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NOAA's NWS National Performance Measures FY 2010 – FY 2016 NOAA's NWS National Performance Measures FY 2010 – FY 2016 Government Performance Requirements.

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Presentation on theme: "NOAA's NWS National Performance Measures FY 2010 – FY 2016 NOAA's NWS National Performance Measures FY 2010 – FY 2016 Government Performance Requirements."— Presentation transcript:

1 NOAA's NWS National Performance Measures FY 2010 – FY 2016 NOAA's NWS National Performance Measures FY 2010 – FY 2016 Government Performance Requirements Act Government Performance Requirements Act (GPRA) Performance Measure (GPRA) Performance Measure Goals GoalsActual 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 201420152016 Weather and Water Goals Storm-Based Tornado Warning Accuracy (%) Storm-Based Tornado Warning Accuracy (%)70 72 72707272727373 Storm-Based Tornado False Alarm Rate (%) Storm-Based Tornado False Alarm Rate (%)72*74727171717070 Storm-Based Tornado Warning Lead Time (Min) Storm-Based Tornado Warning Lead Time (Min)12 14 14121313131414 Flash Flood Warnings-Accuracy (%) Flash Flood Warnings-Accuracy (%)72 79 79727474747676 Flash Flood Warnings-Lead Time (Min) Flash Flood Warnings-Lead Time (Min)38 71 71384040404242 Hurricane Track Forecasts (48 Hours, RMS) Hurricane Track Forecasts (48 Hours, RMS)107 89 89878481777471 Hurricane Intensity Error (48 Hour, Knots) Hurricane Intensity Error (48 Hour, Knots)13*15131212121111 Precipitation Forecast-Day-1 Threat Score (%) Precipitation Forecast-Day-1 Threat Score (%)30 35 35303132323333 Winter Storm Warnings-Accuracy (%) Winter Storm Warnings-Accuracy (%)90 90 90909091919192 Winter Storm Warnings-Lead Time (Hours) Winter Storm Warnings-Lead Time (Hours)15 21 21151919202020 “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life” * Performance measures that are highlighted in red missed target goal for FY-10.

2 Government Performance Requirements Act Government Performance Requirements Act (GPRA) Performance Measure (GPRA) Performance Measure Goals Goals Actual Actual Goals Goals 20102010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 Climate Goals U.S. Seasonal Temperature – Skill U.S. Seasonal Temperature – Skill24*1821********** Commerce and Transportation Goals Aviation Forecasts (Ceiling and Visibility) – Aviation Forecasts (Ceiling and Visibility) – Accuracy (%) (less than 3 mi/1000 ft) Accuracy (%) (less than 3 mi/1000 ft)65 65 65656668696970 Aviation Forecasts (Ceiling and Visibility) – Aviation Forecasts (Ceiling and Visibility) – False Alarm Rate (%) (less than 3 mi/1000 ft) False Alarm Rate (%) (less than 3 mi/1000 ft)42 36 36414139393838 Marine Wind Speed – Percentage of Accurate Marine Wind Speed – Percentage of Accurate Forecasts Forecasts69 74 74697070707171 Marine Wave Height – Percentage of Accurate Marine Wave Height – Percentage of Accurate Forecasts Forecasts74 76 76747575757676 “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life” *Performance measures that are highlighted in red missed target goal for FY-10. NOAA's NWS National Performance Measures FY 2010 – FY 2016 NOAA's NWS National Performance Measures FY 2010 – FY 2016 **U.S. Seasonal Temperature will be an OAR GPRA performance measure only, starting in FY-12.

3 Tornado Warnings Tornado Warnings * 1996 - 2007 Tornado Warnings used County-Based Methodology. ** 2008 - Present Tornado Warnings use new Storm-Based Methodology. “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life”

4 Flash Flood Warnings Flash Flood Warnings “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life” * 1996 - 2009 Flash Flood Warnings used County-Based Methodology. ** 2010 - Present Flash Flood Warnings use new Storm-Based Methodology.

5 Hurricane Track Forecasts (48Hrs Forecast Error, RMS) “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life”

6 Hurricane Intensity Error (Knots) “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life”

7 Precipitation Forecast (Day-1 Threat Score) Precipitation Forecast (Day-1 Threat Score) “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life”

8 Winter Storm Warnings “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life”

9 U.S. Seasonal Temperature - Skill “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life” **U.S. Seasonal Temperature will be an OAR GPRA Performance Measure only, starting in FY-12.

10 Aviation Forecasts (Ceiling/Visibility Forecast) Aviation Forecasts (Ceiling/Visibility Forecast) * Modified performance measures to be more meaningful and relevant to the aviation community and the forecaster. “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life”

11 Marine Wind Speed Forecasts * New performance measures to best represent forecast accuracy. “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life”

12 Marine Wave Height Forecasts * New performance measures to best represent forecast accuracy. “America’s Weather Enterprise: Protecting Lives, Livelihoods, and Your Way of Life”


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