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Relevant Climate studies of the Ghana Meteorological Agency (GMet)

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1 Relevant Climate studies of the Ghana Meteorological Agency (GMet)
By AYILARI-NAA JUATI AND ELIKEM SETSOAFIA 19-23 November 2012 DATA RESCUE WORKSHOP Erata Hotel, Accra, Ghana

2 THE GHANA METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY
PROVIDING WEATHER AND CLIMATE INFORMATION FOR RAPID SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

3 OUTLINE Network of Meteorological stations
The Volta Basin (covering 6 W/African countries) Dams within the Volta Basin Some climate studies of GMet in the Sudan and Guinea Savannah of Ghana. Comparing results of these studies with Climate Indices for Wa in the Guinea Savannah Challenges and Recommendations

4 National Observing Network
22 Synoptic stations

5 61 Climatological stations

6 54 stations 54

7 Many stations closing down because Volunteers are not happy with
“motivation”. 156 stations countrywide out of original 600 156

8 THE VOLTA BASIN THE BASIN COVERS 6 COUNTRIES. VOLTA BASIN AUTHORITY formed to help regulate the efficient use of water resources within the basin.

9

10 Average yearly Rainfall over Northern Ghana ( 1971 to 2007)
Rainfall showing a decreasing trend over the years Rainfall variability here can be as high as 400mm between seasons

11 High Incidences of drought to the Western parts of northern Ghana
High Incidences of drought around Kete-Krachi ( ) High Incidences of drought around southern Central, Western and Volta Regions, like , Ada,Kpetoe, Tsito, Cape Coast etc High Incidences of drought around Nkwanta area.

12 Here high Incidences of drought covering most of the Western part of Ghana.
( ) Areas around Kete-Krachi, Southern Volta, Central and Western Regions as well as Eastern Coasts are much affected ( )

13 Expected changes in temperature and rainfall for the Sudan and Guinea Savannah areas of Ghana_run by GMet ( Ghana National Communication _IPCC) Baseline period is Data used ; Daily rainfall in millimetres Rainfall amount of less than 0.2 millimetres not counted as a rainfall day. Daily temperature degrees Celsius A1B Scenario (TAR and AR4) i.e: rapid econ. growth, quick spread of global technology, global pop of 9 billion in 2050 dwindling gradually thereafter, quick spread of new & efficient technology, a convergent world( income & way of life between regions)- SRES SRES= Special Report on Emission Scenarios

14 Sudan Savannah Temperature change/scenarios
Mean Temp. increase ranging from 0.5 to 5.0 from 2020 to 2080

15 Guinea Savannah Temperature change/scenarios
Temp change here between 0.6 and 4.5 from 2020 to 2080

16 Sudan Savannah Precipitation
Rainfall expected to decrease by 10 to 17% by 2080 in June to October

17 Guinea Savannah Precipitation
Rainfall to decrease even further by up to 25% from June to Sept in this Zone

18 Monthly Maximum Value of Daily Max Temp for Wa

19 Monthly Daily value of Daily Min Temp for Wa

20 Annual Count when Daily Minimum Temperature >20 degrees for Wa

21 Annual Total Precip in Wet days for Wa

22 Heavy Precipitation days (RR>20mm) for Wa

23 Challenges: database issues
Some amount of data digitized A lot more needs to be digitized Poor Meta database Incorporating data from Automatic Observations from about 18 recently( 2011) installed AWSs QC issues and missing data Incorporating data ( 18th Century) recently recovered from the UK into database

24 MORE CHALLENGES Putting data in appropriate format for R to run a difficulty Missing values >20% in each year implies no Indices? A limitation. Deciding Outliers can be a real difficulty; in the face of MCS (Mesoscale Convective Systems) in West Africa.

25 RECOMMENDATIONS URGENT NEED FOR the development of Adequate HUMAN CAPITAL IN the Field OF CLIMATE CHANGE STUDIES / RESEARCH AND CLIMATE MODELLING (DOWNSCALING ) , extreme value analysis ,in GHANA. Building credible databases including meta data. critical need for the calculation and exchange of relevant climate indices in the west african sub- region. Wmo continues to serve as the platform for the development of user-friendly software for the extraction of relevant climate indices. gender mainstreaming in climate change issues.

26 THANK YOU AYILARI-NAA JUATI E:MAIL: A.JUATI@METEO.GOV.GH
TEL: ELIKEM SETSOAFIA E:MAIL: TEL:


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