1. London 2062- housing © bere: architects

2. Pelsmakers Sofie © bere: architects

3. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 50 years from now,…

4. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment I should be

5. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment I should be 87 years old

6. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment because

7. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment because Most women in my family live in their 90s

8. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 97

9. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment But will I?

10. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment But will I? Probably not,…

11. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Because

12. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Because by 2050

13. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Because by 2050 London will

14. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment be too hot

15. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment this is fatal to many elderly

16. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Why?

17. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Why? 1.NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise

18. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Why? 1.NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise 2.UK failed to meet its 80% CO 2 reduction by 2050

19. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Why? 1.NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise 2.UK failed to meet its 80% CO 2 reduction by 2050 3.75% of buildings which exist today will still exist in 2050; of which 26 million dwellings

20. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Why? 1.NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise 2.UK failed to meet its 80% CO 2 reduction by 2050 3.75% of buildings which exist today will still exist in 2050; of which 26 million dwellings 4.Lack of incentives means they both contribute to CO 2 emissions and are ill-adapted to Londons changing climate

21. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Why? 1.NO global effort to reduce carbon emissions so unabated climate change:2-6ºC temperature rise 2.UK failed to meet its 80% CO 2 reduction by 2050 3.75% of buildings which exist today will still exist in 2050; of which 26 million dwellings 4.Lack of incentives means they both contribute to CO 2 emissions and are ill-adapted to Londons changing climate 5.Heat-related deaths; 2000 in summer 2003 in UK

22. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment How hot?

23. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment How hot? (2080) Summers to be 4.5ºC warmer

24. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment How hot? (2080) © The Environmental Design Pocketbook

25. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment What else? (2080) Sea level rise: 50-90cm

26. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment What else? (2080) Sea level rise: 50-90cm up to 26% decrease in summer rain

27. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment What else? (2080) Sea level rise: 50-90cm up to 26% decrease in summer rain Up to 32% increase in winter rain

28. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment impact?

29. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment impact? 1. Increased seasonal water shortages

30. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment impact? 1. Increased seasonal water shortages 2. Increased risk of flooding + localized flash floods

31. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment impact? 1. Increased seasonal water shortages 2. Increased risk of flooding + localized flash floods 3. Decreased winter fuel-poverty

32. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment impact? 1. Increased seasonal water shortages 2. Increased risk of flooding + localized flash floods 3. Decreased winter fuel-poverty 4. Increased summer cooling-poverty and health related issues (particularly the elderly at risk)

33. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment avoidable?

34. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment avoidable? Yes!

35. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment avoidable? But we have to future-proof today.

36. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Sounds simple?

37. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment It is!

38. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment because Although these conditions are new to London, we can borrow from other climates in the world (Mediterranean, Netherlands)

39. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment How? By choosing housing interventions which both mitigate and adapt to climate change

40. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment How? 5 key interventions

41. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 1. insulate Going to zero carbon

42. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 1. insulate Going to zero carbonInsulation & increased airtightness reduce winter heat loss but also summer heat gains.

43. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 1. insulate Going to zero carbon Insulate existing housing stock to high standards

44. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 1. insulate Going to zero carbonPassivhaus/EnerPHit or similar

45. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Spot the Passivhaus? © bere: architects

46. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 1. insulate Going to zero carbonWe need to think about external insulation (retains thermal mass, reduces thermal bridging & other risks)

47. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon © Anne Thorne Architects

48. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon © Anne Thorne Architects

49. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon depth of insulation is substantial © Anne Thorne Architects

50. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment © Anne Thorne Architects

51. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 1. insulate Going to zero carbonwhile increasing airtightness we need to allow for biodiversity habitats!

52. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment © Architecture for Change biodiversity …because striving for increased airtightness reduces opportunities for birds to nest & bats to roost in gaps & cracks of old buildings.

53. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment biodiversity Example of how it can be supported

54. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment biodiversity © bere: architects

55. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment © Architecture for Change biodiversity

56. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 2.greenery

57. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 2.greenery Increase greenery, permeable surfaces & water storage – at micro and macro scale

58. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 2.greenery This will: increase biodiversity

59. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 2.greenery This will: increase biodiversity reduce Urban Heat Island Effect & effects of hot summers

60. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 2.greenery This will: increase biodiversity reduce Urban Heat Island Effect & effects of hot summers reduce flood risk

61. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon © The Environmental Design Pocketbook

62. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment © The Environmental Design Pocketbook

63. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment

64. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment © Architecture for Change

65. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment measures © Architecture for Change

66. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment © bere: architects

67. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon 3.reflection

68. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon 3.reflection Light coloured external surfaces at micro & macro scale

69. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon 3.reflection Because it will:

70. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon 3.reflection Because it will: reflect sunlight back

71. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon 3.reflection Because it will: reflect sunlight back reduce surface temperatures by 10-20ºC

72. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon 3.reflection Because it will: reflect sunlight back reduce surface temperatures by 10-20ºC keep buildings cooler

73. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Going to zero carbon © The Environmental Design Pocketbook

74. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Light coloured surfaces, Avignon

75. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 4. shading Going to zero carbon

76. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 4. shading Going to zero carbon external solar shading will become essential in London 2062:

77. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 4. shading Going to zero carbon external solar shading will become essential in London 2062: replace outward opening windows with internal opening windows to allow for ventilation.

78. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 4. marseille

79. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Freiburg

80. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 5.airflow

81. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 5.airflow Night cooling is particularly important to balance increasing summer temperatures to zero carbon © The Environmental Design Pocketbook

82. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 5. airflow © The Environmental Design Pocketbook

83. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment It is not zero carbon

84. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment 0CO 2 Because London on the whole is of too high density to achieve this in the current definition of zero carbon

85. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment © The Environmental Design Pocketbook

86. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Approx. 100 dw/ha – low energyApprox. 30 dw/ha – zero carbon

87. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Energy efficiency

88. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment = first renewable

89. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment And,… London boroughs who have foresight of mitigation & adaptation will be better & safer places to live.

90. The UK Doctoral Training Centre in Energy Demand Reduction and the Built Environment Thank you www.environmentaldesignpocketbook.com www.architectureforchange.com