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GROWTH WITH EQUITY: RESPONSIVENESS OF POVERTY REDUCTION TO ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA.

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Presentation on theme: "GROWTH WITH EQUITY: RESPONSIVENESS OF POVERTY REDUCTION TO ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA."— Presentation transcript:

1 GROWTH WITH EQUITY: RESPONSIVENESS OF POVERTY REDUCTION TO ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

2 KEY QUESTIONS: IS GROWTH SUFFICIENT FOR POVERTY REDUCTION IS GROWTH NECESSARY FOR POVERTY REDUCTION WHAT KINDS OF POLICIES YIELD GROWTH WHICH INCREASES POVERTY WHAT KINDS OF POLICIES YIELD GROWTH WHICH DECREASES POVERTY (PRO-POOR GROWTH)

3 IS GROWTH NECESSARY FOR POVERTY REDUCTION? IN GENERAL YES: POVERTY REDUCTION REQUIRES RESOURCES OCCASIONALLY RESOURCES CAN BE REDEPLOYED SO POOR GET LARGER SHARE OF SMALLER PIE AND THERE IS POVERTY REDUCTION

4 IS GROWTH NECESSARY FOR POVERTY REDUCTION? BUT TYPICALLY PIE IS SO SMALL THAT ONLY BY GROWING PIE CAN THERE BE POVERTY REDUCTION

5 IS GROWTH SUFFICIENT FOR POVERTY REDUCTION? STANDARD VIEW: TRICKLE DOWN ECONOMICS RISING TIDE LIFTS ALL BOATS ALL BENEFIT FROM GROWTH

6 DO ALL GAIN FROM GROWTH? NOT NECESSARILY U.S. EXPERIENCE WESTERN EUROPEAN EXPERIENCE LATIN AMERICAN EXPERIENCE BUT IN EAST ASIA, ALL (OR AT LEAST MOST) DID BENEFIT

7 KEY ISSUE IS NOT GROWTH, BUT SPECIFIC POLICIES KEY QUESTION: WHY IS GROWTH SOMETIMES GOOD FOR POVERTY REDUCTION, SOMETIMES NOT?

8 CONTRASTING EXPERIENCES IN LATIN AMERICA, GROWTH WAS BASED ON FALSE PREMISES, SHORT TERM CAPITAL FLOWS WAS NOT SUSTAINED INSTABILITY HURTS POOR UNEMPLOYMENT INCREASED, EVEN WITH INCREASED LABOR MARKET FLEXIBILITY JOB PROTECTIONS WEAKENED

9 CONTRASTING EXPERIENCES IN ASIA, EMPHASIS HAS BEEN ON “PEOPLE” JOBS HEALTH EDUCATION SECURITY

10 GENERAL LESSONS NEED TO RETURN TO BROADER DEFINITION OF POVERTY (INCLUDING SECURITY, EMPOWERMENT) POLICIES WHICH ENHANCE STABILITY ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE POVERTY, EVEN IF THEY INCREASE GROWTH

11 GENERAL LESSONS POLICIES WHICH PROMOTE EMPLOYMENT AND IMPROVE EDUCATION AND HEALTH AND ACCESS OF RESOURCES BY THE POOR ARE LIKELY TO IMPROVE GROWTH AND REDUCE POVERTY –Win-win policies

12 PROBLEM IN AFRICA: HOW DO YOU GET GROWTH, IN ANY FORM? WASHINGTON CONSENSUS POLICIES NOT PANACEA AND IN SOME CASES MAY EVEN BE BAD FOR GROWTH MACRO STABILITY, PRIVATIZATION, AND LIBERALIZATION, EVEN PROVIDING INFRASTUCTURE DO NOT NECESSARILY LEAD TO PRIVATE INVESTMENT

13 LESSONS FROM OTHER COUNTRIES MUST LEARN TO LIVE WITHIN RESOURCES DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN FUNDS LEAVES ON AT MERCY OF VAGARIES OF INTERNATIONAL MARKET, CHANGING SENTIMENTS SUCCESSFUL COUNTRIES SAVED, EVEN WHEN INCOMES WERE LOW

14 LESSONS FROM OTHER COUNTRIES GOVERNMENT NEEDS TO TAKE A LEADING ROLE BE WARY OF MISTAKES OF THE PAST – CORRUPTION – BIG PROJECTS WHICH DO NOT CREATE JOBS PARTERNERSHIPS WITH PRIVATE SECTOR –NEPAD IS POTENTIALLY MAJOR POSITIVE STEP FORWARD –BUT BE AWARE OF DIFFERING INCENTIVES OF PRIVATE SECTOR

15 LESSONS FROM OTHER COUNTRIES RURAL DEVELOPMENT STATEGIES NEED TO BE PART OF THE PROGRAM – ENORMOUS POTENTIAL TO INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY – BASIS FOR SUCCESS IN MANY COUNTRIES

16 CONCLUDING REMARKS GROWTH WITH EQUITY IS POSSIBLE BUT IT WILL NOT BE EASY ONE WILL HAVE TO GO WELL BEYOND WASHINGTON CONSENSUS POLICIES


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