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Enhanced Diversification to Help Improve Your Portfolio
Strategic Risk Allocation Fund July 2015 FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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A Multi-Asset, Diversified Risk Factor Strategy
BlackRock Strategic Risk Allocation Fund: Seeks consistent long-term returns with protection during market downturns and reduced correlation to traditional investments 1) Growth Seeks consistent returns throughout a market cycle 2) Lower Volatility Seeks less volatility than global equities and protection during drawdowns 3) Portfolio Diversification Seeks lower correlation to equities (0.57) than a traditional 60/40 portfolio (0.99)* *Source: Morningstar as of 12/31/14. Past correlations are no guarantee of future correlations. Stocks represented by the S&P 500 Index and bonds are represented by the Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index. Based on daily returns from fund inception (12/28/12) to latest quarter end. Example for illustrative purposes only. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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Problem #1: Diversification Across Asset Classes Has Limited Benefit
A traditional 60/40 “balanced” portfolio has exhibited limited diversification benefit due to high correlations Without adequate risk diversification, portfolios aren’t prepared to provide consistency and weather down markets The Diversification Reality of a Traditional Balanced Portfolio Asset Allocation Risk Allocation Correlation Bond Volatility 10% +0.93 Correlation of 60/40 portfolio to S&P 500 Index Asset Allocation Drives Risk Allocation Risk Drives Correlations Stock Volatility 90% Source: BlackRock. As of 12/31/14. Example for illustrative purposes only. Past correlations are no guarantee of future correlations. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public. 3
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Market Capitalization Geography
Problem #2: Diversification Within Asset Classes Delivers Even Less Benefit Correlations have continued to rise over the past decade Diversification benefits are further reduced during periods of market stress, when investors need it the most Equity Correlations Tend to Spike During Difficult Markets Market Capitalization Geography Correlation with S&P 500 Last 5 Years Credit Crisis US Large-Cap 1.00 MSCI EAFE 0.88 0.93 US Mid-Cap 0.97 MSCI EM 0.80 0.87 US Small-Cap 0.94 0.96 When we think about diversification, we need to look at correlations among different asset classes Traditionally, we would diversify not just between equity and fixed income, but also across capitalizations and geographies But correlations have been increasing over time, which creates a challenge to improving diversification under Modern Portfolio Theory principles Correlations have increased measurably over the previous two decades as compared the two decades of the 1980’s and 1990’s In times market stress, when you need diversification the most, correlations among traditional asset classes have shown to increase even more Source: Morningstar, as of 12/31/14, based on monthly returns. Past correlations are no guarantee of future correlations. US Small Cap represented by the Morningstar US Small Cap Blend category average. International represented by the Morningstar Foreign Large Blend Category Average. Emerging Market Equity represented by the Morningstar Diversified Emerging Markets category average. Credit Crisis defined as FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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… Because Asset Classes Are In Reality, A Composite of Risk Factors
Fundamental risk factors drive asset class returns A risk factor approach provides a different understanding of asset class returns Risk Factor Decomposition of Selected Asset Classes Higher Expected Return Inflation-protected bonds Nominal bonds Corporate bonds Emerging Bonds Equities Interest Rate Premium Inflation Premium Risk Free Rate Cash Equity Credit Premium Credit Emerging Premium Economic Growth Lower Expected Return For illustrative purposes only FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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Risk Factor Investing Offers Enhanced Diversification
