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IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 1 Armenia National Voter Study International Republican.

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Presentation on theme: "IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 1 Armenia National Voter Study International Republican."— Presentation transcript:

1 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 1 Armenia National Voter Study International Republican Institute, Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization, Armenian Sociological Association with funding from the United States Agency for International Development November 2006

2 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 2 INFORMATION ABOUT THE SURVEY This national representative survey was conducted on November 10-19, 2006. 1,200 Armenian residents aged 18 years and over were interviewed face-to-face. The margin of error does not exceed 3%. The survey was carried out on behalf of IRI. It was funded by the United States Agency for International Development. The study was designed, coordinated and analyzed by Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization (Dr. R.Alisauskiene). The fieldwork was carried out by the Armenian Sociological Association (ASA).

3 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 3 MOOD OF THE COUNTRY

4 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 4 Mood of the country: 58% of Armenians think that the country is on the wrong track, while 32% think that the country is going in the right direction

5 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 5 Mood of the country: 34% of Armenians see improvement in the country’s economy, while 23% think it is declining

6 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 6 Mood of the country: 24% of Armenians say their household’s financial situation has improved, while 27% say it has declined

7 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 7 Mood of the country: 39% of Armenians are satisfied with the development of democracy, while 58% are not

8 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 8 Mood of the country: An overall majority of Armenians think that it will take a long time to improve things in their country

9 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 9 Mood of the Nation: Expectations

10 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 10 Mood of the Nation

11 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 11 Over the last year attitude towards the way things are developing in Armenia has become:

12 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 12 ISSUES

13 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 13 Most important issues facing Armenia November 2006 (%)

14 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 14 Most important issues facing Armenia August 2006 (%)

15 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 15 Most important issues facing Armenia May 2006 (%)

16 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 16 Most important issue facing towns/villages in Armenia November 2006 (%)

17 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 17 Most important issue facing towns/villages in Armenia August 2006 (%)

18 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 18 Most important issue facing towns/villages in Armenia May 2006 (%)

19 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 19 Most important issue facing households in Armenia November 2006 (%)

20 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 20 Most important issue facing households in Armenia August 2006 (%)

21 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 21 Most important issue facing households in Armenia May 2006 (%)

22 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 22 Issues At the personal/household level, social issues are most pressing. At community level, the most important problem is unemployment. At the national level, social problems and territorial integrity/security issues are most important.

23 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 23 Acceptability of Forms of Social Protest November 2006 (%)

24 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 24 Acceptability of Forms of Social Protest August 2006 (%)

25 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 25 Acceptability of Forms of Social Protest May 2006 (%)

26 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 26 People’s Fears November 2006 (%)

27 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 27 People’s Fears August 2006 (%)

28 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 28 People’s Fears May 2006 (%)

29 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 29 People’s Fears The biggest fears are related to instability/security: territorial integrity of the country, war, social instability (social- economic problems, unemployment) and migration.

30 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 30 POLITICS

31 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 31 What should the Armenian government accomplish first to attract the support of the majority of the Armenian population? November 2006 (%)

32 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 32 What should the Armenian government accomplish first to attract the support of the majority of the Armenian population? August 2006 (%)

33 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 33 What should the Armenian government accomplish first to attract the support of the majority of the Armenian population? May 2006 (%)

34 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 34 Interest in Politics (%)

35 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 35 Do you plan to vote in the next Parliamentary elections or not?

36 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 36 Political Leaders: Ratings, November 2006 (%)

37 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 37 Political Leaders: Ratings, August 2006 (%)

38 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 38 Political Leaders: Ratings, May 2006 (%)

39 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 39 When considering which party to vote for, what is more important?

