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Data Analysis and Forecasting Project – Interim Report Delivered to the DJJ January 2008 Jennifer Lewis Priestley, Ph.D. Shan Muthersbaugh, MS Candidate.

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Presentation on theme: "Data Analysis and Forecasting Project – Interim Report Delivered to the DJJ January 2008 Jennifer Lewis Priestley, Ph.D. Shan Muthersbaugh, MS Candidate."— Presentation transcript:

1 Data Analysis and Forecasting Project – Interim Report Delivered to the DJJ January 2008 Jennifer Lewis Priestley, Ph.D. Shan Muthersbaugh, MS Candidate Kennesaw State University

2 2 Overview of Analysis This interim report provides descriptive statistics on existing data from three sources: 1.The Department of Juvenile Justice 2.The Administrative Office of the Courts 3.The U.S. Census Bureau The present analysis was executed to develop a finer understanding of the trends and patterns which may affect future forecasts.

3 3 Overview of Analysis This analysis is arranged in the following order: At Risk Population Filing Population Legal Status Intakes Probation STP Commitments Placement RYDC STP RYDC At Home NSC YDC Commitment RYDC At Home NSC YDC All Legal Status and Placements were analyzed by: Region Gender Ethnicity MSO Type Placements were also analyzed by ALOS and ADP.

4 Observation : According to the US Census, Georgia Population of 10-16 Years has increased steadily since the 2000 Census. Analysis : Data Source : U.S. Census http://www.census.gov/popest/cou nties/asrh/files/CC-EST2006- alldata.txt Based on 159 Counties 4 At Risk Population – 10 to 16 Year Olds

5 5 At Risk Population (10-16) by Region Observation : Region 3 has exhibited steady growth since FY2000 – annualized average growth rate of 2.9%. Regions 1 and 2 exhibited annualized average growth rates of 1.9% and 2.2%, respectively. Regions 4 and 5 were relatively flat. Analysis : Data Source : U.S. Census www.census.gov/popest/counties/ asrh/files/CC-EST2006-alldata.txt Based on 159 Counties

6 Observation : The number of Unruly and Delinquent Filings has remained fairly consistent from CY2004 to CY2006. Analysis : Data Source : Administrative Office of the Courts. Contact – Tiffany Peete (404-656-6447) Filings include all 159 Counties. Note that for each year, missing values for a small number of counties (10> was imputed). As a result, the total figures are slightly higher than that reported by the AOC. 6 Filing Population

7 7 Filing Population by Region Observation : The number of Delinquent and Unruly Filings varies by region. Region 1 has experienced a steady increase from FY2004 to FY2006. The average annualized increase was 6.4%. The other regions were relatively stable or negative. Analysis : Data Source : Administrative Office of the Courts. Contact – Tiffany Peete (404-656-6447) Filings include all 159 Counties. Note that for each year, missing values for a small number of counties (10> was imputed). As a result, the total figures are slightly higher than that reported by the AOC.

8 8 Legal Status (Intakes) Observation : The overall number of Intakes has increased fairly steadily. The average yearly increase between FY2003 and FY2007 is about 7.3%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

9 9 Intakes as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of Intakes as a % of the At Risk Population has increased since FY2003 for all regions – but at varying rates Analysis : Data Source : Intakes come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007). At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 142 Counties

10 10 Observation : The number of Intakes as a % of the At Risk Population has increased since FY2003 for both genders. However, the rate of increase for males is higher than the rate of increase for females. Analysis : Data Source : Intakes come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007). At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 142 Counties Intakes as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender

11 11 Legal Status - Intakes: Region 1 Observation : The overall number of Intakes in Region 1 has increased steadily. The average yearly increase between FY2003 and FY2007 is about 7.2%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

12 12 Legal Status – Intakes: Region 2 Observation : The overall number of Intakes in Region 2 has been fairly steadily. The average yearly increase between FY2003 and FY2007 is about 5.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

13 13 Legal Status – Intakes: Region 3 Observation : The overall number of Intakes in Region 3 has been fairly steadily. The average yearly increase between FY2003 and FY2007 is about 9.3%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

14 14 Legal Status – Intakes: Region 4 Observation : Unlike the other regions, Region 4 does not demonstrate the same trend. The average yearly increase between FY2003 and FY2007 is about 7.8%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

15 15 Legal Status – Intakes: Region 5 Observation : Unlike the other regions, Region 5 does not demonstrate the same trend. The average yearly increase between FY2003 and FY2007 is about 7.7%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

16 16 Observation : Male intakes has grown at a faster rate than female intakes. Male growth = 7.6% versus Female growth = 6.6%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties Legal Status – Intakes: Gender

17 17 Legal Status – Intakes: Black Observation : Black intakes have grown at an average rate of 11.5% since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

18 18 Legal Status – Intakes: White Observation : White intakes have grown at an average rate of 3.4% since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

19 19 Legal Status – Intakes: Hispanic Observation : Hispanic intakes have grown at an average rate of 14.7% since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

20 20 Legal Status – Intakes: Ethnicity Observation : Of total intakes, the percentage of Black intakes is increasing, albeit at a decreasing rate. Although Hispanic intakes is growing, Hispanics are not comprising a significant increase in overall intakes, because the overall numbers are still fairly small. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties Note that “other” race was omitted due to small numbers.

