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Climate Change Advisory Committee June 29, 2009. Welcome & Introductions.

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Presentation on theme: "Climate Change Advisory Committee June 29, 2009. Welcome & Introductions."— Presentation transcript:

1 Climate Change Advisory Committee June 29, 2009

2 Welcome & Introductions

3 Agenda Action Items: – Approval of Minutes May 26 – Approval of Minutes June 15 – Approval of Meeting Dates: September 16 and December 4 Status and Release of Impacts Assessment Report Summary of Microeconomic Analysis by CCS Scoring Results for Work Plans and Recommendations Lunch Discussion of Voting Procedures for July 17 Meeting Public Comment

4 Action Item – Approval of Minutes May 26 th Meeting – Questions or comments prior to action? – Motion to approve; second; vote June 15 th Conference Call – Questions or comments prior to action? – Motion to approve; second; vote

5 Approval of Meeting Dates 2009 September 16 December 4 – Questions or comments prior to action? – Motion to approve; second; vote

6 Timeline – Review of Key Dates 6/29Final impacts assessment report delivered to General Assembly, Governors Office and public 6/29Subcommittee makes recommendations to full CCAC 7/17CCAC makes recommendations for Draft Action Plan 9/16CCAC provides comments on macroeconomic analysis 10/9Draft Action Plan delivered to General Assembly, Governors Office and public 10/10 – 11/930 day Public Comment period 11/16 – 12/415 day CCAC review of Public Comments 12/4CCAC provides comments for Final Action Plan 12/18Final Action Plan delivered to General Assembly, Governors Office and public

7 Status and Release of Impacts Assessment Report Final Report is available today for committee members Delivered to General Assembly and Governors Office Posted to CCAC Web site Comment and Response Documents are included in Appendix

8 Microeconomic Analysis Randy Strait, Center for Climate Strategies – Graphs of GHG emissions – Overlaps – Consumption and Production data – Cumulative reductions and cost savings by sector – Future emissions

9 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us9

10 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us10

11 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us11

12 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us12

13 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us13 Consumption Basis - Gross Emissions 199020002005201020152020 Projected GHG Emissions (BAU) 279.4282.1276.4273.9275.9278.0 Reductions from Recent Actions 3.5 Projected GHG Emissions After Recent Actions 272.4274.5 Total GHG Reductions from PA Work Plans 94.9 Percent Below 2000 Levels 34% Projected Emissions After Quantified PA Work Plan Reductions and Recent Actions 179.5 Production Basis - Gross Emissions 199020002005201020152020 Projected GHG Emissions (BAU) 308.7314.7310.5306.8311.2315.6 Reductions from Recent Actions 3.5 Projected GHG Emissions After Recent Actions 307.7312.1 Total GHG Reductions from PA Work Plans 94.9 Percent Below 2000 Levels 30% Projected Emissions After Quantified PA Work Plan Reductions and Recent Actions 217.2

14 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us14 Consumption Basis - Net Emissions199020002005201020152020 Projected GHG Emissions (BAU) 249.5260.9255.5253.5255.9258.4 Reductions from Recent Actions 3.5 Projected GHG Emissions After Recent Actions 252.4254.9 Total GHG Reductions from PA Work Plans 94.9 Percent Below 2000 Levels 36% Projected Emissions After Quantified PA Work Plan Reductions and Recent Actions 160.0 Production Basis - Net Emissions199020002005201020152020 Projected GHG Emissions (BAU) 278.8293.4289.6286.4291.2296.0 Reductions from Recent Actions 3.5 Projected GHG Emissions After Recent Actions 287.7292.5 Total GHG Reductions from PA Work Plans 94.9 Percent Below 2000 Levels 32% Projected Emissions After Quantified PA Work Plan Reductions and Recent Actions 197.6

15 Overlaps Between Work Plans June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us15 Policy Option Overlap Adjustment To:Notes Ag-2 Leading a Transition to Next Generation Biofuels Residential-11 Conservation and Fuel switching for Heating Oil Ag-2All GHG savings accounted for in R11 Ag-2 Leading a Transition to Next Generation Biofuels Transportation-2 Biofuel Development and In-State Production Incentive Act Ag-2All GHG savings accounted for in T2 Ag-2 Leading a Transition to Next Generation Biofuels Forestry-8 Wood to Cellulosic Ethanol and Electricity Ag-2All costs quantified in Ag-2 and all GHG savings accounted for in T2 and R11 Ag-5 Manure Digester Implementation Support Waste-5 Waste-to-Energy DigestersWaste-5There is sufficient manure feedstock for both workplans so no overlap was calculated Waste-2 Statewide Recycling Initiative Waste-1 Landfill Methane Displacement of Fossil Fuels Waste-1Integrated analysis performed to account for overlaps in Waste-1, Waste-2, and Waste-6. Result is 0.01 MMtCO2e less GHG savings in sector. Overlap subtracted from sector total. Waste-1 Landfill Methane Displacement of Fossil Fuels Waste-6 Waste-to-Energy MSWWaste-1See above. Waste-3 Reduced Transportation of Waste - Solid Waste Management Initiative Waste-5 Waste-to-Energy Digesters and Waste-6 Waste-to-Energy MSW Waste-5 and Waste- 6 GHG savings for reduced transportation of waste were not specifically calculated so there is no overlap Forestry-9 Biomass Thermal Energy Initiatives Electricity-9 Combined Heat and PowerNoneThe CHP units deployed under Electricity 9 are assumed to operate on natural gas and thus there is no overlap with biomass as a fuel for Forestry-9 CHP

