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Published byMyron Higgins Modified over 8 years ago
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Top-Down Asset Allocation for Latin America Clairvoyant Investment Advisors Sonia Kopp Chris Lyford Peter O’Hara Denis Rappaport Michelle Todd February 24, 2000
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Investment Mandate To use a top-down asset allocation model to dynamically allocate amongst five Latin American Countries with the objective of outperforming established dollar- priced Latin American indices.
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Markets and Indices n Argentina n Brazil n Chile n Mexico n Venezuela n IFC Latin America U$ Index n MSCI Latin America U$ Index
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In-Sample Model Summary
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1999 Out-of-Sample Results
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Currency Comment n A Critical Issue n Overlays Expensive n Predicting Returns: Avoiding De-valuations
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Final Insights and Remarks n Implementation n Time Horizon n Model Deterioration n Improving Top-Down Latin American Strategies in the Future
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Raw Direction Count Data
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