21 21 Hispanic Population Trends Observation : The total Hispanic population is GA is growing at an average annual average rate of 9.9%. It should be noted that there is a larger number of Hispanic Males than Hispanic Females (the reverse is true for the Black population, while the White population has approximately equal numbers of males and females). Analysis : Data Source : U.S. Census http://www.census.gov/popest/cou nties/asrh/files/CC-EST2006- alldata.txt Based on 159 Counties

22 22 Legal Status – Intakes: Drug Sales (MSO1) Observation : Intakes related to Drug Sales has experienced moderate growth since FY2003 – annual average growth = 7.4% Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

23 23 Legal Status – Intakes: Drug Use (MSO2) Observation : Intakes related to Drug Use has experienced moderate growth since FY2003 – annual average growth = 8.5%. However, the annual growth from 2005 to 2007 was 13.4%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

24 24 Legal Status – Intakes: Property (MSO3) Observation : Intakes related to Property appears to follow the same general trend as Drug Usage. While the annual growth rate for property intakes has been moderate at a rate of 3.4%, the average rate from FY2005 to FY2007 is 9.1%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

25 25 Legal Status – Intakes: Public Order (MSO4) Observation : Intakes related to Public Order have demonstrated a strong increase since FY2003. The average annual increase was 14.5% Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

26 26 Legal Status – Intakes: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5) Observation : Intakes related to Non Violent Sex have demonstrated a slight decrease since FY2003 – average annual decrease of 5.9%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

27 27 Legal Status – Intakes: Status (MSO6) Observation : While the overall annual increase in status intakes has increase dramatically since FY2003 – 17.1% annual increase – the change from FY2006 to FY2007 was a slight decrease. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

28 28 Legal Status – Intakes: Traffic (MSO7) Observation : The number of traffic intakes has remained fairly constant since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

29 29 Legal Status – Intakes: Violent (MSO8) Observation : The growth rate of violent intakes has been moderate at an average annual rate of 5.8%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

30 30 Legal Status – Intakes: Violent Sex (MSO9) Observation : While the average growth of violent sex intakes has exhibited a slight decrease annual rate of change since FY2003, the change from FY2006 to FY2007 was 18.4%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

31 31 Legal Status – Intakes: Technical (MSO10) Observation : The number of technical intakes has remained fairly constant since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

32 32 Legal Status – Intakes: Weapons (MSO11) Observation : The growth rate in weapons intakes has increased by an annual growth rate of 13.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

33 33 Legal Status - Probation Observation : The overall number of Probations increased and then decreased. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

34 34 Probation as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of Probations as a % of the At Risk Population has decreased since FY2005 for all regions – but at varying rates Analysis : Data Source : Intakes come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007). At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 142 Counties

35 35 Probation as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of Probations as a % of the At Risk Population has decreased since FY2005 for both Genders. Analysis : Data Source : Intakes come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007). At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 142 Counties

36 36 Legal Status – Probation: Region 1 Observation : The number of juveniles on Probation in Region 1 changed year over year. The annualized change from FY2003 to FY2007 was 3.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

37 37 Legal Status – Probation: Region 2 Observation : The number of juveniles on Probation in Region 2 has decreased since FY2004. The annualized decrease from FY2003 to FY2007 is -3.9%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

38 38 Legal Status – Probation: Region 3 Observation : The number of juveniles on Probation in Region 3 increased in FY2004, and then decreased until FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

39 39 Legal Status – Probation: Region 4 Observation : The number of juveniles on Probation in Region 4 increased in FY2004, and then decreased until FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

40 40 Legal Status – Probation: Region 5 Observation : The number of juveniles on Probation in Region 5 increased from FY2003 to FY2005, and then decreased. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

41 41 Legal Status – Probation: Gender Observation : Probations demonstrated roughly the same trend for both genders until FY2007, when Females decreased while Males increased. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

42 42 Legal Status – Probation: Black Observation : Black probations were increasing until FY2005, when they decreased. There was a slight increase from FY2006 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

43 43 Legal Status – Probation: White Observation : White probations decreased from FY2004 to FY2006. There was a slight increase in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

44 44 Legal Status – Probation: Hispanic Observation : Hispanic probations have demonstrated the same trend as White and Black probations - a decrease from FY2004 to FY2006 and an increase in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

45 45 Observation : Of total Probations, Black juveniles comprise over 50%. While the numbers are still low, the percentage of total Probations comprised of Hispanic juveniles has increased from 2.9% in FY2003 to 3.7% in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties Note that “other” race was omitted due to small numbers. Legal Status – Probation: Ethnicity

46 46 Legal Status – Probation: ALOS by Regions Observation : The Average Length of Stay in a Probation status varies significantly by Region, with the shortest stay in Region 4 (which is also decreasing) and the longest stay in Region 5. It is worth noting that all regions decreased from FY2006 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

