1. Federal R&D: Overview, Update and Outlook Matt Hourihan August 7, 2013 for the AAEA, C-FARE and the USDA Economist Group AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd

2. U.S. R&D INVESTMENT

6. Estimated FY 2013 R&D Funding Agency / Dept Nominal Cut from FY12 Nominal Percentage Cut from FY12 Resulting Budget On Par With… Total R&D$9.3 billion-6.5%2002 Defense S&T$619 million-4.6%2002 NIH$1.6 billion-5.2%2002 Energy*$479 million-4.4%2001 NSF$227 million-4.0%2010 NASA$749 million-6.6%Late 1980s? Agriculture$154 million-6.6%1998 *Includes Office of Science, Energy Programs, and NNSA

7. U.S. R&D INVESTMENT Admin FY 2014 R&D Priorities Innovation / Science Clear shifts from D to R (especially use-inspired + applied), and from Defense to Nondefense COMPETES Agencies: $12.6 billion (+18% from 2012) Advanced manufacturing (NIST + elsewhere) Clean Energy Homeland Security (Biodefense facility) Rolling back sequestration Every agency would receive major increases above FY13 post- sequester levels

8. U.S. R&D INVESTMENT FY 2014 R&D - USDA $2.5B for R&D (+8.2%) Boosts for intramural and extramural alike ARS: +15.8% from FY12 Bulk of increase: Southeast Poultry Disease Research Lab Research programs: +2.3% NIFA: +6.1% (not including Biomass R&D) Agriculture and Food Research Initiative: $383m (+45%) Land and water resources, obesity, climate adaptation, safety and sustainability, etc ERS, Forest Service R&D: at or below inflation

9. U.S. R&D INVESTMENT

12. Congress So Far Two budgets: Pre-sequester: Presidents Request and Senate $1.058 trillion Post-Sequester: House (and current law) $967 billion R&D funding decisions so far (mostly) reflect these differences

13. U.S. R&D INVESTMENT Congress So Far (Cont) Areas of (rough) agreement: Defense (including DOE), Homeland Security, planetary science, Veterans-related R&D, STEM reorganization Areas of (rough) disagreement general support but divergent funding: NSF, NIST, NASA exploration systems and technology, DOE Office of Science Clearly different priorities: clean energy R&D, natural resources and environmental science Unknown: NIH USDA: Divergent, but not getting cut in House like other programs

14. U.S. R&D INVESTMENT

15. Looking Ahead Congress now on recess and the clock is ticking 4 bills through House, none through Senate Big question still remains: how do fit a $1.06 trillion budget into a $967 billion dollar hole? Senate: make the hole bigger House: make the budget smaller Almost certainly headed for a CR Debt ceiling

16. U.S. R&D INVESTMENT For more info… mhouriha@aaas.org 202-326-6607 www.aaas.org/spp/rd/