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The Nation’s Hurricane Program: An Interagency Success Story March 5 - 9, 2007 61 st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference.

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Presentation on theme: "The Nation’s Hurricane Program: An Interagency Success Story March 5 - 9, 2007 61 st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Nation’s Hurricane Program: An Interagency Success Story March 5 - 9, 2007 61 st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference

2 Mr. Samuel P. Williamson Federal Coordinator for Meteorology Sponsored and hosted by: The Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research 61 st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference The Nation’s Hurricane Program: An Interagency Success Story Welcoming Remarks

3 61st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference Representing The Honorable C. Ray Nagin Mayor of New Orleans Colonel Terry J. Ebbert, USMC (Retired) Special Welcome

4 Why Are We Here Successes and Challenges Conference Objectives Conference Agenda Conference Logistics Keynote Speaker Special Remarks Overview

5 1 Great Miami19264 139.5 2 Galveston19004 91.6 3 Katrina20053 81.0 4 Galveston19154 63.0 5 Andrew19925 52.3 6 New England19383 37.3 7 FL-SW19443 35.6 8 Lake Okeechobee19284 31.8 9 Donna19604 28.9 10 Camille19695 24.0 Rank Hurricane Year CATNormalized Damage* * Methodology used by Collins and Lowe (2001); U.S. billions $ Reference: Pielke et al 2007 Why Are We Here

6 Successes –Advances in modeling / data assimilation Improvements in track & intensity model guidance –Joint Hurricane Test bed (JHT) –Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA) –Joint hurricane field programs –Improved reconnaissance & observing capabilities (e.g., Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer) Challenges –Data assimilation / modeling / computing power –Improved forecast skill for: Storm intensity / structure Storm track Sea state & storm surge Inland flooding –Observation gaps (e.g., ocean surface vector winds) –Information dissemination (technology, message) Incorporating results of social science research into operations Successes and Challenges

7 Review the Nation’s tropical cyclone forecast and warning program form end-to-end, and update the National Hurricane Operations Plan for 2007 Evaluate the 2006 Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) results and successfully transition research results into operations, as well as potential candidates for 2007 and beyond Address/build upon the actions and results from the 60 th IHC –Roll out the Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones: The Way Ahead and begin addressing the recommendations –Examine how hazard risk reduction improvements can be made through stronger partnerships and alliances Conference Objectives

8 Keynote Address1:00 – 1:20 PM VADM Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr., USN (ret.) Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere / NOAA Administrator Special Remarks on behalf of Governor Kathleen Babineaux Blanco 1:20 – 1:35 PM Major General Hunt Downer Assistant Adjutant General (Army), Joint Force Headquarters-Louisiana, Louisiana National Guard, New Orleans, Louisiana This Afternoon Conference Agenda

9 Panel Discussion: Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones – A View from the Top 1:40 – 3:30 PM Moderator: Dr. Robert Serafin, NCAR Director Emeritus Panelists: Dr. Richard Spinrad, Assistant Administrator for Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, NOAA Dr. Jack Kaye, Associate Director for Research, Earth Science Division, NASA Headquarters Dr. Stephan Nelson, Program Director, Physical and Dynamic Meteorology, NSF Mr. William Curry, Deputy Technical Director, Oceanographer of the Navy Mr. X. William (Bill) Proenza, Director, Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS This Afternoon Conference Agenda

10 Session 1:The 2006 Tropical Cyclone Season in Review4:00 – 5:45 PM Session Leaders:Dr. Edward Rappaport (TPC/NHC) and CAPT John O’Hara (NMFC/JTWC) Reception/Icebreaker: 6:30 - 8:00 PM –Atrium Foyer (2 nd Floor) Later This Afternoon and Evening Conference Agenda

11 Banquet Address: Mr. John M. Barry, Best-Selling Author, 2006 Abel Wolman Lecturer about Hurricane Katrina, and Distinguished Visiting Scholar at the Center for Bioenvironmental Research of Tulane and Xavier Universities Presentation of the Hagemeyer Award Cash Bar Open: 6:30 PM Banquet Starts: 7:00 PM Banquet Address: 7:45 PM Wednesday Evening – Conference Banquet Conference Agenda