Correlations between asset classes are typically high and increase during periods of volatility Conversely, risk factors exhibit lower correlations, making them potentially more effective in enhancing diversification Lower Correlation for Enhanced Diversification Correlations among risk factors Economic Credit Real Rates Inflation Emerging Markets Liquidity 1 0.62 0.14 -0.09 -0.41 -0.35 -0.16 0.59 0.57 0.11 -0.32 0.50 0.44 -0.33 Source: BlackRock. Correlations measured over the period 8/88 to 12/14. Past correlations are no guarantee of future correlations. Factor returns are annualized returns to investable portfolios (in excess of one-month T-Bills) that mimic the fundamental risk factors, adjusted to ex-ante annualized risk level of 10%. Diversification does not ensure profit or protect against a loss. Correlation is A statistical measure of how two securities move in relation to each other. A perfect correlation of +1 implies movement in lockstep, -1 implies movement in the opposite direction, while a correlation of 0 implies completely random movement. Correlations near zero (from +0.6 to -0.6) enhance diversification. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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BlackRock Strategic Risk Allocation Fund – Performance Attribution
Strategic Risk Allocation Fund 2014 – Q Monthly Performance Table comes from “Attribution” tab – column BV, row 4 Factor Economic Credit Emerging Markets Liquidity Real Rates Inflation Factor Portfolio Developed equities, commodities, and property Corporate bonds versus government bonds Emerging markets versus developed markets Small cap equity versus large cap equity Globally diversified inflation-linked government bond portfolio Nominal bonds versus inflation-linked bonds Source: BlackRock. Institutional shares performance as of 6/30/15 Data represents past performance and is no guarantee of future results. Investment returns and principal values may fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. All returns assume reinvestment of dividends and capital gains. Current performance may be lower or higher than that shown. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public. 7
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Economic Risk Dominates An Institutional Portfolio
A traditionally-balanced, institutional portfolio is heavily dependent on economic risk Investing across a more diverse & balanced set of risk factors may help lower volatility through diverse markets Most Diversified Portfolios Aren’t Diversified From a Risk Allocation Standpoint Typical Investor 60/40 Portfolio = VS. Economic Credit Real Rates Inflation Emerging Markets Liquidity Source: BlackRock. As of 6/30/15. Typical Investor Portfolio consists of 46% S&P 500, 8% MSCI World ex. US, 4% Russell 2000, 2% MSCI EM, 13% Barclays Intermediate Government Bond, 9% Barclays US Aggregate Bond, 9% Barclays MBS, 2% Barclays High Yield Bond, 2% Citigroup WGBI Index and 5% cash. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public. 8
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BlackRock Strategic Risk Allocation Fund – Portfolio Breakdown
Risk Factor Exposure Capital Allocation Real Assets 26% Sovereign Nominal Debt 37% Equities 12% Credit 26% Instrument Capital allocation Risk contribution Developed Sovereign Debt Futures 31.37% 13.07% Emerging Sovereign Debt Total return swaps / CDS 5.23% 8.10% Investment Grade Credit Credit default swaps 20.09% 4.81% High Yield Credit 5.57% 6.03% Developed Equity 3.24% 7.56% Developed Small Cap Equity Total return swaps 4.18% 12.65% Emerging Equity Total return swaps / Futures 3.64% 14.28% Volatility 0.46% 8.63% Inflation Linked Debt Bonds 19.34% 9.75% Property 2.24% 7.51% Commodities Ex Energy 3.10% 4.63% Energy 1.55% 2.98% Total 100% 100.00% Leverage (for the 10% volatility strategy) 2.45x n/a As of 6/30/ Allocation to asset classes is subject to changes through time and is left at BlackRock’s discretion. Asset classes may be added or removed over time. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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Tactical Lever #1 – Tilts Across Factor Exposures
When factors are extremely over- or under-valued: Increase or decrease an individual factor exposure Macro-economic & risk factor valuation data help identify bubbles or buying opportunities Risk Factor Valuations Number of standard deviations away from the long-term average risk factor as of 6/30/15 Lever #1: Factor-Level Tilts Example: Real Rates Currently underweight Real Rates exposure vs. our long-term strategic allocation Real Rates Red = factor is expensive Blue = factor is fairly valued Green = factor is cheap Source: BlackRock as of 6/30/2015 FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public. 10
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Tactical Lever #3 - Reduce Overall Volatility
When diversification fails: Reduce risk pro-rata across the whole portfolio to limit drawdown A proprietary risk tolerance indicator help guide risk exposures Reduce Overall Volatility In The Portfolio CASH Lever #3: Reduce Overall Volatility Example: De-Risk Non-market / cash exposure For illustrative purposes only FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public. 11