47 47 Legal Status – Probation: ADP by Region Observation : The Average Daily Population varies significantly across the Regions. Region 2 has experienced the greatest decrease in ADP, followed by Region 5. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 142 Counties

48 Observation : STP legal status decreased significantly from FY2005 to FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Includes 159 counties 48 Legal Status - STP

49 Observation : Consistent with the trend for STP overall, the number of Legal Status STP for Region 1 decreased significantly from FY2004 to FY 2006. However, FY2007 was an increase over FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Includes 159 Counties 49 Legal Status – STP: Region 1

50 50 Legal Status – STP: Region 2 Observation : Region 2 has experienced a dramatic decline in the number of STP since FY2004. The overall annualized decline is 10%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Includes 159 Counties 50

51 51 Legal Status – STP: Region 3 Observation : Consistent with the trend for STP in Region 1, the number of Legal Status STP for Region 3 decreased dramatically from FY2004 to FY2006. Then, in FY2007, there was an increase. The change from FY2006 to FY2007 was 23%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

52 52 Legal Status – STP: Region 4 52 Observation : Although STP status has decreased in Region 4, unlike the other regions, Region 4 has approximately the same number of STP status’s in FY2007 as they experienced in FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Includes 159 Counties

53 53 Legal Status – STP: Region 5 Observation : As was the case with Regions 1 and 3, Region 5 experienced a decrease in STP Status between FY2004 and FY2006, with an increase in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Includes 159 Counties.

54 54 Legal Status – STP: by Gender 54 Observation : While both genders demonstrated a decrease in STP Legal Status from FY2004 to FY2006, males increased in FY2007, while females decreased in FY2007, albeit at a lower rate that had been seen previously. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159Counties

55 55 Legal Status – STP: Black Observation : Black STP status decreased from FY2004 to FY2006 and then remained flat in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

56 56 Legal Status – STP: White Observation : Similar to the trend exhibited by black juveniles, white juveniles experienced a decrease in the number of STPs from FY2004 to FY2006 and then remained flat in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

57 57 Legal Status – STP: Hispanic Observation : Similar to the trend exhibited by Black and White juveniles, Hispanic juveniles experienced a decrease in the number of STPs from FY2004 to FY2006. However, the increase from FY2006 to FY2007 was an increase of over 30% - albeit on a small base. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

58 58 Legal Status – STP: Drug Sales (MSO1) Observation : With the exception of FY2006, the number of Drug Sales MSO with an STP Legal Status has increased. The annualized average increase is 10%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

59 59 Legal Status – STP: Drug Use (MSO2) Observation : With the exception of FY2004, the number of Drug Use MSOs with an STP Legal Status as decreased, with FY2007 remaining flat. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

60 60 Legal Status – STP: Property (MSO3) Observation : After a slight increase in FY2004, the number of Property MSOs with an STP legal status decreased until FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

61 61 Legal Status – STP: Public Order (MSO4) Observation : From FY2004 to FY2007, the number of Public Order MSOs with a STP Legal Status has decreased. The annualized decrease is 8.6% Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

62 62 Legal Status – STP: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Non-Violent Sex MSO, receiving a legal status of STP is very low, and has decreased until FY2007, when there was a slight increase. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

63 63 Legal Status – STP: Status (MSO6) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Status MSO receiving a STP legal status increased until FY2005, and then decreased in FY2006 and FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

64 64 Legal Status – STP: Traffic (MSO7) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Traffic MSO receiving a STP legal status is very low. The numbers increased until FY2005, and then decreased in FY2006 and FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

65 65 Legal Status – STP: Violent (MSO8) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Violent MSO receiving a STP legal status, has decreased steadily since FY2004. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

66 66 Legal Status – STP: Violent Sex (MSO9) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Violent Sex MSO receiving a STP legal status is very low. The number decreased steadily from FY2004 to FY2006. There was a slight increase in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

67 67 Legal Status – STP: Technical (MSO10) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Technical MSO receiving a STP legal status, decreased from FY2004 to FY2006. There was a slight increase in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

68 68 Legal Status – STP: Weapons (MSO11) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Weapons MSO receiving a STP legal status, has decreased from FY2004 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

69 69 Legal Status - Commitments Observation : The number of Commitments has remained fairly steady since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

70 70 Legal Status – Commitments: Region 1 Observation : The number of Commitments in Region 1has remained fairly steady since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

71 71 Legal Status – Commitments: Region 2 Observation : The number of Commitments in Region 2 has decreased fairly steady since FY2003, with the exception of FY2006. The annualized decrease was 8.5% Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

72 72 Legal Status – Commitments: Region 3 Observation : The number of Commitments in Region 3 has increased steadily since FY2005. The annualized increase from FY2005 to FY2007 was19%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

73 73 Legal Status – Commitments: Region 4 Observation : The number of Commitments in Region 4 has remained fairly steady since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

74 74 Legal Status – Commitments: Region 5 Observation : The number of Commitments in Region 5 has remained fairly steady, until FY2007, when it decreased by 28% from FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

