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Part III: Tools for Risk Assessment RADIUS Tool - Simple Damage Estimation Software - Dr. Carlos Villacis.

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Presentation on theme: "Part III: Tools for Risk Assessment RADIUS Tool - Simple Damage Estimation Software - Dr. Carlos Villacis."— Presentation transcript:

1 Part III: Tools for Risk Assessment RADIUS Tool - Simple Damage Estimation Software -
Dr. Carlos Villacis

2 Software Purposes To facilitate preliminary estimation of earthquake damage in developing countries To be used by city administrators and general public, not for professional purposes To assist in decision making To raise awareness of earthquake risk

3 Software Characteristics
Goal: To make it as useful and accesible as possible Widely available platform (runs on MS-Excel) Simple, user-friendly Help Function/User Instructions are included Narrated Demonstration Video is included NOT a GIS(Geographic Information System) type of program A GIS Sample is added for comparison (GIS is a very useful risk-assessment tool)

4 Program uses commonly available city information
Input Data Program uses commonly available city information Shape of target region (entered as a grid) Population and its distribution Building Inventory and its distribution Ground Characteristics (Soil conditions) Lifelines information Choice of Scenario Earthquake and its parameters

5 Output Ground Shaking Distribution (PGA or MMI Intensity)
Building damage Lifelines damage Human Impact (number of deaths and injuries) Summary Tables and Thematic Maps showing the results

6 Example of Data Input Process
Shape of target region input as a grid Example for Kobe city

7 Example of Data Input Process
Specify the City Area using Excel Mesh Input Total Population and Building Counts

8 Example of Data Input Process
Input Area ID and Area Name

9 Example of Data Input Process
Specify the Mesh Weight (building, population distribution)

10 Example of Data Input Process
Input Mesh Weight to distribute the building and population count

11 Example of Data Input Process
Specify Ground Characteristics (Soil conditions)

12 Example of Data Input Process
Input Local Soil Characteristics

13 Example of Data Input Process
Specify Building Inventory by Area Percentage of 10 Building Classes in each Area

14 Example of Data Input Process
Input Building Inventory by Area Buildings and Population are distributed by Mesh Weight

15 Example of Data Input Process
Specify and Enter Scenario Earthquake

16 Output Examples Building Damage Distribution

17 Tool Applications Understanding of cities’ earthquake risks
Estimation of impact of past well-known earthquakes Estimation of impact of any number of possible future earthquakes Delineation of planning policies by decision makers Education and risk awareness of the public

18 Incorporating DRM in Urban Planning
Katmandú Tijuana Dehradun Antofagasta

19 Working with local organizations
Training to Kathmandu City officers Working session with Tijuana planners Public seminar in Antofagasta to discuss project findings

20 Results 2007 2003 2012 2022

21 Developing solutions…
CRÍTICO ALTA MEDIA BAJA LEVEL RISK - Antofagasta -Chile

22 Tangible Products Seismic scenarios Development plans
Local Capacity Building

23 Tangible Products Mitigation Options Cost= $ Cost= $$$ Cost= $$
Risk Reduction Potential 30% 60% 90% Cost= $ Cost= $$$ Cost= $$

24 Tangible Products Investing to reduce Tijuana’s risk
Curve e = Investing $15 Mill. in 25 years

25 END Thank you for your Attention. Thank you for your attention.


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