1. LIVE INTERACTIVE LEARNING @ YOUR DESKTOP Thursday, April 8, 2010 6:30 p.m. - 8:00 p.m. Eastern time Exploring U.S. Regional Climate Change Impacts: Why It Matters to You By: Dr. Steve McNulty and Vicki Arthur

2. Section I Exploring U.S. Regional Climate Change Impacts: Why It Matters to You Dr. Steven McNulty USDA Forest Service North Carolina State University steve_mcnulty@ncsu.eduteve_mcnulty@ncsu.edu

3. What is Climate Change?? Change in Air Temperature from the average of the 1950’s-1980’s compared to the 1990’s

5. EarthMoon Green House Gas % in the Atmos 5 0 Distance from Sun (millions of km) Day/Night Temperature Range ( o C) Average Temperature ( o C) 107/-153 -23 21 26-17 149

6. MercuryVenus Green House Gas % in the Atmos <1 95 Distance from Sun (millions of Km) Daily Temperature Range ( o C) Average Temperature ( o C) 450 450/450 400 58 420/-150 108

7. Poll Question According to the historical data, is climate change cyclical? √ Yes X No

8. 400,000 Years of Antarctic CO 2 and Temperature Change Source: Climate Change Impacts on the US, NAST, 2001

9. Northern Hemisphere Carbon Emissions Source: Climate Change Impacts on the US, NAST, 2000

10. Atmospheric CO 2 Concentrations Source: Climate Change Impacts on the US, NAST, 2000

11. Northern Hemisphere Surface Temperature Source: Climate Change Impacts on the US, NAST, 2000

13. “Simulations of the response to natural forcings alone … do not explain the warming in the second half of the century”SPM Stott et al, Science 2000

14. “..model estimates that take into account both greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols are consistent with observations over this period” SPM Stott et al, Science 2000

16. What other Factors could increase or decrease Global Warming in the long and short term? [Type in the chat]

17. Let’s Pause Two Minutes for Questions from the Audience

18. Section II How is/will climate change be impacting you? Regional impacts

19. IPCC world CC map

20. Alaska and Canada

21. Poll Question Which of the impacts of climate change might have a positive, short term effect? A)Forest Production B)Insects C)Sea Ice thinning

22. Change in Forest Productivity from 1982 to 1999 Nemani et al., Science June 6 th 2003

23. Insects

28. Spring bud-burst dates for Aspen in Edmonton

29. The increase in growing season length over the last 50 years averaged for eight stations in Alaska having the longest and most consistent temperature records.

30. Can you think of other potential long and short term impacts of climate change for this region? [Type in the Chat]

31. Rocky Mountains and Western US

38. Large scale (> 400 ac) Wildfires and Air Temperature From Westerling et al. 2005

40. Can you think of other potential long and short term impacts of climate change for this region? [Type in the Chat]

41. Let’s Pause Two Minutes for Questions from the Audience

42. Eastern US

43. Sugar maple Iverson et. al GTR NE265

44. Percent of the continental USA with a much above normal proportion of total annual precipitation from 1-day extreme events (more than 2 inches or 50.8mm) Karl et al. 1996 BW 7

45. Areas of Soil Erosion By 2030 On UNF

47. Loblolly pine Iverson et. al GTR NE265

50. > 25% DECLINE 5%-25% DECLINE <5% CHANGE 5%-25% INCREASE Timberland Acreage Shift 1993 – 2040: No Climate Change Baseline

51. Timberland Acreage Shifts by 2040 Due to Hadley Climate Change 5%-25% DECLINE <5% CHANGE 5%-25% INCREASE

53. Can you think of other potential long and short term impacts of climate change for this region? [Type in the Chat]

54. Let’s Pause Two Minutes for Questions from the Audience

55. Coastal Areas

59. Results of Sea Level Rise Gulf Coast Region

60. Results of Sea Level Rise 1.5 Meter Rise

61. Graphic by Hugo Ahlenius

62. BLEACHING OF CORAL REEFS BY OCEAN TEMPS > 85deg F (29 deg C)

64. Locations of Coral Reef Bleaching

66. Can you think of other potential long and short term impacts of climate change for this region? [Type in the Chat]

67. Let’s Pause Two Minutes for Questions from the Audience

68. Summary of Impacts

70. U.S. Forest Service Section I Education Resources to Help You Bring the Climate Change Issue Home

71. globalchange.gov U.S. Global Change Research Program

73. National Academies of Science national-academies.org www.nas.edu/climatechange

75. http://fs.usda.gov/conservationeducation

78. Carbon, Oxygen, Water and Shade: Putting a Price on the Benefits of Your School Yard Trees Vicki Arthur David V. Bloniarz U.S. Forest Service

79. i-Tree: Demonstrating That Trees Pay Us Back!

80. Itree curriculum: www.itreetools.org

81. www.treebenefits.com

83. Natural Inquirer Forest Service’s Science Education Journal www.naturalinquirer.org

84. GreenSchools! www.plt.org

87. Thanks!

88. Thank you to the sponsor of tonight's Web Seminar:

89. http://learningcenter.nsta.org

90. http://www.elluminate.com

91. National Science Teachers Association Dr. Francis Q. Eberle, Executive Director Zipporah Miller, Associate Executive Director Conferences and Programs Al Byers, Assistant Executive Director e-Learning LIVE INTERACTIVE LEARNING @ YOUR DESKTOP NSTA Web Seminars Paul Tingler, Director Jeff Layman, Technical Coordinator