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Equity Research Randal Rudniski, CFA 416-352-4588 Printing Market Discussion for Primex Conference.

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Presentation on theme: "Equity Research Randal Rudniski, CFA 416-352-4588 Printing Market Discussion for Primex Conference."— Presentation transcript:

1 Equity Research Randal Rudniski, CFA 416-352-4588 randal.rudniski@csfb.com Printing Market Discussion for Primex Conference

2 Equity Research Page 2 Media Advertising Profile

3 Equity Research Page 3 Media Advertising Profile

4 Equity Research Page 4 Media Advertising Profile

5 Equity Research Page 5 Media Advertising Profile Supply Issues Have Created Opposite Impacts For Television and Printing Companies

6 Equity Research Page 6 Printing Market Profile—Industrial Capacity

7 Equity Research Page 7 Printing Market Profile--Capacity Utilization

8 Equity Research Page 8 Printing Market Profile—Magazine Ad Pages

9 Equity Research Page 9 Printing Market Profile—Commercial Printing Shipments

10 Equity Research Page 10 CSFB Print Demand Projection Real Print Demand = 2.2 x (y/y Δ in Real GDP) – 0.7 x (y/y Δ in Input Costs) CSFB 2003 Real GDP Growth Forecast: 2.5% Scenarios: Paper price y/y Δ Real Print Demand 0% 5.5% 5% 2.0% 10% -1.5%

11 Equity Research Page 11 Printing Market Profile—Coated Paper Price

12 Equity Research Page 12 Summary Difficult environment remains ahead for 2003 Cyclical rather than structural issues predominate Consolidation imperative


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