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Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chapter 1: Trends in the Overall Health Care Market.

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Presentation on theme: "Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chapter 1: Trends in the Overall Health Care Market."— Presentation transcript:

1 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chapter 1: Trends in the Overall Health Care Market

2 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-2 Chart 1.1: Total National Health Expenditures 1980 - 2003 Billions Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary (1) Expressed in 1980 dollars; adjusted using the overall Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers Inflation-adjusted (1)

3 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market Chart 1.2: Percent Change in Total National Health Expenditures 1981 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary 1-3

4 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-4 Chart 1.3: Per Capita National Health Expenditures 1980 - 2003 Per Capita Amount Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary (1) Expressed in 1980 dollars; adjusted using the overall Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers Inflation-adjusted (1)

5 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-5 Chart 1.4: National Health Expenditures as a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product 1980 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary

6 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-6 Chart 1.5: National Expenditures for Health Services and Supplies (1) by Category 1980 and 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary (1) Excludes medical research and medical facilities construction (2) “Other” includes net cost of insurance and administration, government public health activities, and other personal health care (3) “Other professional” includes dental and other non- physician professional services Prescription Drugs - 5.2% Physician Services - 20.2% Hospital Care - 43.5% Nursing Home Care - 7.6% Other (2) - 9.5% Other Medical Durables and Non-durables - 5.9% Home Health Care - 1.0% Other Professional (3) - 7.3% Other Medical Durables and Non-durables – 3.3% Prescription Drugs – 11.1% Home Health Care - 2.5% Other Professional (3) - 7.6% Physician Services - 22.9% Hospital Care - 32.0% Other (2) – 13.8% Nursing Home Care – 6.9% $233.5 B$1,614.2 B

7 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-7 Chart 1.6: Percent Change in National Expenditures for Health Services and Supplies (1) by Category 2002 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary (1) Excludes medical research and medical facilities construction (2) “Other” includes government public health activities and other personal health care (3) “Other professional” includes dental and other non-physician professional services Prescription Drugs Other (2) Physician Services Other Profes- sional (3) Hospital Care Nursing Home Care Home Health Care Other Medical Durables and Non Durables Admin. and Net Cost of Priv. Health Insurance 7.6% All Health Services & Supplies

8 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-8 Chart 1.7: Percent Change in National Expenditures for Selected Health Services and Supplies 1993 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary Prescription Drugs Admin. & Net Cost of Private Health Ins. Hospital Care Nursing Home Care Home Health Care

9 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-9 Chart 1.8: National Health Expenditures (1) 1980 - 2014 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary (1) Years 2004 – 2014 are projections Billions

10 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-10 Chart 1.9: Consumer Out-of-Pocket Payments for National Health Expenditures 1990 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary Billions

11 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-11 Chart 1.10: Total Prescription Drug Spending 1980 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary (1) Expressed in 1980 dollars; adjusted using the overall Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers Billions Inflation-adjusted (1)

12 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-12 Chart 1.11: Growth in Total Prescription Drug Spending as a Percentage of Total Growth in National Health Expenditures 1980 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary

13 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-13 Chart 1.12: Consumer Out-of-Pocket Spending vs. Private Health Insurance Spending for Prescription Drugs 1980 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary Out-of-Pocket Private Health Insurance Billions

14 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-14 Chart 1.13: Distribution of National Health Expenditures by Source of Payment 1980, 1990, and 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary Medicare - 15.2% Total Medicaid - 10.6% Other Government - 16.9% Other Private - 5.9% Out of Pocket - 23.7% Private Insurance - 27.8% $245.8 B$696.0 B $1,678.9 B 19.7% 6.1% 33.5% 14.2% 10.6% 15.8% Out of Pocket Other Private Private Insurance Other Government Total Medicaid Medicare Out of Pocket – 13.7% Other Private – 4.9% Private Insurance – 35.8% Other Government - 12.8% Total Medicaid – 15.9% Medicare – 16.9%

15 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-15 Chart 1.14: Distribution of Health Insurance Coverage Percentage of Population Covered by Payer 1990, 2002, and 2003 (1) 1990 2002 2003 Source: US Census Bureau, Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2003 (1) 2002 and 2003 data use population estimates based on Census 2000.