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So What Do I Do With My Money?®
Blending a Risk Factor Strategy into a Traditional Portfolio Increased Risk-Adjusted Returns Investors are using this strategy for: Equity Substitute Seek to reduce risk without sacrificing long-term returns Add diversification to an existing portfolio Designed to lessen the blow from extreme drawdowns Liquid Alternative Differentiated source & pattern of risk-adjusted returns Returns driven by beta, not alpha Return & risk 12/31/89 – 12/31/14 Traditional 60/40 Portfolio Return = 8.52% Volatility = 8.82% Multi Asset Income can be a solution for investors who are starved for yield, who may have too high an allocation to cash or lower yielding fixed income asset classes. The fund is a one-stop income solution, providing exposure to a wide range of asset classes around the globe to generate attractive risk-adjusted income and returns. As an example, you can see on this slide Multi-Asset Income Fund was 50% of a portfolio, over the course of a year, return would have been substantially improved and risk would have also been reduced. Replacing 20% of Equities with Hypothetical Risk Factor Strategy Hypothetical Risk Parity Portfolio 50% Return = 8.84% Volatility = 7.64% Tickers A: BSTAX C: BSTCX I: BSTIX Source: BlackRock as of 12/31/14. The hypotheticals are provided for illustrative purposes only as the results are not based on a single actual investment. Performance data quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. US Federal Reserve, Ibbotson, Datastream, Bloomberg, Standard & Poor’s, Goldman Sachs, National Bureau of Economic Research. The hypothetical strategy is a 22%/62%/16% allocation of the S&P 500, Ibbotson Intermediate-Term Treasury Index and the GSCI Commodity Index with notional exposure of 1.8x capital invested. The strategy targets a risk level of 10% and equal risk allocation among all three components, assuming zero correlations at volatilities of 15%/5%/20%. Thirty percent of capital is invested in T-bills to meet margin calls. Notional exposure is greater than capital invested. We assume a 50-bps spread over T-bills for derivatives financing. Index performance is for illustrative purposes only. You cannot invest directly in an index. Performance returns for strategies do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or non-financial expenses. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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Large Institutions Outsource This To Firms Like BlackRock
Risk factor strategies are increasingly gaining the attention and assets of institutional investors BLK’s Market Advantage Team has run risk-factor strategies for over 5-years with over $9B in AUM. See prospectus Firms Offering Risk Factor Approach Client Types / Examples Texas Teachers Retirement System Adopted a new 5% strategic allocation of their $130B portfolio to risk-parity strategies Pensions & Investments 9/14 Bridgewater - $81B AQR - $31B Invesco - $10B BlackRock - $9B It takes advanced research, technology, infrastructure & expertise to identify & access discrete risk factor exposures & blend them in an optimal portfolio Source: Envestnet, as of 9/30/14 FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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BlackRock Strategic Risk Allocation Fund - Performance
Average annual total returns (%) (as of 6/30/15) 2Q151 YTD 1-year Since inception (12/27/12) BLK Strategic Risk Allocation Fund (Institutional) -3.60% 0.51% 1.13% 2.88% Morningstar World Allocation Category Average -0.68 1.21 -2.34 - Blended Benchmark2 -1.10 2.44 5.72 Here you can see the Fund’s history of performance. Performance data quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Refer to website at to obtain performance data current to the most recent month-end. Returns include reinvestment of dividends and capital gains. Morningstar category returns are based on total return and do not reflect sales charges. Total/net expenses including investment related/net excluding investment related expenses as stated in this fund’s most recent prospectus are 1.66%/1.10%/1.00% for Institutional shares as of the fund's most recent prospectus. Investment dividend expense, interest expense, acquired fund fees and expenses and certain other fund expenses are included in the Net, Including Investment Related Expenses and excluded from the Net, Excluding Investment Related Expenses. Institutional share class has a contractual waiver with an end date of 12/1/15 terminable upon 90 days’ notice. 1 Performance is cumulative, not annualized. 2. The Blended Benchmark represents 60% MSCI World Index/40% Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index.
