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3 rd Annual WRF Users Workshop Promote closer ties between research and operations Develop an advanced mesoscale forecast and assimilation system   Design.

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Presentation on theme: "3 rd Annual WRF Users Workshop Promote closer ties between research and operations Develop an advanced mesoscale forecast and assimilation system   Design."— Presentation transcript:

1 3 rd Annual WRF Users Workshop Promote closer ties between research and operations Develop an advanced mesoscale forecast and assimilation system   Design Priorities: 1-10 km horizontal grids Portable and efficient on parallel computers Advanced data assimilation and model physics Well suited for a broad range of applications Community model with direct path to operations Overall WRF Goals:

2 WRF Project Collaborators n Signatory Partners: – NCAR Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division – NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction – NOAA Forecast Systems Laboratory – Air Force Weather Agency – Federal Aviation Administration – Navy NRL Marine Meteorology Division n Additional Collaborators: – OU Center for the Analysis and Prediction of Storms – Department of Defense HPCMO – NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory – NASA GSFC Atmospheric Sciences Division – NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory – EPA Atmospheric Modeling Division – University Community

3 WRF Development Teams

4 24 October 2001 WRF forecast– 12 km Grid (Michalakes, 2001)

5 24h WRF forecast valid 00Z 25 October 2001 WRF vertically integrated cloud waterSatellite cloud image

6 25 Oct 18:30 UTC24 Oct 18:30 UTC25 Oct 00 UTC25 Oct 12 UTC26 Oct 00 UTC24 Oct 12 UTC WRF 12 km grid – Coastally Trapped Disturbance

7 Registered WRF Users (6/21/02) WRF Principal Partners 75 NCAR 33 NCEP 16 FSL 13 OU/CAPS 4 AFWA 9 U.S. Universities 141 U.S. Government Labs 91 Private Sector 78 Foreign 342 ---- Total 727 WRF Web site: http://wrf-model.org

8 Projected Timeline for WRF Project

9 24 h Forecast Precipitation, Valid 12Z 12 May 02 10 km ETA 22 km WRF 10 km WRF 8 km NHM 24 h RFC Analysis

10 1 10 100 km Cumulus Parameterization Resolved Convection LES PBL Parameterization Two Stream Radiation 3-D Radiation Model Physics in High Resolution NWP Physics “No Man’s Land”

11 Key Scientific Questions for Storm-Scale NWP n What is the predictability of storm-scale events, and will resolution of fine-scale details enhance or reduce their prediction? n What observations are most critical, and can high-resolution data (e.g. WSR-88D) from national networks be used to initialize NWP models in real time? n What physics is required, and do we understand it well enough for practical application? n How can ensembles be utilized for storm-scale prediction? n What are the most useful verification techniques for storm and mesoscale forecasts? n What networking and computational infrastructures are needed to support high-resolution NWP? n How can useful decision making information be generated from forecast model output?


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