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Quantifying the Link Between Climate and Fire In Alaska.

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Presentation on theme: "Quantifying the Link Between Climate and Fire In Alaska."— Presentation transcript:

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2 Quantifying the Link Between Climate and Fire In Alaska

3 Statistical Model Response Annual Hectares Burned Explanatory Variables Monthly temperature and precipitation Monthly indices of Eastern Pacific teleconnection intensity Monthly SST from Niño 3.4 region

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5 Eastern Pacific Teleconnection Positive phases a deeper than normal trough is located in the vicinity of the Gulf of Alaska Negative phases increased zonal flow and strengthened westerlies in the Eastern North Pacific

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7 Intra-annual variability in SST changes in years preceding ENSO events

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10 Conclusions Ocean-atmosphere interactions influence fire regime through impacts on monthly climate Statistical model can be used to forecast resource needs for upcoming fire season

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