12 Opening/Administrative Remarks8:15 AM Ms. Mary Cairns (OFCM), Session Coordinator WG/HWSOR: Action Item Review 8:20 AM Dr. Edward Rappaport (TPC/NHC) Chairperson, WG/HWSOR Workshop Wrap-ups8:45 AM Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones: The Way Ahead, Dr. Paul D. Try (OFCM/STC) Hazard Risk Reduction through Stronger Partnerships and Alliances, Dr. Betty Hearn Morrow (OFCM/STC) and Ms. Naomi Moye (OFCM/STC) Final Wrap-up 9:15 AM Mr. Samuel P. Williamson, Federal Coordinator Adjourn9:45 AM Friday Morning – Final Plenary Session Conference Agenda

13 Conference Logistics Conference Chair: Mr. Samuel P. Williamson Conference Coordinators Media Coordinators Asst. Coordinator for Conference Arrangements Audiovisual Specialists Registrars Mr Bob Dumont Mr. Mark Welshinger Mr. Kent Laborde Mr. Mark Welshinger Lt Col David Andrus Ms. Erin McNamara Ms. Christina Bork Mr. Ken Barnett Mr. Frank Estis Ms. Dawn Erlich Ms. Carmelita Riley Ms. Delores Shackelford

14 Presentation Timers Session Coordinators Poster Session Conference Logistics Mr. Tony Ramirez Mr. Mark Gunzelman Col Michael Babcock Ms. Mary Cairns Mr. Bob Dumont Mr. Frank Estis Mr. Floyd Hauth Dr. Paul Try Dr. Mark Weadon Col Michael Babcock

15 Rapporteurs Ms. Mary Cairns Mr. Mark Gunzelman Mr. Floyd Hauth Dr. Betty Hearn Morrow Ms. Naomi Moye Mr. Tony Ramirez Dr. Mark Weadon Conference Logistics

16 First Floor Second Floor Blaine Kern Ballroom River Bend Ballroom Atrium Posters Conference Icebreaker Banquet

17 Keynote Speaker Keynote Speaker: VADM Conrad C. Lautenbacher, Jr., USN ret.) Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere / NOAA Administrator The Nation’s Hurricane Program

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19 61 st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference Representing The Honorable Kathleen Babineaux Blanco Governor of Louisiana Special Remarks Major General Hunt Downer, USA

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21 Moderator: Dr. Robert Serafin, NCAR Director Emeritus Panelists: Dr. Richard Spinrad, Assistant Administrator for Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, NOAA Dr. Jack Kaye, Associate Director for Research, Earth Science Division, NASA Headquarters Dr. Stephan Nelson, Program Director, Physical and Dynamic Meteorology, NSF Mr. William Curry, Deputy Technical Director, Oceanographer of the Navy Mr. X. William (Bill) Proenza, Director, Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS Opening Session Panel Interagency Strategic Research Plan for Tropical Cyclones – A View from the Top

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23 NASA – Dr. Ramesh Kakar Program Manager NASA Headquarters NOAA - Dr. Richard Spinrad Assistant Administrator for Oceanic and Atmospheric Research NSF – Dr. Stephan Nelson Program Director, Physical and Dynamic Meteorology Army - Dr. Andrew Garcia Research Scientist, U.S. Army Engineer R&D Center Navy - CAPT David Titley Commanding Officer, Naval Oceanography Operations Command USGS – Ms. Marge Davenport Associate Regional Executive Air Force – Col Michael Babcock Assistant AF Deputy to NOAA USDA – Mr. Brad Rippey Agricultural Meteorologist Federal Agency Lead Reps FEMA – Mr. Matthew Green Hurricane Liaison Team Coordinator

24 Questions welcomed...time permitting Significant agency issues worked through lead agency reps –User community & agency reps are welcome to raise issues for discussion during Q&A periods and at Thursday workshops Significant issues reviewed daily at OFCM staff meeting –Issues that need to be reviewed by Working Group for Hurricane and Winter Storms Operations and Research Presented to the Working Group on Thursday afternoon –Results of discussions and any action items Summarized during the Final Plenary Session Ground Rules

25 Dr. Edward Rappaport, Deputy Director, TPC/NHC CAPT John O’Hara, NMFC/JTWC 61st Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference 2006 Hurricane/Typhoon Season in Review (4:00 to 5:45 PM) Session Leaders Coordinator: Mr. Robert Dumont, OFCM Session 1

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27 Reception / Icebreaker Atrium Foyer (2 nd Floor) 6:30 - 8:00 PM

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