1. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e Headquarters U.S. Air Force 28 Nov 011 Air Force Weather Support to Homeland Security COPC Meeting 28 Nov 01 Lt Col Mike Babcock HQ USAF/ XOW

2. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 012 Overview AFW - Who we are, what we do, and why Leveraging the meteorological community Cooperative support and backup Opportunities for Improvement

3. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 013 AFW Demographics: Who we are ENLISTED 70% OFFICER 19% CIVILIAN 8% CME 3% Total AFW Personnel: 4040 Active Duty AF: 3450 ANG/Reserve: 590 (as of Apr 01) Active Duty AF Strat center (AFWA) 9 Opnl Wx Squadrons 132 Combat Wx Teams Air National Guard 33 Weather Flights AF Reserves Augment active duty AFW Units

4. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 014 AFW Capabilities Deliver to our Nation's combat forces anytime, anyplace, the highest quality, mission-tailored information, products, and services relating to the terrestrial and space environment....from the mud to the sun.

5. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 015 AFW Core Processes ALL ARE KEY TO PERFORMING OUR MISSION: ANALYSIS TAILORING FORECASTING DISSEMINATION DATA COLLECTION

6. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 016 AFW –Organized for Ops Mission-Scale 2 Way Info OPERATIONAL CONCEPT GlobalProducts Fine-Scale Theater Products Strategic Weather Center Operational Weather Squadrons Combat Weather Teams (132) Lean, Experienced Mission Knowledgeable Team Develop Forecasts On-the-Job Training / Mentoring Less Experienced Personnel Leverage Technology Manage Infrastructure WARFIGHTER

7. 66.5 0 S 28 0 N 46 0 N 0 N 22 0 N 5 0 S 60 0 W 92 0 W 30 0 W 0 W 10 0 W 60 0 E 68 0 E 159 0 E Weather Support Areas Of Responsibility Areas of Responsibility 11 OWS (Elmendorf AFB) 15 OWS (Scott AFB) 17 OWS (Hickam AFB) 20 OWS (Yokota AB) 25 OWS (Davis-Monthan AFB) 26 OWS (Barksdale AFB) 28 OWS (Shaw AFB) AFWA (Offutt AFB) USAFE OWS (Sembach)

8. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 018 OWSs + Support Locations (CONUS) USAF/AFRC/ANG Flying Unit ACC Army Units AFSOC Unit AMC Units AETC Units AFMC Units AFSPC Units CONUS Regional Ops Weather Squadrons Davis Monthan AFB Shaw Army NG Avn Unit Barksdale AFB Scott AFB Green indicates reengineered

9. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 019 AFW Capabilities leveraged by others Meteorological satellite processing and applications Cloud analyses/forecasts, Snow and Surface Temp analyses Fine-scale NWP model coupled with Land Surface Model LSM collaboration with NCAR, NCEP, Office of Hydrology Space weather support for all DoD and National Program customers – worldwide observing network and collaboration with NOAA’s Space Environment Center Cloud forecasts 12 nm horiz res + Space Wx Improved support for DoD ops Low-level aircraft ops Trafficability for ground forces Dispersion of contaminants Smart weapons employment LSM

10. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 0110 AFW Capabilities leveraged by others Climatology Global archival and analysis of weather observations ACMES (climo from meso models, constrained by NCEP/NCAR reanalysis fields) Slant-path Point Analysis Model Center collocated with NOAA’s NCDC, Asheville, NC Collaborating with NOAA’s NWS and OAR on climo support to USAID, DoS – medium range forecasts to support refugee aid

11. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 0111 Atmospheric Dispersion AFW units provide met data to the consequence mgmt experts Joint Forces Command support AF civil engineer readiness teams Army nuclear, biological, and chemical teams AFWA, OWSs, and CWTs all support operations AFW units provide met data to the consequence mgmt experts Joint Forces Command support AF civil engineer readiness teams Army nuclear, biological, and chemical teams AFWA, OWSs, and CWTs all support operations AFWA populates Met Data Server with high-resolution MM5 data for DTRA and other HPAC users worldwide Enables support for major events such as Olympics, inauguration, etc. For CONUS homeland security, NWS is primary, DoD secondary/backup

12. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 0112 Leveraging: Operations NOAA NESDIS: satellite data and services NWS/NCEP: NWP models (AVN, Eta), forecast products NOAA/SEC: Space Weather products Navy NWP models (NOGAPS) Ocean products (SST analyses, wave forecasts, etc.) All available (NOAA/NWS, Navy, foreign sources, etc.) Access to products via web pages, data via comm feed Observations, radar, TAFs & aviation products, etc.

13. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 0113 Leveraging: Training, R&D, acquisition Training COMET (UCAR lead; sponsored by DOC, DoD, etc.) We provide joint formal training to Navy, USMC, USCG at Keesler AFB, MS R&D: Leverage best we find - transition to ops DoD research labs (AFRL, ARL, NRL) Fed civilian labs (NCAR, FSL, ETL, etc.) Academia (UPOS, CIRA, etc.) Industry (Weather Channel, CRDA with AER, etc.) Cooperative development and acquisition Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model NPOESS (DoD/DOC/NASA); NEXRAD (DoD/DOC/DOT)

14. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 0114 Cooperative Support and Backup AFW supports National Command Authorities, Navy/USMC, NOAA, Intel community, NIMA, National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, State Dept, DTRA, USAID, & others AFWA provides backup to NOAA centers via official agreement Product backup for Aviation Wx Center, Storms Prediction Center, and Washington Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Mesoscale model backup (MM5) to NCEP Eta model Space Wx products to Space Environment Center AFWA is partner in OFCM’s Cooperative Support and Backup Plan for operational processing centers (Shared Proc. Net.) AFWA provides high-res MM5 data to DTRA via HPAC met data servers, for use by DTRA and worldwide HPAC users Web page access via JAAWIN, JAAWIN(S), OWS web pages

15. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 0115 DoD Operations Roles and responsibilities Services: Component Ops; Organize, Train and Equip Joint operations: Unified commands R&D: OUSD(AT&L), Service labs (AFRL, ARL, NRL) Enduring Freedom (Afghanistan): CENTCOM has lead Joint Ops Area Forecast (JOAF) from Bahrain (Navy) Shaw OWS: provides tailored reach-back support AFWA: MM5 products, dust model, SOF/Intel support Noble Eagle (CONUS): JFCOM, NORAD have ops lead Higher ops tempo; otherwise, business as usual

16. I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 28 Nov 0116 Opportunities for Improvement Improved NWP and advanced data assimilation for satellite, radar, mesonet, and other data sources Weather Research & Forecast (WRF) model Joint Center for Sat Data Assimilation Share processing load to overcome computing shortfall that limits CONUS high-res NWP models Unity of effort for Homeland Security NBC dispersion Improve interaction: OFCM Workshops in Dec 2001 One event, one forecast with NWS lead for weather Common “portal” to support multiple dispersion models: facilitates R&D, V&V, ensembles, backup

17. “Choose The Weather For Battle”