16 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-16 Chart 1.15: Number and Percent Uninsured (1) 1985 - 2003 Source: US Census Bureau, Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2003 (1) 1999 - 2003 data use population estimates based on Census 2000 Number of Uninsured (Millions) Percent of Total Population Number Percent

17 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-17 Chart 1.16: Average Percent Uninsured by State 2001-2003 Source: US Census Bureau, Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2003 < 10.0% 10.0% - 14.9% 15.0% - 19.9%  20.0% RI 9.3% DE 10.1% DC 13.3%

18 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-18 Chart 1.17: Medicare Enrollees (1) 1980 - 2003 Millions Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (1) Hospital insurance (Part A) enrollees only; includes all persons (aged and disabled)

19 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-19 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services; 2002 data, CBO March 2003 Baseline; 2003 data, CBO March 2004 Baseline (1) Does not include S-CHIP Enrollees Chart 1.18: Medicaid Enrollees (1) 1990, 1995, 2000 - 2003 Millions Aged Blind/Disabled Children Adults Other Title XIX 25.3 M 36.3 M 46.1 M 42.5 M 50.9 M 52.4 M

20 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-20 Chart 1.19: National SCHIP Enrollment (1) FY 1999 - FY 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (1) Number of children enrolled at any point in the year

21 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-21 Chart 1.20: Percent Change in SCHIP Enrollment By State FY 2002 - FY 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Revised FY 2003 Number of Children Ever Enrolled in SCHIP by Program Type, August 5, 2004 RI26% DE2% DC16% 10% - 19% 1% -9%  0% 20% - 29%  30% Unknown

22 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-22 Chart 1.21: Percentage of Employees with Employer-based Coverage Who Can Choose Conventional, PPO, HMO and POS Plans 1988 - 2004 (1) Source: The Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, Survey of Employer- Sponsored Health Benefits: 2002, 2003,2004; KPMG Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits: 1988, 1993, 1996 (1) Point-of-service plans not separately identified Conventional PPO HMO POS

23 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-23 Source: The Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, Survey of Employer- Sponsored Health Benefits: 1999, 2002, 2003,2004; KPMG Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Benefits: 1988, 1993, 1996 (1) Point-of-service plans not separately identified Chart 1.22: Distribution of Employer-sponsored Health Insurance Enrollment by Type of Plan 1988 - 2004 Conventional PPO HMO POS (1)

24 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-24 Chart 1.23: Percentage of Medicare Beneficiaries Enrolled in Medicare Managed Care (1) 1991 - 2004 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary (1) Percentages are risk enrollees divided by enrollees who have both hospital insurance and supplementary medical insurance

25 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-25 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary Chart 1.24: Percent Growth in Medicare Spending per Beneficiary vs. Private Health Insurance Spending per Enrollee 1980 - 2003 Private Health Insurance Medicare

26 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-26 Chart 1.25: Percentage of Medicaid Beneficiaries Enrolled in Medicaid Managed Care 1991 - 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary

27 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-27 Chart 1.26: Percentage of Medicaid Beneficiaries Enrolled in Medicaid Managed Care by State 2003 Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary 25% - 49% 50% - 74% 75% - 100% 1% - 24% 0% RI 66.8% DE 71.3% DC 66.6%

28 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-28 Source: The Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, Employer Health Benefits 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004 Annual Surveys; KPMG Survey of Employer -Sponsored Health Benefits: 1988, 1993, 1996 Chart 1.27: Annual Change in Health Insurance Premiums 1988 - 2004

29 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-29 Source: Interstudy Competitive Edge: Part II: Managed Care Industry Report, using data as of January 1, 2004 * Due to changes in the financial reporting requirements that took effect in many states in 2001, Interstudy recalculated the ratios for 2001 and 2002 according to the formulas used with the current HMO Financial Database, to ensure that data over the past three years is trended according to a consistent methodology Chart 1.28: HMO Plan Median Operating Margins 1990 - 2003

30 Chartbook 2005 Trends in the Overall Health Care Market 1-30 Source: Robinson J. Consolidation and the transformation of competition in health insurance. Health Affairs 2004;23(6):11-24. Chart 1.29: Operating Margins of the Top Insurers 2000 - 2003

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