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IPY/NSTA Web Seminar: Polar Climates, How Are They Changing? LIVE INTERACTIVE LEARNING @ YOUR DESKTOP Tuesday, June 12, 2007 7:00 p.m. to 8:00 p.m. Eastern time Allan Miller National Science Foundation
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Heard a little about climate change lately?
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Bob Raynolds, Denver Museum Temp and CO2 Have A Strong Relationship
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How well do you think scientists can model climate on a global scale? A – there are too many drivers / variables at this point to create any useable models B – it can be modeled on a limited scale, but not with any accuracy on a global scale C – basic trends can be modeled accurately, but the future is very speculative D – basic trends, including the future, can be modeled accurately E – models are completely accurate in past modeling and can predict specific future occurrences and timelines.
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But what about that “complex climate system”? It is a myth that global climate is too complex to be predictable Climate inputs: –Incoming solar energy –Aerosols, snow and other reflectors –Greenhouse gases If these are known, scientists can reproduce temperatures quite well
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Time/ABC/Stanford poll (March, 2006): About 85% of Americans say global warming is happening…right But 65% think scientists disagree about global warming…wrong And 81% oppose higher taxes on electricity, 68% oppose higher gasoline taxes Perception and reality … the first step is admitting you have a problem … living on a fault line …
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Open a web tour with Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute animations on thermohaline circulation Open a web tour with Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute animations on thermohaline circulationhttp://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=12455&tid=282&cid=9986 ?Abrupt Climate Change?
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Intergenerational ethics IPCC SPM 2007 Keep in mind that the increase is exponential… …half of all atmospheric CO 2 was put there since about 1975… The baby boom generation will burn nearly all of the oil and natural gas, but pay little of the environmental costs
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IPY It’s not just a year (or two), it’s a responsibility…
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Blog links to classrooms and the public
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Open PolarTREC Website in browser Open PolarTREC Website in browser www.polartrec.com www.polartrec.com
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Place a stamp in any IPY topic for which there are clear connections in your curriculum / standards EarthLandPeople AtmosphereIce
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IPY Topics Cover All Science Content Standards Science as Inquiry- Interpret data from an ice core Science as Inquiry- Interpret data from an ice core Physical Science- Analyze changes in surface temperatures over time Physical Science- Analyze changes in surface temperatures over time Life Science- Examine interdependence of polar organisms Life Science- Examine interdependence of polar organisms Earth and Space- Measure and graph ice sheet dynamics using satellite images Earth and Space- Measure and graph ice sheet dynamics using satellite images Science and Technology- Explain how advances in technology have aided study of polar regions Science and Technology- Explain how advances in technology have aided study of polar regions Science in Personal and Social Perspectives- Compare the risks and benefits of polar exploration Science in Personal and Social Perspectives- Compare the risks and benefits of polar exploration History and Nature of Science- Examine the changes in polar regions since the first IPY History and Nature of Science- Examine the changes in polar regions since the first IPY
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What is the ratio of an igloo’s circumference to its diameter?
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http://passporttoknowledge.com
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International IPY website www.ipy.org
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U.S. and NSF IPY website www.ipy.gov
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Contact your own researcher Browse the NSF website awards database to find a researcher whose interests match a particular curriculum you would like to enhance Browse the NSF website awards database to find a researcher whose interests match a particular curriculum you would like to enhance www.nsf.gov
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Last option: come to DC and immerse yourself in science and public policy http://www.trianglecoalition.org/ein.htm 1 full year in DC working with NSF, NASA, NOAA, DOE or on Capitol Hill
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http://www.elluminate.com Elluminate logo
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http://learningcenter.nsta.org NLC screenshot
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National Science Teachers Association Gerry Wheeler, Executive Director Frank Owens, Associate Executive Director Conferences and Programs Al Byers, Assistant Executive Director e-Learning LIVE INTERACTIVE LEARNING @ YOUR DESKTOP NSTA Web Seminars Flavio Mendez, Program Manager Jeff Layman, Technical Coordinator Susan Hurstcalderone, Volunteer Chat Moderator
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