75 75 Legal Status – Commitments: Gender Observation : Male Commitments have fluctuated over time, while Female Commitments have remained steady, until FY2007, when both genders experienced a decrease. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159Counties

76 76 Legal Status – Commitments: Black Observation : The number of Black juveniles with a Commitment Legal Status has fluctuated, with FY2007 decreasing from FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

77 77 Legal Status – Commitments: White Observation : The number of White juveniles with a Commitment Legal Status has decreased steadily since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

78 78 Legal Status – Commitments: Hispanic Observation : The number of Hispanic juveniles with a Commitment Legal Status has increased steadily since FY2003. The average annualized increase is 23.7% - albeit on a small base. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties

79 79 Observation : The percentage of Commitments comprised of Black and Hispanic juveniles is increasing, while the percentage of Commitments comprised of White juveniles is decreasing. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties Legal Status – Commitments: Ethnicity

80 80 Legal Status – Commitments: Drug Sales (MSO1) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Drug Sales MSO and a Committed legal status is very small. The number has increased steadily since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

81 81 Legal Status – Commitments: Drug Use (MSO2) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Drug Use MSO and a Committed legal status has fluctuated since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

82 82 Legal Status – Commitments: Property (MSO3) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Property MSO and a Committed legal status has fluctuated since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

83 83 Legal Status – Commitments: Public Order (MSO4) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Public Order MSO and a Committed legal status has seen a slow steady decline since FY2003, with the exception of FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

84 84 Legal Status – Commitments: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Non-Violent Sex MSO and a Committed legal status is very small. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

85 85 Legal Status – Commitments: Status (MSO6) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Status MSO and a Committed legal status is very small and steadily decreasing. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

86 86 Legal Status – Commitments: Traffic (MSO7) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Traffic MSO and a Committed legal status is very small. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

87 87 Legal Status – Commitments: Violent (MSO8) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Violent MSO and a Committed legal status has been increasing fairly steadily since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

88 88 Legal Status – Commitments: Violent Sex (MSO9) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Violent Sex MSO and a Committed legal status decreased from FY2003 to FY2005, but increased from FY2005 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

89 89 Legal Status – Commitments: Technical (MSO10) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Technical MSO and a Committed legal status has experienced a general upward trend until FY2007, when there was a slight decrease. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

90 90 Legal Status – Commitments: Weapons (MSO11) Observation : The number of juveniles with a Weapons MSO and a Committed legal status has fluctuated since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

91 91 Legal Status – Commitments: All Types Observation : Of the three types of Commitments, the majority are “Regular”. The annualized change in Regular Commitments is a -2.4% decrease, while the annualized change in Designate Felons is a 9.3% increase. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

92 92 ALOS for MSO by Legal Status – FY2007 Each Cell indicates the Average Length of Stay for the MSO Type/Legal Status combination. For Example, the average length of stay for an intake with a Drug Selling Offense is 101 days.

93 The following set of slides reflect placements 93

94 Observation : The number of juveniles entering into an RYDC has grown steadily since FY2003. The annualized growth rate is 4.1%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties. 94 Placements (RYDC)

95 95 Observation : The number of RYDC Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has varied by region. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties. 95 RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region

96 96 Observation : While the number of RYDC Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has remained relatively stable for females, it has exhibited a slight increase for males. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties. 96 RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender

97 97 Observation : While the % of White juveniles in RYDC Placement has decreased, the % of Black juveniles has increased. The % of Hispanic juveniles has remained relatively stable. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties. 97 RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Ethnicity

98 98 Placements – RYDC: Region 1 Observation : The number of juveniles entering into an RYDC in Region 1 has grown annually with the exception of FY2006. The annualized growth rate is 4.6%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

99 99 Placements – RYDC: Region 2 Observation : Until FY2007, the number of juveniles in an RYDC in Region 2 was increasing at an annualized rate of 5.1%. In FY2007, there was a -16.9% decrease from FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

100 100 Placements – RYDC: Region 3 Observation : Region 3 has experienced a fairly steady increase in the number of juveniles entering into an RYDC. The annualized average growth rate is 5.6%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

101 101 Placements – RYDC: Region 4 Observation : Region 4 has experienced a fairly steady increase in the number of juveniles entering into an RYDC. The annualized average growth rate is 7.0%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

102 102 Placements – RYDC: Region 5 Observation : Region 4 has experienced a slow steady increase in the number of juveniles entering into an RYDC. The annualized average growth rate is 2.3%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

103 103 Placements – RYDC: Gender Observation : There is a difference in RYDC placement growth rates. The average annualized growth rate for males is 4.8%, while the average annualized growth rate for females is 2.0%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

104 104 Placements – RYDC: Black Observation : The number of Black juveniles in RYDC placement has increased steadily since FY2003. The annualized average growth rate is 7.5%. The change from FY2006 to FY2007 was only 2.0%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

105 105 Placements – RYDC: White Observation : After a slight increase from FY2003 to FY2004, the number of White juveniles entering into RYDC placement has decreased at an average annualized rate of -3.6%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

