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Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The Federal Reserve Board and Monetary Policy A Case Study December.

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Presentation on theme: "Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The Federal Reserve Board and Monetary Policy A Case Study December."— Presentation transcript:

1 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The Federal Reserve Board and Monetary Policy A Case Study December 12, 2006 Stephen Buckles Vanderbilt University

2 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted

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4 The action The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.

5 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The action The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent. This is the fourth meeting in a row at which the committee decided to keep the target constant.

6 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The reasons Economic growth has slowed over the course of the year, partly reflecting a substantial cooling of the housing market. Although recent indicators have been mixed, the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace on balance over coming quarters.

7 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The reasons Economic growth has slowed over the course of the year, partly reflecting a substantial cooling of the housing market. Although recent indicators have been mixed, the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace on balance over coming quarters. This paragraph has not changed with one exception. That is the addition of “although recent indicators have been mixed….”

8 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The reasons Readings on core inflation have been elevated, and the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain inflation pressures. However, inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time, reflecting reduced impetus from energy prices, contained inflation expectations, and the cumulative effects of monetary policy actions and other factors restraining aggregate demand.

9 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The reasons Readings on core inflation have been elevated, and the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain inflation pressures. However, inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time, reflecting reduced impetus from energy prices, contained inflation expectations, and the cumulative effects of monetary policy actions and other factors restraining aggregate demand. This paragraph is a recognition that inflationary pressures exist and continue to be of concern to the committee.

10 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The future Nonetheless, the Committee judges that some inflation risks remain. The extent and timing of any additional firming that may be needed to address these risks will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.

11 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The future Nonetheless, the Committee judges that some inflation risks remain. The extent and timing of any additional firming that may be needed to address these risks will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information. The current and past policy actions should continue to work. It may be that further change is not necessary. However, new data will influence that decision.

12 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The vote Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Susan S. Bies; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Frederic S. Mishkin; Sandra Pianalto; William Poole; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who preferred an increase of 25 basis points in the federal funds rate target at this meeting.

13 Copyright © Council for Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The vote Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Susan S. Bies; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Frederic S. Mishkin; Sandra Pianalto; William Poole; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who preferred an increase of 25 basis points in the federal funds rate target at this meeting. This report of the voting shows the majority vote in favor of no change. One member has voted four meetings in a row to increase in the target federal funds rate.


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