16 Overlaps Between Work Plans June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us16 Policy Option Overlap Adjustment To:Notes Electricity -3 Stabilized Load Growth Electricity -2 Reduced Load growth.Electricity -2,Reductions from Electricity 2 are eliminated Electricity -3 Stabilized Load Growth Industry-2 Industrial Gas and Electricity Electricity -32020 reductions of electric industrial energy efficiency are reduced by 350 GWh (10% of industrial electric efficiency reductions, 3% of total reductions under Electricity 3). Electricity-8 RGGIElectricity 3, Electricity-9 CHP, Electricity-6 Nuclear, Industry 2- Industrial gas and Electricity Electricity-8 RGGI Only "new" reductions from elements of the supply curve that are not part of an existing workplan will be included in this workplan. Electricity -3 Stabilized Load Growth RC-12 Utility Incentives for Electricity Demand-Side Management NoneNone required Electricity -3 Stabilized Load Growth RC-3, RC-4: High Performance Commercial and High Performance Homes (Residential) (private) Buildings Electricity-4100% of residential and commercial reductions from Electricity 3 are eliminated due to overlaps Electricity -3 Stabilized Load Growth RC-12 Commissioning and Retrocommissioning Electricity-3All residential and commercial reductions in Electricity 3 were eliminated due to overlaps from RC-3 and RC-4. Commissioning reductions kept in RC-12. Industry-2 Industrial Gas and Electricity RC-10 Gas DSMNoneNone required Industry-2 Industrial Gas and Electricity RC-10 Gas DSMNoneNone required

17 Overlaps Between Work Plans June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us17 Policy Option Overlap Adjustment To:Notes Electricity -3 Stabilized Load Growth RC-1, RC-2: High Performance State and Local Government Buildings, Schools NoneNone required Electricity -3 Stabilized Load Growth RC-6 LightingElectricity-3All residential and commercial reductions in Electricity 3 were eliminated due to overlaps from RC-3 and RC-4. Lighting reductions kept in RC-6. Electricity -3 Stabilized Load Growth RC-7 Cool RoofsElectricity-3All residential and commercial reductions in Electricity 3 were eliminated due to overlaps from RC-3 and RC-4. Cool roof reductions kept in RC-7. RC-8 Appliance StandardsElectricity-3 Stabilized Load GrowthElectricity-3All residential and commercial reductions in Electricity 3 were eliminated due to overlaps from RC-3 and RC-4. Appliance reductions kept in RC-8. RC-13 DSM waterWaste-4 and RC-13RC-13Account for less water requiring treatment; account for less energy required to treat a unit of water. Waste-4 focuses on improving efficiency - so quantification remains the same. RC-1 to 4RC-5 to 13 Report reductions from RC-5 to 13 as zero

18 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us18 Annual Results (2020)Cumulative Results (2009-2020) Sector GHG Reductions (MMtCO2e) Costs (Million $) Cost- Effective ness ($/tCO2e) GHG Reductions (MMtCO2e) Costs (NPV, Million $) Cost- Effective ness ($/tCO2e) Res / Comm32-$511-$16207-$2,664-$13 Electricity GT&D 32$1,080$33131$1,862$14 Industry5.8-$365-$6233-$1,072-$33 Waste5.9-$83-$1437-$504-$14 Land Use & Transportation 10-$603-$5976$2,425$32 Agriculture1.4-$62-$4410-$380-$37 Forestry7.4-$1,418-$19261-$10,746-$175 Total95-$1,962-$355554-$11,078-$20

19 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us19

20 PA CCAC Work Plans – Draft Results June 29, 2009www.climatestrategies.us20

21 Scoring Results for Work Plans and Recommendations by Subcommittees Chairs discuss scoring results and recommendations Electricity Generation, Transmission & Distribution Industry & Waste Lunch Residential & Commercial Agriculture & Forestry Transportation & Land Use

22 Lunch Lunch is provided for CCAC members only. Thank you.

23 Voting Procedures Committee votes to recommend work plans at next meeting on July 17. Suggest meeting time 10:00 AM to 4:00 PM.

24 Public Comment

25 ADJOURN

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