106 106 Placements – RYDC: Hispanic Observation : Although the overall numbers are small, the rate of increase for Hispanic juveniles entering into RYDC placement is increasing at a rate of 15% per year. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

107 107 Placements – RYDC: Drug Sales (MSO1) Observation : The number of RYDC placements for a Drug Selling offense has increased 32.5% per year since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

108 108 Placements – RYDC: Drug Use (MSO2) Observation : The number of RYDC placements for a Drug Usage offense has remained fairly stable sinceFY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

109 109 Placements – RYDC: Property (MSO3) Observation : After several years of decrease, the number of RYDC placements related to a Property offense has increased at an annualized average rate of 7.4% since FY2005. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

110 110 Placements – RYDC: Public Order (MSO4) Observation : The number of juveniles entering RYDC for a Public Order offense has increased fairly steadily at an average annualized rate of 4.0% Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

111 111 Placements – RYDC: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5) Observation : The number of juveniles entering an RYDC with a Non-Violent Sex offense is very small and has remained stable since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

112 112 Placements – RYDC: Status (MSO6) Observation : The number of juveniles entering an RYDC with a Status offense has increased steadily until FY2006 – the average annualized rate from FY2003 to FY2006 was 12.4%. The number for FY2007 was a 1% decrease from FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

113 113 Placements – RYDC: Traffic (MSO7) Observation : The number of juveniles entering an RYDC with a Traffic offense has increased from FY2003 to FY2005, and then decreased from FY2005 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

114 114 Placements – RYDC: Violent (MSO8) Observation : The number of juveniles entering an RYDC with a Violent offense increased steadily since FY2003. The annualized average rate of increase is 7.1%. The change from FY2006 to FY2007 was about.9%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

115 115 Placements – RYDC: Violent Sex (MSO9) Observation : The number of juveniles entering RYDC placement for a Violent Sex offense has gradually decreased since FY2003. the annualized average rate of decrease is -4.2%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

116 116 Placements – RYDC: Technical (MSO10) Observation : The number of juveniles entering RYDC placement for a Technical offense increased from FY2003 to FY2005. After a decrease in FY2006, the number remained stable in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

117 117 Placements – RYDC: Weapons (MSO11) Observation : The number of juveniles entering RYDC placement for a Weapons offense has increased steadily since FY2003. The annualized average growth rate is 9.1%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

118 118 Placements – RYDC: ALOS by Region Observation : The Average Length of Stay in an RYDC varies by Region. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

119 119 Placements – RYDC: ADP by Region Observation : The Average Daily Population in an RYDC varies by Region. It should be noted that Region 3 experienced a 13.3% increase from FY2006 to FY2007, and Region 4 experienced a 16.6% increase over the same period. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

120 120 Placement - STP Observation : Since the high number of STP placements in FY2004, the annualized average decrease to FY2007 has been 18.8% Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

121 121 Observation : The number of STP Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has exhibited a sharp decline across all regions. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties. 121 STP as a % of At Risk Population: by Region

122 122 Observation : The number of STP Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has exhibited a sharp decline for both genders. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties. 122 STP as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender

123 123 Observation : The number of STP Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has exhibited a sharp decline across all Ethnicities. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties. 123 STP as a % of At Risk Population: by Ethnicity

124 124 Placements – STP: Region 1 Observation : Region 1 has exhibited a similar trend in STP placements. The overall annualized average decrease since FY2004 has been over 22%. However, the change from FY2006 to FY2007 was only -4.8%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

125 125 Placements – STP: Region 2 Observation : Region 2 has exhibited a similar trend in STP placements. The overall annualized average decrease since FY2004 has been over 17%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

126 126 Placements – STP: Region 3 Observation : Region 3 has exhibited a similar trend in STP placements – until FY2007. The overall annualized average decrease since FY2004 has been over 15%. However, from FY2006 to FY2007, STP placements increased 2.7%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

127 127 Placements – STP: Region 4 Observation : Region 4 has exhibited a slightly different trend in STP placements. The number of STP placements peaked in FY2005. The region has exhibited an annualized average decrease of 9% since the FY2005 peak. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

128 128 Placements – STP: Region 5 Observation : Region 5 has exhibited a trend in STP placements similar to that of most of the other regions. The overall annualized average decrease since FY2004 has been 12.9%. However, the decrease from FY2006 to FY2007 was only 5.7%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

129 129 Placements – STP: Gender Observation: The number of STP placements has exhibited approximately the same trend for each gender. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

130 130 Placements – STP: Black Observation : The number of Black juveniles entering STP placement has decreased at an annualized average rate of 11.9%, since FY2004. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

131 131 Placements – STP: White Observation : The number of White juveniles entering STP placement has decreased at an annualized average rate of 17.2% since FY2004. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

132 132 Placements – STP: Hispanic Observation : The number of Hispanic juveniles in STP placement exhibited a similar trend to juveniles of other races, until FY2007. The increase from FY2006 to FY2007 was 13.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

