

9. Steering Group Charge (cont.) I am asking Deputy Director Kim to chair the Steering Group. Any recommendations that might be relevant to the FY09 budget should be transmitted as early as possible. The Steering Group's final report should be finished and delivered to the Fermilab Director by August 1, 2007. This deadline would allow for presentations to the DOE and its advisory bodies before the structuring of the FY2010 budget.

10. Steering Group Membership Eugene BeierU. Penn Joel ButlerFermilab Sally DawsonBNL Helen EdwardsFermilab Thomas HimelSLAC Steve HolmesFermilab Young-Kee Kim (chair)Fermilab / U.Chicago Andrew LankfordUC Irvine David McGinnisFermilab Sergei NagaitsevFermilab Tor RaubenheimerSLAC Vladimir ShiltsevFermilab Maury TignerCornell Hendrick WeertsANL Fermilab and national particle and accelerator physics community

11. Physics Groups Eugene BeierU Penn Deborah HarrisFermilab Ed KearnsBoston Univ. Boris KayserFermilab Sacha KoppUT Austin Andy Lankford (chair)UC Irvine Bill LouisLos Alamos (Young-Kee Kim)UChicago/FNAL Joel ButlerFermilab Brendan CaseyBrown Sally Dawson (chair)BNL Chris HillFermilab Dan KaplanIIT Yury KolomenskyUCBerkeley/LBNL William MolzonUC Irvine Kevin PittsUIUC Frank PorterCalTech Bob TschirhartFermilab Harry WeertsANL (Young-Kee Kim)UChicago/FNAL Neutrino Physics Flavor Physics NuSAG + Oscillation+CPV with multi MW proton sources + other measurements with beam Quarks, Charged Leptons, Physics with anti-protons, etc.

12. Subgroups Advice/Oversight (additional constituents) –Make sure that roadmaps being developed are consistent with EPP2010 and P5 recommendations – J. Bagger, S. Dawson, A. Seiden, M. Shochet (chair) Neutrino Physics (additional constituents) –Develop roadmap for neutrino physics based on NuSAG studies Flavor Physics: quarks, charged leptons,... (additional constituents) –Develop 10-year plan with reconfiguring existing accelerator complex Accelerator Facilities (based on technical and resources feasibilities) –Develop options of a roadmap that supports ILC R&D for early start, supports Fermilab as a potential host site, and provides an accelerator-based high energy physics program in case of delayed start – H. Edward, T. Himel, S. Holmes (chair), D. McGinnis, S. Nagaitsev, T. Raubenheimer, V. Shiltsev, M. Tigner, (YKK) High Energy Colliders beyond the ILC –Develop steps necessary to explore higher energy colliders that might follow ILC or be needed should results from LHC point toward a higher energy than that planned for ILC – H. Edward, V. Shiltsev, M. Tigner (chair), (YKK)

13. Steering Group Activities Steering group –Kick-off meeting on April 2 –weekly telephone meeting, 2 face-to-face meetings at Fermilab –EPP2010 and P5 assumptions –ILC R&D needs, LHC Upgrades,.. –Intermediate Physics Opportunities –Conceivable Accelerator Facilities for Physics Opportunities –Web: http://www.fnal.gov/directorate/Longrange/Steering_Public/http://www.fnal.gov/directorate/Longrange/Steering_Public/ Agendas, presentations, minutes, documents, publicly accessible For all activities, we include –ILC GDE leaders, HEP / ILC program managers in DOE and NSF –HEPAP Chair / Deputy Chair, P5 Chair –Chairs of Fermilab/SLAC Users Executive committees –Subgroup members Subgroups - ~weekly telephone meetings: detailed analysis

14. Steering Group Activities (cont.) Reach out to HEP community for input / ideas –Message sent out to DPF & DPB members –Meetings with FNAL staff –Meetings with HEP collaborations –Presentations at Users meetings at FNAL and SLAC –Presentations / Discussions at ANL, BNL, LBNL –Many meetings with individuals –Fermilab Today articles –Meeting with ILC GDE Executive Committee –….

15. Letters and Proposals from the Community 6 letters 20 proposals –16: one to a few pages –3: EoI (Expression of Interest) –1: LoI (Letter of Intent) Available on web: –http://www.fnal.gov/directorate/Longrange/Steering_Public/community_l etters.htmlhttp://www.fnal.gov/directorate/Longrange/Steering_Public/community_l etters.html

