1. Air Transport 1903 - 1950

2. Air Transport 1950 - 2000

3. Air Transport 2000 - 2050 Carbon constrained or carbon free flight. Aerospace technology or eco-efficiency? UK visitors to Greece 1950 20,000 2000 2,000,000 2050??

4. The Problem is the Rate of Growth

5. Drivers for Future Growth

6. Aviation, City and Regional Development High speed carriage of people and high value goods over long distances. Accessibility to remote and island communities.

7. Economic Development (NW England)

8. The Multicultural Society

9. Travel for Personal Fulfilment

10. The Global Society

11. Aviation’s Contribution to the Development of Humankind Patterns of trade / migration Global socio-economy Intergovernmental alliances EC,SADC,MERCOSUR, AL Russia,India,China,Brazil. Next Africa?

12. Aviation and Sustainable Mobility Airports have critical role as inter-modal transport hubs. Airport capacity provision is therefore critical

13. Environment constrains airports when : Noise, emissions or risk exceed : –regulatory limits –local agreements –community tolerance –political support

14. Environment constrains airports when: The airport cannot ensure secure and adequate resources (water, energy) to allow normal operations. Due competition with other industries, homes, tourism, farming.

15. Environment Constrains Airports when: Further infrastructure growth is restricted by sensitive habitats, culturally sensitive sites or buildings (houses).

16. The move away from carbon fuels is more than Climate Change Issue. Increasing demand for aviation fuel by 2050-60? Peak oil now 50 yrs conventional oil remain Alternatives costly and limited production potential

17. Carbon Free in 50 Years? Monumental challenge Step change in Technology & Infrastructure. 20-30 years away? Who will fund this change?

18. Can we have a Global Society in a Carbon Constrained World?