133 133 Placements – STP: Drug Selling (MSO1) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a drug selling offense has varied. The change from FY2006 to FY2007 was a 27.4% increase – albeit on a small base. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

134 134 Placements – STP: Drug Use (MSO2) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a drug usage offense has exhibited the same basic trend as STP placement overall – a steady decline since FY2004. The annualized average decrease has been 16.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

135 135 Placements – STP: Property (MSO3) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a property offense has exhibited the same basic trend as STP placement overall – a fairly steady decline since FY2004. The annualized average decrease has been 10.9%. Although the decrease from FY2006 to FY2007 slowed to 4.9%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

136 136 Placements – STP: Public Order (MSO4) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a Public Order offense has exhibited the same basic trend as STP placement overall – a fairly steady decline since FY2004. The annualized average decrease has been 14.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

137 137 Placements – STP: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a Non- Violent Sex offense is very small and has decreased since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

138 138 Placements – STP: Status (MSO6) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a Status offense peaked in FY2005 and decreased at an annualized average rate of 18%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

139 139 Placements – STP: Traffic (MSO7) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a Traffic offense are small. They peaked in FY2004 and then decreased. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

140 140 Placements – STP: Violent (MSO8) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a Violent offense peaked in FY2004, and then decreased at an annualized average rate of 12.8%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

141 141 Placements – STP: Violent Sex (MSO9) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a Violent Sex offense peaked in FY2004, and then decreased at an annualized average rate of 12.1%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

142 142 Placements – STP: Technical (MSO10) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a Technical offense peaked in FY2004, and then decreased at an annualized average rate of 16.2%. The decrease from FY2006 to FY2007 was only 5.1% Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

143 143 Placements – STP: Weapons (MSO11) Observation : The number of juveniles with an STP placement for a Weapons offense peaked in FY2004, and then decreased at an annualized average rate of 11.8%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

144 144 Placements – STP: ALOS by Region Observation : The five regions have demonstrated the same general decreasing trend in the Average Length of Stay in a STP Placement since FY2003, with the exception of FY2006, when Regions 1 and 2 increased – and then fell back down in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

145 145 Placements – STP: ADP by Region Observation : The five regions have demonstrated the same general decreasing trend in the Average Daily Population in a STP Placement since FY2003. It should be noted that Region 1, which had the highest ADP in FY2003, had the lowest ADP in FY2007, while Region 4 had the lowest ADP in FY2003, had the highest ADP in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

146 146 Placements – STP: All Types Observation : Since FY2005, the mix of STP Placements has changed from predominantly RYDC to YDC (ST). Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

147 147 Placements – STP: RYDC Observation : The number of juveniles in an STP:RYDC placement has decreased since FY2004. The annualized average decrease was 22.8%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

148 148 STP:RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of STP:RYDC Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has exhibited a sharp decline across all regions. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

149 149 STP:RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender Observation : The number of STP:RYDC Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has exhibited a sharp decline across both Genders. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

150 150 Placements – STP: RYDC - ALOS Observation : The Average Length of Stay in an STP:RYDC varies by Region. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

151 151 Placements – STP: RYDC - ADP Observation : Although the Average Daily Population for STP:RYDC Placement varies by Region, all five regions demonstrate the same basic trend – a dramatic decrease in ADP from FY2005 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

152 152 Placements – STP: At Home Observation : After an increase from FY2003 to FY2005, there has been a dramatic decrease in the number of juveniles placed in STP: At Home. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

153 153 STP: At Home as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : With the exception of Region 3, all regions have exhibited an increase in the number of STP:At Home Placements as a % of the At Risk Population. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

154 154 STP: At Home as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender Observation : The number of STP: At Home Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has exhibited an increase for Genders. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

155 155 Placements – STP: At Home - ALOS Observation : The Average Length of Stay for STP: At Home placement varies by Region. It should be noted that from FY2006 to FY2007 both Region 5 and Region 3 have experienced a strong increase, while the other regions have either decreased or remained stable. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

156 156 Placements – STP: At Home - ADP Observation : Across all regions, the Average Daily Population for STP: At Home placement has decreased dramatically since FY2005. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

157 157 Placements – STP: NSC/Residential Observation : The number of STP: NSC placements has varied year over year since FY2003. However, the annualized trend has been downward – the average annualized decrease from FY2003 to FY2007 is - 4.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

158 158 STP: NSC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of juveniles in an STP:NSC Placement as a% of the At Risk Population, has varied across all five regions. However, all regions have exhibited a sharp decline in the percentage of STP:NSC Placements since FY2005. Note that the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

159 159 STP: NSC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender Observation : The number of STP: NSC Placements as a % of the At Risk Population has exhibited a recent decrease for both Genders. Note that the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

160 160 Placements – STP: NSC/Residential - ALOS Observation : The Average Length of Stay for STP: NSC placement varies slightly by Region. With the exception of Region 3, all regions had an ALOS of between 160 and 180 days in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

