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Welcome to A Brave New World Honors 222D/263D Plan for today: Whirlwind tour of a few amazing facts about computer science and a few of the topics we will.

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Presentation on theme: "Welcome to A Brave New World Honors 222D/263D Plan for today: Whirlwind tour of a few amazing facts about computer science and a few of the topics we will."— Presentation transcript:

1 Welcome to A Brave New World Honors 222D/263D Plan for today: Whirlwind tour of a few amazing facts about computer science and a few of the topics we will be discussing this quarter. Whirlwind tour of a few amazing facts about computer science and a few of the topics we will be discussing this quarter. Administrivia Administrivia Short video on robotics and discussion Short video on robotics and discussion Questionnaire Questionnaire Hand out robots -- see Alicen in CSE 546 Hand out robots -- see Alicen in CSE 546 Some slides from Bernard Chazelle and Ed Lazowska Some slides from Bernard Chazelle and Ed Lazowska

2 What is this course about? The big ideas, the coolest applications and the deepest principles in computer science The big ideas, the coolest applications and the deepest principles in computer science The mathematical foundations of computing The mathematical foundations of computing The World Wide Web and its economic and social ramifications The World Wide Web and its economic and social ramifications Computers and their impact on the arts Computers and their impact on the arts How computational thinking can help cure cancer How computational thinking can help cure cancer Secrets and lies, knowledge and trust Secrets and lies, knowledge and trust The mystery of intelligence: What is knowledge? Can compuers think? Will computers ever be considered conscious? Where will all this progress take us? The mystery of intelligence: What is knowledge? Can compuers think? Will computers ever be considered conscious? Where will all this progress take us? The future The future How is the way we do science going to change? How is the way we do science going to change? How is our economic system going to change? How is our economic system going to change? How is our society going to change? How is our society going to change? How are our brains going to change as a result of all this interaction with technology? How are our brains going to change as a result of all this interaction with technology?

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4 Albert Einstein ( 1932 ) “ There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. "

5 Lord Kelvin ( 1824-1907 ) “ X-rays will prove to be a hoax" “ Radio has no future. " “ There’s nothing to be discovered in physics today. "

6 "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." Thomas Watson IBM Chairman (1943 )

7 ``There is no reason why anyone would want to have a computer in their home.” Popular Mechanics, 1949 ``Where… ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have 1,000 vacuum tubes and perhaps weigh just one-half ton.” Ken Olsen, President of Digital Equipment Corporation, 1977

8 “Computing power doubles every two years." Gordon Moore Intel Co-founder (1965 ) Moore’s Law Moore’s Law

9 Exponential Growth First commercial computer 1950: 100,000 additions/sec First commercial computer 1950: 100,000 additions/sec Fastest computer in 2000: 2.1 trillion additions/sec Fastest computer in 2000: 2.1 trillion additions/sec Factor of 21 million Factor of 21 million Comparison: Comparison: First airplane 1903: 10mph First airplane 1903: 10mph Fastest today: ~ 2500 mph Fastest today: ~ 2500 mph

10 Exponential Growth Exponential growth example: doubling every year. Exponential growth example: doubling every year. Would you take a job where your salary started at $16/year and doubled every year? Would you take a job where your salary started at $16/year and doubled every year? 2 years $64/year 10 years: $16,000 20 years: ~ 17 million 25 years: > 500 million This is what happened in the computer industry! This is what happened in the computer industry! Aside: exponential growth is not unique to computer technology -- happens whenever the rate of increase of a quantity is proportional to the size of the quantity Aside: exponential growth is not unique to computer technology -- happens whenever the rate of increase of a quantity is proportional to the size of the quantity Other examples: compound interest, unconstrained biological population growth. Other examples: compound interest, unconstrained biological population growth.

