1.  Oceans Topic: Disadvantages Chris Carey

2. Politics  Agenda DA’s  Dead until November, probably later than that  Depends on the tournament  Immigration Reform?  Trade Promotion Authority  Debt Ceiling

3. Midterms  Structure  X Party will win both houses of Congress  Plan causes Y party (who is not winning now), to win  Y party winning is bad, X party winning is good  All about the Senate; the GOP is going to win seats, the question is how many  Demographics  History

4. Midterms Resources  Nate Silver and fivethirtyeight.com  New York Times and ‘the Upshot’  Larry Sabato’s ‘Crystal Ball’  ‘Election Lab’ by the Washington Post and John Sides  Sean Trende on Real Clear Politics

5. GOP Good/Dems Bad  Structure  GOP wins both houses now  Plan increases Dems base turnout b/c it is popular with certain groups, this means the Dems would win instead of the GOP  Dems winning is bad because…  GOP passes immigration reform  GOP cements the Asia Pivot  Dems are weak on Iran/GOP would strike them

6. GOP Bad/Dems Good  Structure  Dems will hold the Senate  Plan makes the GOP win the Senate  GOP winning is bad because  Global warming/EPA regulations  Other things

7. Oil DAs  High oil prices are good and the plan decreases oil prices  Renewables affs  Oil drilling affs  Russia

8. Sphere of Influence DAs  Relations  China  Russia  Trade-off Links

9. Trade Off DAs  Plan forces a trade-off within X’s budget  E.g. – NOAA Satellite DA  NOAA has a tight budget, don’t have a lot of money, etc  Plan forces a direct trade-off within the budget between two projects  The thing the aff trades off with/decreases funding for is good  Weather satellites used by the military

10. Environment DAs  Many affs will read environment advantages, so these might be case turns  Biodiversity DAs  Keystone species need to be protected, the aff does something to kill ocean biodiversity, that is bad  Warming Das  Plan increases C02 emissions

11. Military DAs  Plan hurts the military  That is bad  Hegemony is good