16. Letters and Proposals from the Community Letters from the Community –John Marriner (May 5, 2007)John Marriner (May 5, 2007) –Norman Gelfand (May 8, 2007)Norman Gelfand (May 8, 2007) –Stanley Brodsky (May 31, 2007)Stanley Brodsky (May 31, 2007) –Steve Geer et al. (June 8, 2007)Steve Geer et al. (June 8, 2007) –Buck Field (June 12, 2007)Buck Field (June 12, 2007) –Maury Goodman (July 7, 2007)Maury Goodman (July 7, 2007) One Page Proposals from the community –6GeV ILC Test Linac - Giorgio Apollinari and Bob Webber (May 7, 2007)6GeV ILC Test Linac - Giorgio Apollinari and Bob Webber (May 7, 2007) –LAr TPC in FNAL's Neutrino Beams - David Finley (May 29, 2007)LAr TPC in FNAL's Neutrino Beams - David Finley (May 29, 2007) –Precision Neutrino Scattering at Tevatron - Janet Conrad and Peter Fisher (May 29, 2007)Precision Neutrino Scattering at Tevatron - Janet Conrad and Peter Fisher (May 29, 2007) –Very Large Cherenkov Detector - Milind Diwan et al (June 5, 2007)Very Large Cherenkov Detector - Milind Diwan et al (June 5, 2007) –From Tevatron to Muon Storage Ring - Terry Goldman (June 6, 2007)From Tevatron to Muon Storage Ring - Terry Goldman (June 6, 2007) –Antimatter Gravity Experiment - Thomas Phillips (June 7, 2007)Antimatter Gravity Experiment - Thomas Phillips (June 7, 2007) –Neutrino Oscillation with high energy/intensity beam - Henryk Piekarz (June 10, 2007)Neutrino Oscillation with high energy/intensity beam - Henryk Piekarz (June 10, 2007) –Space-Time Ripples Study - Nikolai Andreev (June 11, 2007)Space-Time Ripples Study - Nikolai Andreev (June 11, 2007) –Fixed Targer Charm Expt - Jeff Appel and Alan Schwartz (June 11, 2007)Fixed Targer Charm Expt - Jeff Appel and Alan Schwartz (June 11, 2007) –Stopped Pion Neutrino Source - Kate Scholberg (June 11, 2007)Stopped Pion Neutrino Source - Kate Scholberg (June 11, 2007) –UNO Experiment - Change Kee Jung (June 11, 2007)UNO Experiment - Change Kee Jung (June 11, 2007) –n-nbar Transition Search at DUSEL - Yuri Kamyshkov (June 11, 2007)n-nbar Transition Search at DUSEL - Yuri Kamyshkov (June 11, 2007) –8GeV cw Superconducting Linac - Ankenbrandt et al. (June 12, 2007)8GeV cw Superconducting Linac - Ankenbrandt et al. (June 12, 2007) –Neutrino Expt with 5kton LAr TPC - Fleming and Rameika (June 12, 2007)Neutrino Expt with 5kton LAr TPC - Fleming and Rameika (June 12, 2007) –MicroBooNE - Fleming and Willis (June 12, 2007)MicroBooNE - Fleming and Willis (June 12, 2007) –delta_s - Rex Tayloe (June 14, 2007)delta_s - Rex Tayloe (June 14, 2007) Expression of Interest (EOI) –mu to e conversion - William Molzon (May, 2007)mu to e conversion - William Molzon (May, 2007) –me to e conversion - E.J. Prebys, J.P. Miller et al (May, 2007)me to e conversion - E.J. Prebys, J.P. Miller et al (May, 2007) –Klong to pi0 nu nu - D. Bryman et al (June 11, 2007)Klong to pi0 nu nu - D. Bryman et al (June 11, 2007) Letter of Intent (LOI) –Low- and Medium-Energy Anti-Proton Physics - D. Kaplan et al (June 1, 2007)Low- and Medium-Energy Anti-Proton Physics - D. Kaplan et al (June 1, 2007)

17. US HEP Physics Priorities: EPP2010 and P5 have addressed US HEP priorities. Both stressed the importance of a diverse program –Priority doesn’t mean you only do items at the top of the list Both EPP2010 and P5 assumed –a fast decision on ILC construction (2010) –a technically driven schedule for ILC construction

18. EPP2010 Priorities (in order) The energy frontier –LHC (including upgrades) –ILC: Emphasis on US bid to host The particle/astro connection –Emphasis on dark matter/dark energy Neutrinos –Focus was on a global program Flavor physics

19. P5 Recommendations 60% of new investments to ILC R&D 40% to smaller initiatives –Attempt to quantify importance of diverse program –DES –CDMS, 25 kg –Daya Bay –NOvA –For the long term, LSST & SNAP development Particle Astro Neutrinos

20. P5 Recommendations (Fermilab) 60% of new investments to ILC R&D 40% to smaller initiatives –Attempt to quantify importance of diverse program –DES –CDMS, 25 kg –Daya Bay –NOvA –For the long term, LSST & SNAP development Particle Astro Neutrinos