11 Exponential progress Gordon Moore, 1965 Gordon Moore, 1965

12 10,000,000,000,000,000,000 grains of rice Ten quintillion: 10*10 18 Ten quintillion: 10*10 18 The number of grains of rice harvested in 2004 The number of grains of rice harvested in 2004

13 Ten quintillion: 10*10 18 Ten quintillion: 10*10 18 The number of grains of rice harvested in 2004 The number of grains of rice harvested in 2004 The number of transistors fabricated in 2004 The number of transistors fabricated in 2004 10,000,000,000,000,000,000 transistors

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18 Today: More than 1 billion PCs in use …

19 Representing less than 2% of all processors!

20 Number of computers connected to Internet 1970: 10 1970: 10 1975: 100 1975: 100 1980: 200 1980: 200 1985: 2,000 1985: 2,000 1990: 350,000 1990: 350,000 1995: 10,000,000 1995: 10,000,000 2000: 100,000,000 2000: 100,000,000 2005: 400,000,000 2005: 400,000,000

21 A connected region – 30 years ago

22 A connected region – now

23 The Computer: Time Magazine’s 1982 “Machine of the Year”

24 “In medicine, the computer, which started by keeping records and sending bills, now suggests diagnoses. The process may sound dehumanized, but in one hospital … a survey of patients showed that they found the machine ‘more friendly, polite, relaxing and comprehensible’ than the average physician.’” “In medicine, the computer, which started by keeping records and sending bills, now suggests diagnoses. The process may sound dehumanized, but in one hospital … a survey of patients showed that they found the machine ‘more friendly, polite, relaxing and comprehensible’ than the average physician.’”

25 “When the citizen of tomorrow wants a new suit, one futurist scenario suggests, his personal computer will take his measurements and pass them on to a robot that will cut his choice of cloth with a laser beam and provide him with a perfectly tailored garment.” “When the citizen of tomorrow wants a new suit, one futurist scenario suggests, his personal computer will take his measurements and pass them on to a robot that will cut his choice of cloth with a laser beam and provide him with a perfectly tailored garment.”

26 “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.”

27 vacuum your carpet

28 “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” wash your floor

29 “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” scrub your pool

30 “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” clean your gutters

31 “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” “In the home, computer enthusiasts delight in imagining machines performing domestic chores.” amuse your pet

32 “ Computing will be the most disruptive scientific paradigm disruptive scientific paradigm since quantum mechanics." since quantum mechanics." “Lord” Chazelle (2006)

33 Sciences of The Formula math, physics, chemistry

34 Sciences of The Future Neuroscience Genomics Climate sciences

35 “ The future belongs to those who understand computation: its scientific, economic and social impact.” “Lady” Karlin (2009)

36 My goals for the course I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a computer scientist. I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a computer scientist. I’d like you to leave the course understanding that advances in computing have changed the world in a deep and profound way. I’d like you to leave the course understanding that advances in computing have changed the world in a deep and profound way. I’d like for you to leave the course understanding why you will be better off pursuing computer science further, no matter what your ultimate ambitions are. I’d like for you to leave the course understanding why you will be better off pursuing computer science further, no matter what your ultimate ambitions are.

37 The future is full of opportunity Driving advances in all fields of science and engineering Driving advances in all fields of science and engineering Revolutionizing transportation Revolutionizing transportation Personalized education Personalized education The Smart Grid The Smart Grid Predictive, preventive, personalized medicine Predictive, preventive, personalized medicine Quantum computing Quantum computing Empowerment of the developing world Empowerment of the developing world Personalized health monitoring => quality of life Personalized health monitoring => quality of life Neurobotics Neurobotics Synthetic biology Synthetic biology

38 My goals for the course I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a computer scientist. I’d like you to learn how to “think” like a computer scientist. I’d like you to leave the course understanding how advances in computing have changed the world in such a deep and profound way. I’d like you to leave the course understanding how advances in computing have changed the world in such a deep and profound way. I’d like for you to leave the course understanding why you will be better off pursuing computer science further, no matter what your ultimate ambitions are. I’d like for you to leave the course understanding why you will be better off pursuing computer science further, no matter what your ultimate ambitions are. I’d like you to have fun!!! I’d like you to have fun!!!