161 161 Placements – STP: NSC/Residential - ADP Observation : The Average Daily Population of STP:NSC placements increased dramatically in Region 3 from FY2006 to FY2007 – 21% increase. The other regions have remained fairly constant. Region 4 experienced a slight increase from FY2006 to FY2007 – 14%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

162 162 Placements – STP: YDC (Short Term) Observation : The number of STP: YDC had decreased steadily from FY2003 to FY2006, but increased from FY2006 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

163 163 STP: YDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of juveniles in an STP:YDC Placement as a% of the At Risk Population, has decreased across all five regions. Note that the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

164 164 STP: YDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender Observation : The number of juveniles in an STP:YDC Placement as a % of the At Risk Population, has decreased across both Genders. Note that the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

165 165 Placements – STP: YDC (Short Term) - ALOS Observation : The Average Length of Stay for STP: YDC has decreased steadily and consistently across the five regions from FY2003 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

166 166 Placements – STP: YDC (Short Term) - ADP Observation : The Average Daily Population of STP:YDC placements has decreased steadily and consistently across the five regions – until FY2006. From FY2006 to FY2007, Regions 1 experienced an increase, while Regions 3 and 4 were stable from FY2006 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

167 167 Placements – Commitment Observation : The number of Commitments has varied over time. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

168 168 Placements – Commitment Observation : Note that this is the same slide with a different axis. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

169 169 Commitments as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment Placement as a% of the At Risk Population, has varied across the five regions. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

170 170 Commitments as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment Placement as a% of the At Risk Population, has remained relatively stable for both Genders. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

171 171 Commitments as a % of At Risk Population: by Ethnicity Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment Placement as a% of the At Risk Population, has varied by Ethnicity. After several years of stability, the % of Black juveniles increased in FY2006. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

172 172 Placements – Commitment: Region 1 Observation : Region 1 has exhibited a slight decline in Commitments since FY2004 – annualized average decrease of 3.1%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

173 173 Placements – Commitment: Region 2 Observation : Region 2 has exhibited a slight decline in Commitments since FY2004 – annualized average decrease of 4.2%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

174 174 Placements – Commitment: Region 3 Observation : Region 3 has exhibited a strong increase in Commitments since FY2005 – annualized average increase of 9.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

175 175 Placements – Commitment: Region 4 Observation : Region 4 has exhibited a slight increase in Commitments since FY2004 – annualized average increase of 3.7%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

176 176 Placements – Commitment: Region 5 Observation : Region 5 has exhibited variation in Commitments since FY2003 – but the annualized average change from FY2003 to FY2007 was a slight decrease of 1.3%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

177 177 Placements – Commitment: Gender Observation : Although the number of Commitments has not varied dramatically for either gender, the change from FY2003 to FY2007 for males was slightly positive, while the change for females was slightly negative. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

178 178 Placements – Commitment: Black Observation : The number of Black juveniles in Commitment has increased since FY2003. The annualized average increase has been 3.7%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

179 179 Placements – Commitment: White Observation : The number of White juveniles in Commitment has decreased since FY2003. The annualized average decrease has been 6.9%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

180 180 Placements – Commitment: Hispanic Observation : Although the base is small, the number of Hispanic juveniles in Commitment is increasing at an annualized average rate of 16%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

181 181 Placements – Commitment: Hispanic Observation : Same slide with a different axis Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

182 182 Placements – Commitment: Drug Selling (MSO1) Observation : The number of Commitments for a Drug Selling offense has increased since FY2003. The annualized average increase from FY2003 to FY2007 is 28.8% - albeit from a small base. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

183 183 Placements – Commitment: Drug Usage (MSO2) Observation : The number of Commitments for a Drug Usage offense has decreased since FY2004. The annualized average decrease from FY2003 to FY2007 is 3.7%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

184 184 Placements – Commitment: Property (MSO3) Observation : The number of Commitments for a Property offense has varied since FY2004. The annualized average decrease from FY2003 to FY2007 is 1.2%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

185 185 Placements – Commitment: Public Order (MSO4) Observation : The number of Commitments for a Property offense has varied since FY2004. The annualized average decrease from FY2003 to FY2007 is 1.1%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

186 186 Placements – Commitment: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5) Observation : The number of Commitments for a Non-Violent Sex offense has varied since FY2003. Although the numbers are small, the increase from FY2006 to FY2007 was 34%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

187 187 Placements – Commitment: Status (MSO6) Observation : Since FY2004, the number of Commitments with a Status offense has steadily decreased at an annualized average rate of 4.8%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

188 188 Placements – Commitment: Traffic (MSO7) Observation : Since the peak number in FY2005, the number of Commitments with a Traffic offense has steadily decreased at an annualized average rate of 27% - albeit from a small base. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

189 189 Placements – Commitment: Violent (MSO8) Observation : The number of Commitments with a Violent offense has increased steadily since FY2003 at an annualized average rate of 3.6%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

190 190 Placements – Commitment: Violent Sex (MSO9) Observation : The number of Commitments with a Violent Sex offense had decreased steadily from FY2003 to FY2006, but then increased in FY2007 by 3.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