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Important Notes Please ask your clients to consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the fund carefully before investing. The prospectus and, if available, the summary prospectus contain this and other information about the fund and are available, along with information on other BlackRock funds, by calling or at The prospectus and, if available, the summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. Important Risks: The fund is actively managed and its characteristics will vary. Holdings shown should not be deemed as a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Stock and bond values fluctuate in price so the value of your investment can go down depending on market conditions. International investing involves special risks including, but not limited to currency fluctuations, illiquidity and volatility. These risks may be heightened for investments in emerging markets. Fixed income risks include interest-rate and credit risk. Typically, when interest rates rise, there is a corresponding decline in bond values. Credit risk refers to the possibility that the bond issuer will not be able to make principal and interest payments. Non-investment-grade debt securities (high-yield/junk bonds)may be subject to greater market fluctuations, risk of default or loss of income and principal than higher-rated securities. Asset allocation strategies do not assure profit and do not protect against loss. Short-selling entails special risks. If the fund makes short sales in securities that increase in value, the fund will lose value. Any loss on short positions may or may not be offset by investing short-sale proceeds in other investments. Investing in commodity-linked derivatives and commodity-related companies may increase volatility. Non-diversification of investments means that more assets are potentially invested in fewer securities than if investments were diversified, so risk is increased because each investment has a greater effect on performance. The fund may use derivatives to hedge its investments or to seek to enhance returns. Derivatives entail risks relating to liquidity, leverage and credit that may reduce returns and increase volatility. 1 Institutional shares are sold to a limited group of investors, including certain retirement plans. Institutional shares also are sold to certain investment programs. See prospectus for details. Since inception performance less than one year not annualized. 2 The Blended Benchmark is 60% MSCI World Index and 40% Barclays US Aggregate Bond. The unmanaged, market- capitalization weighted Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World Index consists of a representative sampling of stocks of large-, medium- and small-capitalization companies in 23 countries, including the United States. The unmanaged, market-weighted Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index comprises investment-grade corporate bonds (rated BBB or better), Mortgages and US Treasury and government agency issues with at least 1 year to maturity. Prepared by BlackRock Investments, LLC, member FINRA. FOR MORE INFORMATION: ©2015 So What Do I Do With My Money?® BlackRock, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BLACKROCK is a registered trademark of BlackRock, Inc. or its subsidiaries in the United States and elsewhere. All other trademarks are those of their respective owners. USR-6921 You should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the fund carefully before investing. The prospectus and, if available, the summary prospectus contain this and other information about the fund and are available, along with information on other BlackRock funds, by calling or at The prospectus and, if available, the summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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Drawing From Specialized Knowledge & Market Insights Across BLK
Multi-Asset Strategies Chief Risk Officer Ked Hogan, PhD Managing Director (30) Team Head Philip Hodges, PhD Managing Director (8) Head of Research Vincent de Martel, CFA Managing Director (16) Head of Investment Strategy Ben Golub, PhD BlackRock Chief Risk Officer (30) Investment Strategy Portfolio Management Research RQA — Risk and Quantitative Analysis Kristin Fergis Associate (3) Shinda Bickham Director (15) Garth Flannery Director (16) Ron Ratcliffe, PhD Director (25) Robert Holmes, CQF Vice President (6) Stefan Sluke Vice President (5) Nicky Lai Associate (5) + 2 TBAs Kris Keltner Associate (7) Ted Daverman Vice President (8) Paolo Miranda Associate (3) Jack Davies Associate (4) Justin Peterson Associate (4) BlackRock Global Investment Platform Multi-asset Research Global Investment Teams Risk & Quantitative Analysis BlackRock Solutions BlackRock Investment Institute +150 investors dedicated to multi-asset investing +1,600 investment professionals with specialties across all asset classes +500 professionals partner with investment teams to monitor and analyze risk Proprietary Aladdin® platform integrates portfolio management, risk analytics, trading and operations Internal forum facilitates idea sharing and debates insights () reflects years investment experience. Team is based in San Francisco and London FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public. 16
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Traditional Portfolios Appear Diversified
Diversification seeks to provide consistency through diverse markets A traditionally 60/40 institutional portfolio appears diversified from a capital allocation standpoint Capital Allocation of a Traditional 60/40 Institutional Portfolio 5% Cash 35% Bonds 60% Stocks Source: BlackRock. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public. 17