39 A Brave New World Instructor: Anna Karlin (karlin@cs.washington.edu) office hour right after class on Fridays and by appt. Instructor: Anna Karlin (karlin@cs.washington.edu) office hour right after class on Fridays and by appt.karlin@cs.washington.edu TAs: TAs: Michael Bayne (mdb@cs.washington.edu) Michael Bayne (mdb@cs.washington.edu)mdb@cs.washington.edu Kate Moore (kfm@cs.washington.edu) Kate Moore (kfm@cs.washington.edu) Computer Access in basement of Communications. B027 is reserved for us: Computer Access in basement of Communications. B027 is reserved for us: Monday 3:30 -- 4:30 Monday 3:30 -- 4:30 Wednesday 2:30 -- 4:30 Wednesday 2:30 -- 4:30 Thursday 6-8pm Thursday 6-8pm

40 A Brave New World Course information on web Course information on web http://www.cs.washington.edu/BraveNewWorld http://www.cs.washington.edu/BraveNewWorld Class mailing list: Class mailing list: cse190x@cs.washington.edu cse190x@cs.washington.educse190x@cs.washington.edu Administrative homework: Administrative homework: If you have access to a PC check if it has a serial port

41 Very little programming in this course! Not necessary for conceptual understanding Not necessary for conceptual understanding Gives us more time for a broader coverage of computer science, inside and outside. Gives us more time for a broader coverage of computer science, inside and outside. No advantage to those who have No advantage to those who have prior programming experience prior programming experience Some labs/lectures use “pseudocode”

42 Grading Final (in class): 15% Final (in class): 15% Lab reports and homework: 40% Lab reports and homework: 40% Participation (in class, on blog): 30% Participation (in class, on blog): 30% Project: 15% Project: 15% Attendance at lectures is expected. Attendance at lectures is expected. No book. No book.

43 Some more details Readings for almost every lectures. Please be sure to do them! Readings for almost every lectures. Please be sure to do them! Occasional videos in class. Occasional videos in class. First lab this week: Web 2.0 First lab this week: Web 2.0 Blog posts -- somewhat open ended. Blog posts -- somewhat open ended. At least 2 longer posts a quarter (~ 3-4 paragraphs) At least 2 longer posts a quarter (~ 3-4 paragraphs) At least 6 comments (a few sentences to a paragraph) At least 6 comments (a few sentences to a paragraph) (Project in form of longer blog post: ~2000 words) (Project in form of longer blog post: ~2000 words) Several guest speakers on various topics, including, for example: Several guest speakers on various topics, including, for example: Digital audio and computer music Digital audio and computer music Computing and the developing world Computing and the developing world Protein folding Protein folding How computers can help improve the environment. How computers can help improve the environment. Visit to neurobotics lab Visit to neurobotics lab

44 Project Ideas Explore a computational problem in the field of your choice. Explore a computational problem in the field of your choice. Explore a policy issue, e.g., electronic voting, privacy, etc. Explore a policy issue, e.g., electronic voting, privacy, etc. Write a book report (e.g., The Google Story, Number Crunchers, The Singularity is Near, The Universal Computer: From Leibniz to Turing, The Code Book) Write a book report (e.g., The Google Story, Number Crunchers, The Singularity is Near, The Universal Computer: From Leibniz to Turing, The Code Book) Read or watch a bunch of sci-fi and discuss whether what you see will be possible in 25 years or not and why. Read or watch a bunch of sci-fi and discuss whether what you see will be possible in 25 years or not and why. Discuss how technology is affecting your favorite art form. Discuss how technology is affecting your favorite art form. Study the Unabomber Manifesto and discuss what you agree with and what you disagree with. Study the Unabomber Manifesto and discuss what you agree with and what you disagree with. Projects will be due on Tuesday during the last week of classes. We’ll pick a couple of the most interesting projects and discuss them in class on the final day. Projects will be due on Tuesday during the last week of classes. We’ll pick a couple of the most interesting projects and discuss them in class on the final day.

45 Questions? Next: Rod Brooks TED talk Next: Rod Brooks TED talk How Robots Will Invade our Lives

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