191 191 Placements – Commitment: Technical (MSO10) Observation : The number of Commitments with a Technical offense had increased steadily from FY2003 to FY2006, but then decreased in FY2007. From FY2003 to FY2007, the annualized average increase was 9.1%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

192 192 Placements – Commitment: Weapons (MSO11) Observation : The number of Commitments with a Weapons offense has varied since FY2003. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

193 193 Placements – Commitment: ALOS by Region Observation : The five regions have demonstrated roughly the same trend for Average Length of Stay – a variable decrease from FY2003 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

194 194 Placements – Commitment: ADP by Region Observation : Consistent with the ALOS tends, the Average Daily Population has decreased from FY2003 to FY2007 across all five regions. It is worth noting that Region 4 had the lowest ADP in FY2003 and the highest ADP in FY2007, while Region 1 had the highest ADP in FY2003 and the lowest ADP in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

195 195 Placements – Commitment: RYDC Observation : The number of juveniles in a Committed RYDC Placement has increased since FY2003. While there has been variation year over year, the annualized average increase is 2.3%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

196 196 Commitments: RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment:RYDC Placement as a % of the At Risk Population, has varied across the five regions. Note the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

197 197 Commitments: RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment:RYDC Placement as a % of the At Risk Population, has remained fairly stable for both Genders. Note the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

198 198 Placements – Commitment: RYDC - ALOS Observation : With the exception of Region 1, all regions have followed the same basic ALOS trends, with all regions exhibiting an ALOS of approximately 42 days in FY2007. Region 1 is lower at 36 days. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

199 199 Placements – Commitment: RYDC - ADP Observation : The Average Daily Population for Committed RYDC placements varies by Region. While the other four regions have experienced limited or negative growth between FY2003 and FY2007, Region 3 has experienced an annualized growth rate of 5.4%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

200 200 Placements – Commitment: At Home Observation : The number of juveniles in a Committed At Home Placement has increased steadily from FY2003 to FY2007. The average annualized increase is 2.3%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

201 201 Commitments: At Home as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment: At Home Placement as a % of the At Risk Population, has varied across the five regions. Note the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

202 202 Commitments: At Home as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment: At Home Placement as a % of the At Risk Population, has remained fairly stable for both Genders. Note the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

203 203 Placements – Commitment: At Home - ALOS Observation : The ALOS for Committed At Home Placements varies by region. It should be noted that Regions 2, 4 and 5 experienced a dramatic rise in ALOS from FY2006 to FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

204 204 Placements – Commitment: At Home - ADP Observation : The ADP for Committed At Home placements varies by region. It should be noted that Region 3 exhibited an annualized average growth of 10.4% since FY2003 and Region 4 exhibited an annualized growth rate of 8.2%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

205 205 Placements – Commitment: NSC/Residential Observation : The number of juveniles in a Committed NSC Placement has fluctuated between FY2003 and FY2007. However, the overall trend has been one of decrease. The average annualized decrease is 4.5%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

206 206 Commitments: NSC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment: NSC Placement as a % of the At Risk Population, has varied across the five regions. Note the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

207 207 Commitments: NSC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender Observation : The number of juveniles in a Commitment: NSC Placement as a % of the At Risk Population, has exhibited recent increases for both Genders. Note the percentages are very small. Analysis : Data Source : RYDC Placements come from DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) At Risk Population based on US Census Data. Based on 159 Counties.

208 208 Placements – Commitment: NSC/Residential - ALOS 208 Observation : The ALOS for Committed NSC Placements varies by region. However, all five regions have exhibited a recent increase. Regions 1 and 3 have increased at an annualized average rate of over 75% since FY2005. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

209 209 Placements – Commitment: NSC/Residential - ADP Observation : The ADP for Committed NSC Placements has decreased since FY2005 for all five regions. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

210 210 Placements – Commitment: YDC (Long Term) Observation : After several years of increases, the number of Committed YDC Placements decreased in FY2007. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

211 211 Placements – Commitment: YDC (Long Term) - ALOS Observation : The ALOS for Committed YDC Placement has varied across the regions. It is worth noting that Region 5 has exhibited a steady increase since FY2003 – an annualized average increase of 19.3%. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

212 212 Placements – Commitment: YDC (Long Term) - ADP Observation : The ADP for Committed YDC Placement has varied across the regions. It is worth noting that Regions 3 and 4 have exhibited a steady increase since FY2004 – an annualized average increase of over 15% for both. Analysis : Data Source : DJJ Case Data (received December 13, 2007) Based on 159 Counties.

213 Still need numbers here. 213

214 214 ALOS for MSO by Placement- FY2007 MSOType RYDCSTP:RYDCSTP:At HomeSTP:NSCSTP:YDCCommitment :RYDC Commitment :YDC Commitment :Home Commitment :NSC 114229883730312125140 215251722223631308173 321228911438 325150170 416191011253732261159155 52372.4383833426132182 611212351533620117190172 71722371393447412136282 827 1131234155403148205 97336.45833140421349282 1016231351893625167138164 11152353793638324139212


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