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Evaluating Tallahassee’s Future in the New Economy Tim Lynch, Ph.D., Director Julie Harrington, Ph.D., Asst. Dir. Center for Economic Forecasting and Analysis Florida State University www.cefa.fsu.edu May 2, 2002
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What are the attributes of the New Economy? An increased trend towards globalization. Increased levels of business growth, flexibility and competition driven by information technologies (IT). Higher levels of entrepreneurial activity and creativity. Higher levels of productivity and income dispersion and quality of life.
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What is the New Economy Index? The New Economy Index evaluates and compares the “high tech economic” strength of US Metropolitan Areas (MSA). The 50 largest US MSAs have been evaluated and ranked. Tallahassee and 268 medium and smaller cities have not been evaluated. This study will evaluate Tallahassee and 19 other Florida metro areas with the New Economy Index.
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Goods Services Capital Productivity Profits Low cost production Strong economy Entrepreneurs Old Economy People
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Goods Services Capital Higher productivity Higher wages Higher quality of life Higher profits Entrepreneurs More resilient economy Higher efficiency Higher wealth New Economy People
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WHAT ARE THE ATTRIBUTES OF THE “OLD ECONOMY”?
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1.People Measures Per capita income Average earning Unemployment level Training level Labor productivity Old Economy
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2.Capital Measures Infrastructure value Investment level Capital Productivity Land value Old Economy
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3.Entrepreneurs Measures Number of new companies Investment rate Profit level R&D level Old Economy
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WHAT ARE THE ATTRIBUTES OF THE “NEW ECONOMY”?
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1.People Measures % Of managerial, professional and technical jobs Level of workforce education % Of high-tech jobs # Of degrees granted in science and engineering % Of online adult population New Economy
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2.Capital Measures Broadband telecom capacity Computer use in schools Commercial internet domain names Internet backbone New Economy
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3.Entrepreneurs Measures % of gazelle jobs % of job churning # of patents $ amount of academic research $ amount of venture capital # of new publicly traded companies New Economy
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22% 29% 42% 54% 13% 7% $0 $100 $200 $300 IT % of All US Private Investments Old economy New economy 195019601970198019902000 0% 20% 40% 60% Source: Chase Econometrics, 4-15-2002 US Worker Hourly Manuf Production % IT Investment Rate US Manufacturing Worker Hourly Production Value Vs The It Investment Rate (Constant 2002$)
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New Economy Index Measures
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KNOWLEDGE JOBS
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Knowledge Jobs Managerial Professional Technical Jobs
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Knowledge Jobs Workforce Education
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GLOBALIZATION
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Globalization Export Focus Manufacturing
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ECONOMIC DYNAMISM
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Economic Dynamism Gazelles % Fast Growing Companies
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Economic Dynamism Job Churning Job Gain & Loss Rate
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Economic Dynamism New Publicly Traded Initial Public Offerings
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THE DIGITAL ECONOMY
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The Digital Economy Online Adult Population
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The Digital Economy Broadband Telecommunications Capacity Source: FCC Web Site: http://www.fcc.gov/Bureaus/Common_Carrier/Reports/FCC-State_Link/IAD/hzip1299.pdf
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The Digital Economy Computers Used In K-12 Schools
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The Digital Economy Commercial Internet Domain Names
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The Digital Economy Internet Backbone Capacity
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INNOVATION CAPACITY
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Innovation Capacity Level Of High Tech Jobs
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Innovation Capacity Degrees Granted In Science & Engineering
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Innovation Capacity Patents Issued
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Innovation Capacity Academic Research & Development Funding
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Innovation Capacity Venture Capital Funding Levels
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FINAL TALLAHASSEE RANKING
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Tallahassee’s Final Ranking Among The US MSAs Evaluated TALLAHASSEE RANKS 11 th OUT OF 66 US MSAs EVALUATED
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GLOBALIZATION NATIONAL RANK EXPORT SALES 61 THE DIGITAL ECONOMY BROADBAND TELECOM CAPACITY66 ECONOMIC DYNAMISM # OF NEW PUBLICLY TRADED IPOs60 JOB CHURNING45 INNOVATION CAPACITY VENTURE CAPITAL63 PATENTS58 Tallahassee has an opportunity to build strength in:
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RECOMMENDATIONS Business and government must partner together to expand : Broad band high speed Internet access to all business, educational and residential need. Business community access to venture capital. Regional creative innovation, business formation and trade efforts and job creation.
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KNOWLEDGE JOBS NATIONAL RANK HIGHLY EDUCATED WORK FORCE 2 MANAGERIAL, PROFESSIONAL, TECH19 THE DIGITAL ECONOMY INTERNET SUPERHIGHWAY LINKAGE 2 ONLINE POPULATION 7 ECONOMIC DYNAMISM GAZELLES 11 INNOVATION CAPACITY DEGREES GRANTED IN SCIENCE & ENGINEERING 2 ACADEMIC RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT FUNDING 3 Tallahassee has a strength in:
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RECOMMENDATIONS Business and government must partner to: Build on our strengths - high levels of professional/technical jobs and a highly educated, online-savvy workforce, student base and general population. Communicate to prospective and existing businesses Tallahassee’s strong “high tech” ranking, Internet access and dynamic economy. Convert our excellent science, engineering and research capabilities into commercially viable local ventures.
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