21. Steering Group’s Emphasis Need for an intermediate physics-driven program –Will the physics be important when the experiment is done? –Better at Fermilab than at other labs (e.g. JPARC)? –Unique in its physics reach? - Will it answer questions not answered at the LHC? Alignment with ILC: –Will this advance the ILC? –Development of an accelerator facility that helps ILC –Compatibility with the ILC Schedule

22. Steering Group: Physics Opportunities Science –Neutrino Physics –Precision measurements involving charged leptons and quarks Needed facilities –Proton Intensity Frontier: intense, , K, p beams –Beta Beam –Collider Luminosity Frontier: Super B, Giga Z, …

23. Steering Group: Physics Opportunities Neutrino: Oscillation, CPV, X-Section, EWK Precision Muon: Lepton Number Violation Kaon: CKM Matrix, Lepton Flavor Violation Anti-proton: Hyperon CPV, Charm B Physics Electroweak Precision with Giga Z … Compositeness to 3000 TeV scale Supersymmetric models predict R μe ~ 10 -15 for weak scale SUSY

24. “Proton Intensity Frontier” offers rich menu of neutrino, muon, and kaon physics in near - mid term –Physics driver is search for Beyond the Standard Model Physics –Window to high energy scales in some scenarios –Physics reach is complementary to energy frontier “Beta Beam” –Longer term, No Synergy to ILC “Luminosity Frontier” –Large scale, longer term Preliminary Conclusions on Science

25. “Proton Intensity Frontier” Option: Reconfiguration of Existing Facilities Examples –sNuMI (super NuMI) – ~1.3 MW at 120 GeV Modification of Accumulator and Recycler –Debuncher as an 8 GeV Slow Spiller –Tevatron as a 120 GeV Slow Spill Stretcher Ring Capable of producing protons with –120 GeV >1 MW –8 GeV slow & fast spill –120 GeV slow spill Alignment with ILC –No synergy –But modest cost for construction –Operations - the current 30+ year old complex

26. ILC Style 8 GeV H - Linac 9mA x 1 msec x 5 Hz 200 kW at 8 GeV Stripping Foil Recycler 3 linac pulses / fill Main Injector 1.4 sec cycle >2 MW at 120 GeV “Proton Intensity Frontier” Option: Project X Initially NOvA Possibly DUSEL later

27. “Proton Intensity Frontier” Option: Project X 0  0.12 GeV: –Modest increase from current 60 MeV R&D program –Collaboration with other US lab.s 0.12  2 GeV Linac: –Potential strong international collaboration (e.g. India) 2  8 GeV ILC-like Linac: via strong ILC collaboration –Benefit to ILC under investigation Linac: R&D and Engineering, US industry involvement followed by industrialization, large system tests –Same as ILC: 36 cryomodules, RF distribution, Cryogenic dist, Beam parameters –ILC RDR Regional Cryomodule Industrialization Profile »Year 1: 3 / year, 1 year Doubling time, Year 4: 25 / year Further possibilities – injector to Tevatron ring for pre-assembling and testing ILC Damping Ring

28. “Proton Intensity Frontier” Option: Project X ILC Synergy –Intention: does not delay but helps timely realization of ILC –Medium size project R&D, Engineering, Construction –required resources being analyzed Operations: expect to be simpler than the current 30+ year old complex – being analyzed Physics Opportunities and Connection to Future –Initially NOvA experiment –Possible addition – e.g. flavor experiment –Future possibility: optimized beam to DUSEL. oscillation / CP violation, Proton decay,.. –Stepping stone for longer-term programs neutrino factory higher energy colliders (e.g. muon collider, VLHC)

29. Project X: Proton Beam Power* *Assumes all protons are injected into the Main Injector

30. Roadmap Example ILC – Fermilab’s Highest Priority sNuMI Construction Project X Construction In all scenarios: LHC Upgrade, Higher Energy Colliders R&D, Particle Astrophysics (Dark Matter, Dark Energy) Branch Point ILC R&D ILC Decision and Construction (Industrialization) + Running sNuMI Running ILC Decision and Construction Project X Running Funding Cycle ILC Industrialization, Large system test

31. To Be Done in August Project X –Understand Benefit to the ILC –Estimate Resources needed Finalize roadmaps Write report emphasizing case for new physics

32. Next Steps Jul 2007 Aug 2007 Sep 2007 Oct 2007 Nov 2007 Dec 2007 Jan 2008 Feb 2008 Mar 2008 Apr 2008 May 2008 Jun 2008 Jul 2008 Jun 2007 P5 Review FNAL AAC Review SG Report to P5 FNAL PAC Review SG Report to HEPAP Steering Group (SG) Report to Pier Oddone FY10 Budget Preparation SG Report PAC P5 Report to HEPAP SG Report to HEPAP Public Report