40 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 40 All other things equal, would vote for:

41 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 41 All other things equal, would vote for:

42 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 42 Major mistakes and failures of Armenian authorities over the last year: November 2006 (%)

43 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 43 Major mistakes and failures of Armenian authorities over the last year: August 2006 (%)

44 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 44 Major mistakes and failures of Armenian authorities over the last year: May 2006 (%)

45 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 45 The wrongdoing and corruption of political leaders and authorities is…(%)

46 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 46 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

47 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 47 Evaluation of relations with… November 2006 (%)

48 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 48 Evaluation of relations with… August 2006 (%)

49 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 49 Evaluation of relations with… May 2006 (%)

50 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 50 International Relations: Partners and Threats November 2006 (%)

51 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 51 International Relations: Partners and Threats August 2006 (%)

52 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 52 International Relations: Partners and Threats May 2006 (%)

53 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 53 How important is it for Armenia to solve the problems related to Nagorno Karabakh in the near future? Is it…. (%)

54 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 54 Thinking about the future of Nagorno Karabakh, do you think it should… (%)

55 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 55 Do you think that the current situation in regard to the status of Nagorno Karabakh should be resolved through negotiations and peaceful means, or should some force be used if necessary? (%)

56 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 56 Does it worry you that the President of Azerbaijan has pledged to increase defense spending dramatically now that Azerbaijan is receiving a lot of money from oil?

57 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 57 Do you think that a peaceful settlement on Nagorno Karabakh can be reached with Azerbaijan without military force being used?

58 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 58 In your opinion, does the presence of a Russian military base in Armenia have a positive or negative influence on Armenian independence and stability in the country?

59 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 59

60 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 60 Do you have friends or relatives working abroad?

61 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 61 Do you personally benefit from remittances being sent from friends or relatives working abroad? (Those who have friends or relatives abroad, %)

62 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 62 Is a “peaceful revolution” – like what happened in other CIS countries – likely in Armenia? (%)

63 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 63 Do you think Russia is a trustworthy ally of Armenia? (%)

64 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 64 Should Armenia in the future… November 2006 (%)

65 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 65 Should Armenia in the future… August 2006 (%)

66 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 66 Should Armenia in the future… May 2006 (%)

67 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 67 INSTITUTIONS

68 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 68 Confidence In Institutions: November 2006 (%)

69 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 69 Confidence In Institutions: August 2006 (%)

70 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 70 Confidence In Institutions: May 2006 (%)

71 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 71

72 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 72

73 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 73

74 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 74

75 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 75 HEROES OF OUR TIMES

76 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 76 Heroes For Our Times Of the prominent Armenian people and characters in Armenian history and folk culture, who is most suitable to be a national hero or leader in the present? (Open-ended question, %) November 2006

77 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 77 Heroes For Our Times Of the prominent Armenian people and characters in Armenian history and folk culture, who is most suitable to be a national hero or leader in the present? (Open-ended question, %) August 2006

78 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 78 Heroes For Our Times Of the prominent Armenian people and characters in Armenian history and folk culture, who is most suitable to be a national hero or leader in the present time? (Open-ended question, %) May 2006

79 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 79 Tolerance November 2006 (%)

80 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 80 Tolerance August 2006 (%)

81 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 81 Tolerance May 2006 (%)

82 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 82 SOURCES OF INFORMATION

83 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 83 Sources of Political Information (%)

84 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 84 Regularly read Armenian newspapers (%)

85 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 85 Regularly viewed Armenian TV stations (%)

86 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 86 Regularly listened to Armenian radio stations (%)

87 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 87 Most trusted Armenian newspapers news and political information (%)

88 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 88 Sources in Election Campaign November 2006 (%)

89 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 89 Sources in Election Campaign August 2006 (%)

90 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 90 Sources in Election Campaign May 2006 (%)

91 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 91 Recall of communication means used during the last Parliamentary Election campaign (%)

92 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 92 In your opinion, are people in Armenia afraid to openly express their political views?

93 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 93 Trust in Elections

94 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 94 Trust in Elections

95 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 95 Trust in Elections

96 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 96 Trust in Elections

97 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 97 SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS

98 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 98

99 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 99

100 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 100

101 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 101

102 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization, ASA ARMENIAN NATIONAL VOTERS STUDY, November 2006 102


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