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TIME SERIES ANALYSIS Time series – collection of observations in time: x( t i ) x( t i ) discrete time series with Δt Deterministic process: Can be predicted.

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Presentation on theme: "TIME SERIES ANALYSIS Time series – collection of observations in time: x( t i ) x( t i ) discrete time series with Δt Deterministic process: Can be predicted."— Presentation transcript:

1 TIME SERIES ANALYSIS Time series – collection of observations in time: x( t i ) x( t i ) discrete time series with Δt Deterministic process: Can be predicted exactly for all the values of the independent varriable t i Stochastic process: Basically unpredictable – most geophysical phenomena

2 FOURIER ANALYSIS OF DETERMINISTIC PROCESS Fourier Analysis is concerned with orthogonal functions: Any time series y(t) can be reproduced with a summation of cosines and sines: Fourier series AverageConstants – Fourier Coefficients

3 Fourier series Any time series y(t) can be reproduced with a summation of cosines and sines: Collection of Fourier coefficients A n and B n forms a periodogram power spectral density defines contribution from each oscillatory component  n to the total ‘energy’ of the observed signal – power spectral density Both A n and B n need to be specified to build a power spectrum periodogram. Therefore, there are 2 dof per spectral estimate for the ‘raw’ periodogram.

4 Construct y(t) through infinite Fourier series A n and B n provide a measure of the relative importance of each frequency to the overall signal variability. e.g. if there is much more spectral energy at frequency 1 than at 2 To obtain coefficients:

5 Fourier series can also be expressed in compact form:

6 (j)

7 SUMMARY

8 To obtain coefficients: Multiplying data times sin and cos functions picks out frequency components specific to their trigonometric arguments Orthogonality requires that arguments be integer multiples of total record length T = N  t, otherwise original series cannot be replicated correctly Arguments2  nj/N, are based on hierarchy of equally spaced frequencies  n =2  n/N  t and time increment j

9 Steps for computing Fourier coefficients: 1) Calculate arguments  nj = 2  nj/N, for each integer j and n = 1. 2) For each j = 1, 2, …, N evaluate the corresponding cos  nj and sin  nj ; effect sums of y j cos  nj and y j sin  nj 3) Increase n and repeat steps 1 and 2. Requires ~N 2 operations (multiplication & addition)

10 AnAn BnBn CnCn

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15 m radians

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