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Research-Driven Investment Process
Strategic Allocation Tactical Overlay Risk factor tilts (under / over weights) Optimal combination of fundamental risk factors Identify fundamental risk factors Implementation of risk factors Extreme risk Management to lower overall volatility There are many asset classes that are exposed to the economic cycle, not just equities: commodities, property, etc. In order to balance truly the investment portfolio, the investment process needs to go deeper than the asset class level, all the way down to fundamental risk factors. We make hypotheses and test them using past data and economics (scientific) We create a repeatable process (team-based) We rebalance monthly (discipline) 14 different asset classes 24 DMs & 21 EMs Economic Credit Emerging Markets Liquidity Real Rates Inflation Inflation Linked Debt Developed Equity Infrastructure Developed Sovereign Debt Developed Small-Cap Equity Property Investment Grade Debt Emerging Equity Commodities Ex-Energy Emerging Sovereign Debt Volatility Strategies Energy High Yield Credit Private Equity Cash FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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Risk Factors Drive Investment Returns…
The returns of every asset class are driven by a combination of multiple sources of risk Diversifying the sources of risk is key to more effective portfolio construction Risk Exposures What Drives Risk Economic Economic growth Example: US GDP unexpectedly rises Credit Lending money to corporations Example: High yield default rates remain low Real Rates Lending money for a period of time Example: Fed lowers interest rates Inflation Bearing inflation exposure Example: Supply shock causes expected inflation to rise Emerging Markets Investing in EM equities, bonds & currencies Example: Modi implements reforms in India Liquidity Financial market & asset class liquidity Example: Small-caps trade at a premium to large-caps FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public. 19
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Solution: Diversify Risk Factors for Better Risk-Adjusted Returns
GA_2 Solution: Diversify Risk Factors for Better Risk-Adjusted Returns Add a different approach to asset allocation that breaks down investments by their sources of return This approach can complement a traditional portfolio to enhance overall diversification Hypothetical Risk Factor Strategy Combined With a Traditional 60/40 Portfolio Risk and Returns over 25 years (12/31/89 to 12/31/14) Sourcing 20% from stocks Hypothetical Diversified Risk Factor Strategy Performance data quoted represents past performance and does not guarantee future results. As of December 31, Sources: BlackRock, US Federal Reserve, Ibbotson, Datastream, Bloomberg, Standard & Poor’s, Goldman Sachs, National Bureau of Economic Research. The hypothetical strategy is a 22%/62%/16% allocation of the S&P 500, Ibbotson Intermediate-Term Treasury Index and the GSCI Commodity Index with notional exposure of 1.8x capital invested, respectively. The strategy targets a risk level of 10% and equal risk allocation among all three components, assuming zero correlations at volatilities of 15%/5%/20%. Thirty percent of capital is invested in T-bills to meet margin calls. Notional exposure is greater than capital invested. We assume a 50-bps spread over T-bills for derivatives financing. Index performance is for illustrative purposes only. You cannot invest directly in an index. Performance returns for strategies do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or non- financial expenses. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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Diversifying Risk Factors To Enhance Performance
We define an optimal portfolio as the one with the highest expected Sharpe Ratio A truly diversified portfolio with modest leverage is more efficient Concentration Risk vs. Leverage Risk Diversified Beta Frontier Risk Free Cash Expected Return Risk (standard deviation) Some Leverage Better risk/return trade-off targeted for equity return No Leverage Best risk/return trade-off portfolio Capital Market Line Equity portfolio Unnecessary risk Source Blackrock. Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Pie charts indicate portfolio risk exposures and are for illustrative purposed only. FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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Tactical Lever #2 – Tilts Within Factor Exposures
When implementation methods are over/under priced: Tilt factor exposures to assets, geographies & vehicles that offer better valuations Risk factor exposures utilize 14 different asset classes in 24 DMs & 21 EMs Real Rates Tactical Allocation Change by Geography Underweight Japanese Government Bonds Low yields; with a curve that is not any more attractive than other major markets Large tail risk; skewed return distributions issued by a country that is committed to raising the inflation rate Return exposure; when the yield offered is more in-line with the associated risks Lever #2: Tilts Within Each Factor Example: Real Rates We are currently underweight JGBs versus our long-term strategic allocations Source: BlackRock as of 9/30/14 FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY. Not to be shown or distributed to the general public.
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