1. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 1 Teaching of ASA & SRA: An Industry Perspective Dr Nigel Knowles Director of Technology - WS Atkins Consultants presentation to ASRANET 2 nd Annual Colloquium 9 July 2001 Dr Nigel Knowles Director of Technology - WS Atkins Consultants presentation to ASRANET 2 nd Annual Colloquium 9 July 2001 (Visiting Professor, Cranfield University)

2. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 2 Outline Industry drivers Technology trends Barriers to progress How should we respond?

3. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 3 TRANSPORT MANAGEMENT AND INDUSTRY MANAGEMENT AND INDUSTRY PROPERTY Design & Engineering Design & Engineering ACTIVITIES Construction Management Construction Management Operations & Maintenance Operations & Maintenance WS Atkins Business

4. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 4 WS Atkins a Technology Broker Universities WS Atkins Consultants (experience / knowledge base) Industrial Research Organisations Applications Market needs Clients New technology Verified concepts Market needs / areas of opportunity Knowledge Value Chain

5. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 5 Developments in structural assessment methods pre-MEDIEVAL'experiential' 1500MEDIEVAL'rules of thumb'statics – Newton, Galileo, da Vinci elasticity – Hooke (1678) 1850VICTORIAN'allowable stress'energy methods – Castigliano, Maxwell, Mohr indeterminate structures 1960MODERN'limit state'plastic methods (1950) computers (1960) finite element methods (1970) non linear (1980) 1980'probabilistic' approaches FORM/SORM (1990) 2000(?)reliability based design/assessment | ?

6. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 6 Some Business Trends Globalisation BOOT, PFI Partnering Outsourcing Public sector changes –agency status –privatisation –market testing Globalisation BOOT, PFI Partnering Outsourcing Public sector changes –agency status –privatisation –market testing Time to market Whole life costing – life extension c.f. new build Operational efficiency Environmental concerns Sustainability Safety culture Time to market Whole life costing – life extension c.f. new build Operational efficiency Environmental concerns Sustainability Safety culture

7. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 7 Market drivers Nuclear:PSA – predictive modelling Offshore:RBI, RCM Bridges:BMS – decision support Special structures:treatment of uncertainty Nuclear:PSA – predictive modelling Offshore:RBI, RCM Bridges:BMS – decision support Special structures:treatment of uncertainty

8. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 8 Technical issues Multiple-criteria decision making (Multiple constraints, Multiple options) Reliability-based Design Optimisation Parameter uncertainty crisp ~ fuzzy data incomplete / inconsistent data sets Time dependency & Deterioration modelling Human error

9. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 9 CARBOS

10. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 10 Barriers to progress Availability of data Computing effort Industrial infrastructure

11. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 11 Types of uncertainty Physical Measurement Epistemic partially addressed in Qualification Criteria } } Model / idealisation

12. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 12 UK v Europe 4 year degree courses 5+ year degree course trend for breadth depth and breadth

13. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 13 NAFEMS Experience Practitioners VManagers Promote competence registered analyst scheme 37.5 hrs theory and practise CFD requirement short courses registered analyst scheme 37.5 hrs theory and practise CFD requirement short courses Promote awareness 'how to' booklets management guides awareness seminars 'how to' booklets management guides awareness seminars

14. nck Teaching of ASA & SRA 07-01 14 Other Initiatives Engineering doctorate Case awards Teaching company scheme EC mobility awards (Marie Curie Fellowships) Highways Agency sponsored PhD's Engineering doctorate Case awards Teaching company scheme EC mobility awards (Marie Curie Fellowships) Highways Agency sponsored PhD's