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The President I 2/9/2012
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Clearly Stated Learning Objectives Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: – understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present (the sections on the presidency and Electoral College). – assess the 2008 & 2012 Presidential Elections without resorting to partisan bickering. – identify and explain the role of formal and informal institutions and their effect on policy.
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Office Hours and Readings Readings- Chapter 9 on the President Office Hours – Today 12-2 – Wednesday 10-2
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WHO ARE OUR PRESIDENTS?
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Simple Requirements (Article II) Natural Born Citizen 35 Years Old 14 years a resident
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Our Presidents Historically Most are in their 50’s at time of election Most are Lawyers Most are of English Ancestry All but one has been Protestant
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THE DEBATE ON THE EXECUTIVE How many and how much power?
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On an executive The Articles Lacked one We feared monarchy We Feared Tyranny The Country Needed one
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What the Debate centered on How Many – A Singular executive vs. a plural executive How Much Power – Tyranny vs impotence – What is the safe and effective combination?
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Option I: A Monarch Advantages Disadvantages
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Option II: A Plural executive Advantages Disadvantages
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Option III: A Weak Executive Advantages Disadvantages
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Option IV: A Strong Executive Advantages Disadvantages
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Balancing it out
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CHOOSING A PRESIDENTIAL NOMINEE The history of nominations
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Congressional Caucus Method (1800- 1828) Parties in Congress picked the Nominees Problems What ends it
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The Party Convention System Lasts until the 1970’s Party leaders picked nominees at national conventions
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The End of the Party System Problems with it A Focusing Event Who Loses
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The Current system Voter-centered, rather than party centered Binding Primaries and Caucuses A Race for Delegates
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In 2008 (The Democrats)
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The Republicans in 2008
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The Impact of The Current System Advantages Disadvantages
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GETTING THE NOMINATION So You want to be president?
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Step 1 Don’t Sit back at wait You have to participate in the invisible primary If you wait, your window might close
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When You can Run? Never Take a candidate on their wordword You can run whenever, but things can make it difficult You have to Wait for your Window – GOP (as early as 2016, as late as 2024) – Democrats (as early as 2016, as late as 2028)
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Step 2: Have a “Presidential Job”
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The Current GOP Field Presidential Jobs Governors – Perry – Romney – Huntsman Senators – Santorum Non-Presidential Jobs House Members – Gingrich – Bachmann – Paul Other – Herman Cain
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Step 3: Be Prepared to Spend Money Money Buys Organization Money Buys Name Recognition Money Converts itself
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Federal Money vs. Self-financing
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The Effect of Money on Campaigns How it has changed the primary campaign How important is it? Where We stand
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Step 4:Getting Delegates Primaries Caucuses Which helped Obama?
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Delegate Apportionment The Democrats More Delegates Proportional Representation Super Delegates The Republicans Fewer Delegates More winner-take-all states
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Front-loading of Delegates
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Frontloading and 2012 The GOP is making more states use proportional representation They do not want an early nominee. Pro’s and Cons of a longer primary?
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Delegates Matter
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Step 5: Momentum Looking like a winner and Actually winning Media coverage goes to those who can win. Be the last person standing (winnowing)
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The First Four Iowa New Hampshire South Carolina Florida
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The Clinton Strategy: 2008 Deliver the Knock-out blow on super-tuesday Reload Watch the GOP fight it out all spring
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How Mc Cain Wins Early: 2008 Winner-take-all states Romney and Huckabee go after each other The Early win is A blessing and a curse for McCain
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